Missoula · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Missoula, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Missoula
Year
Total registered
2016
213,518
2018
219,451
2020
235,500
2022
241,782
2024
257,521
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,691 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +48,113 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Missoula in Missoula: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+512
2012
+380
2013
+1,289
2014
+2,005
2015
+2,616
2016
+4,650
2017
+4,788
2018
+3,241
2019
+3,679
2021
+9,405
2022
+6,488
2023
+3,901
2024
+2,468
2025
+2,691
Missoula's media market pairs one of Montana's most reliably Democratic cities with vast rural stretches that vote in the opposite direction, making it a study in the urban-rural split that defines statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.5 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 30.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.3 points.
A population of 332,361, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,159 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Butte-Bozeman and Helena.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missoula, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/762/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Missoula, Montana voted Republican by 14.3 points (R+14.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 195,805 votes cast, 80,933 went Democratic and 108,929 went Republican.
When did Missoula, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Missoula, Montana voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Missoula, Montana?
Missoula, Montana has a population of 332,361 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missoula, Montana?
Median household income in Missoula, Montana is $72,159 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Missoula, Montana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Missoula, Montana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.
