Flathead County, Montana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
55 precincts · 63,140 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PRECINCT 9PRECINCT 9 | 647 | 1,035 | 61 | 1,743 | 37.1% | 59.4% | R+22.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PRECINCT 23PRECINCT 23 | 429 | 1,128 | 32 | 1,589 | 27.0% | 71.0% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 20PRECINCT 20 | 546 | 962 | 42 | 1,550 | 35.2% | 62.1% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 43PRECINCT 43 | 425 | 1,020 | 44 | 1,489 | 28.5% | 68.5% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 17PRECINCT 17 | 349 | 1,104 | 24 | 1,477 | 23.6% | 74.7% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 54PRECINCT 54 | 358 | 1,061 | 23 | 1,442 | 24.8% | 73.6% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 12PRECINCT 12 | 948 | 452 | 40 | 1,440 | 65.8% | 31.4% | D+34.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 3PRECINCT 3 | 834 | 564 | 41 | 1,439 | 58.0% | 39.2% | D+18.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 51PRECINCT 51 | 344 | 1,065 | 26 | 1,435 | 24.0% | 74.2% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 52PRECINCT 52 | 371 | 1,025 | 25 | 1,421 | 26.1% | 72.1% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 45PRECINCT 45 | 283 | 1,073 | 30 | 1,386 | 20.4% | 77.4% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 16PRECINCT 16 | 262 | 1,060 | 32 | 1,354 | 19.4% | 78.3% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 1PRECINCT 1 | 207 | 1,120 | 20 | 1,347 | 15.4% | 83.1% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 40PRECINCT 40 | 401 | 902 | 28 | 1,331 | 30.1% | 67.8% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 31PRECINCT 31 | 436 | 844 | 38 | 1,318 | 33.1% | 64.0% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 24PRECINCT 24 | 421 | 856 | 35 | 1,312 | 32.1% | 65.2% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 15PRECINCT 15 | 359 | 914 | 36 | 1,309 | 27.4% | 69.8% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 8PRECINCT 8 | 469 | 781 | 29 | 1,279 | 36.7% | 61.1% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 32PRECINCT 32 | 268 | 974 | 31 | 1,273 | 21.1% | 76.5% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 6PRECINCT 6 | 767 | 461 | 44 | 1,272 | 60.3% | 36.2% | D+24.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 14PRECINCT 14 | 437 | 766 | 50 | 1,253 | 34.9% | 61.1% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 36PRECINCT 36 | 340 | 868 | 42 | 1,250 | 27.2% | 69.4% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 37PRECINCT 37 | 367 | 861 | 17 | 1,245 | 29.5% | 69.2% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 30PRECINCT 30 | 265 | 906 | 39 | 1,210 | 21.9% | 74.9% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 55PRECINCT 55 | 373 | 774 | 32 | 1,179 | 31.6% | 65.6% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 22PRECINCT 22 | 482 | 642 | 36 | 1,160 | 41.6% | 55.3% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 42PRECINCT 42 | 373 | 738 | 40 | 1,151 | 32.4% | 64.1% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 10PRECINCT 10 | 449 | 644 | 51 | 1,144 | 39.2% | 56.3% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 13PRECINCT 13 | 559 | 552 | 33 | 1,144 | 48.9% | 48.3% | D+0.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 19PRECINCT 19 | 267 | 832 | 38 | 1,137 | 23.5% | 73.2% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 39PRECINCT 39 | 304 | 793 | 38 | 1,135 | 26.8% | 69.9% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 25PRECINCT 25 | 563 | 538 | 31 | 1,132 | 49.7% | 47.5% | D+2.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 18PRECINCT 18 | 257 | 839 | 30 | 1,126 | 22.8% | 74.5% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 27PRECINCT 27 | 432 | 609 | 39 | 1,080 | 40.0% | 56.4% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 7PRECINCT 7 | 442 | 591 | 31 | 1,064 | 41.5% | 55.5% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 46PRECINCT 46 | 219 | 810 | 27 | 1,056 | 20.7% | 76.7% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 33PRECINCT 33 | 204 | 825 | 25 | 1,054 | 19.4% | 78.3% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 41PRECINCT 41 | 157 | 826 | 20 | 1,003 | 15.7% | 82.4% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 49PRECINCT 49 | 293 | 671 | 31 | 995 | 29.4% | 67.4% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 34PRECINCT 34 | 356 | 608 | 25 | 989 | 36.0% | 61.5% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 44PRECINCT 44 | 241 | 719 | 23 | 983 | 24.5% | 73.1% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 53PRECINCT 53 | 234 | 719 | 26 | 979 | 23.9% | 73.4% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 50PRECINCT 50 | 228 | 732 | 15 | 975 | 23.4% | 75.1% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 21PRECINCT 21 | 291 | 629 | 31 | 951 | 30.6% | 66.1% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 26PRECINCT 26 | 365 | 551 | 25 | 941 | 38.8% | 58.6% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 35PRECINCT 35 | 149 | 749 | 22 | 920 | 16.2% | 81.4% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 29PRECINCT 29 | 331 | 517 | 44 | 892 | 37.1% | 58.0% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 38PRECINCT 38 | 219 | 627 | 20 | 866 | 25.3% | 72.4% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 4PRECINCT 4 | 440 | 402 | 24 | 866 | 50.8% | 46.4% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 28PRECINCT 28 | 256 | 559 | 32 | 847 | 30.2% | 66.0% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 11PRECINCT 11 | 228 | 581 | 15 | 824 | 27.7% | 70.5% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 47PRECINCT 47 | 140 | 651 | 9 | 800 | 17.5% | 81.4% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 5PRECINCT 5 | 324 | 288 | 14 | 626 | 51.8% | 46.0% | D+5.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 2PRECINCT 2 | 281 | 258 | 23 | 562 | 50.0% | 45.9% | D+4.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT 48PRECINCT 48 | 72 | 314 | 9 | 395 | 18.2% | 79.5% | R+61.3 |
Presidential margin, 1896–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1896 | +53.2% |
| 1900 | +4.1% |
| 1904 | −36.3% |
| 1908 | −9.6% |
| 1912 | +18.6% |
| 1916 | +1.0% |
| 1920 | −25.2% |
| 1924 | −29.9% |
| 1928 | −34.6% |
| 1932 | +13.6% |
| 1936 | +34.6% |
| 1940 | +8.3% |
| 1944 | −5.9% |
| 1948 | +3.3% |
| 1952 | −19.1% |
| 1956 | −14.8% |
| 1960 | −6.1% |
| 1964 | +11.8% |
| 1968 | −14.0% |
| 1972 | −29.2% |
| 1976 | −14.2% |
| 1980 | −36.8% |
| 1984 | −33.7% |
| 1988 | −16.9% |
| 1992 | −6.2% |
| 1996 | −18.9% |
| 2000 | −41.9% |
| 2004 | −37.3% |
| 2008 | −21.6% |
| 2012 | −32.8% |
| 2016 | −35.7% |
| 2020 | −30.1% |
| 2024 | −33.8% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 67,112 |
| 2018 | 69,214 |
| 2020 | 75,786 |
| 2022 | 79,211 |
| 2024 | 84,570 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+914 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +20,739 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $91,544 in average income, against $101,308 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.7 on average — 37 points more Democratic-leaning than Flathead County, MT itself (R+33.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Missoula County, MT164D+21.4
- Gallatin County, MT137D+3.2
- Lake County, MT125R+19.9
- Lincoln County, MT83R+53.4
- King County, WA82D+51.3
- Los Angeles County, CA77D+32.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Missoula County, MT166
- Lincoln County, MT122
- Lake County, MT118
- Gallatin County, MT100
- Maricopa County, AZ68
- King County, WA49
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +9 |
| 2012 | +90 |
| 2013 | +995 |
| 2014 | +1,315 |
| 2015 | +1,117 |
| 2016 | +1,680 |
| 2017 | +1,995 |
| 2018 | +1,762 |
| 2019 | +1,629 |
| 2021 | +4,067 |
| 2022 | +2,775 |
| 2023 | +1,580 |
| 2024 | +811 |
| 2025 | +914 |
Flathead County anchors Montana's northwestern corner along the Rocky Mountain Front, drawing retirees and amenity migrants whose arrival has reinforced rather than diluted its existing tilt toward Republican candidates in every statewide race.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 41.9 points in 2000. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.8 points.
A population of 110,695, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,925 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Yellowstone County and Madison County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Flathead County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.