Lake County, Montana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 16,910 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -POL 05POL 05 | 707 | 908 | 49 | 1,664 | 42.5% | 54.6% | R+12.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -RON 01RON 01 | 522 | 759 | 64 | 1,345 | 38.8% | 56.4% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -PAB 02PAB 02 | 466 | 650 | 45 | 1,161 | 40.1% | 56.0% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct -POL 06POL 06 | 456 | 594 | 47 | 1,097 | 41.6% | 54.1% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -STI 02STI 02 | 508 | 528 | 42 | 1,078 | 47.1% | 49.0% | R+1.9 |
| Precinct -ARL 01ARL 01 | 507 | 441 | 45 | 993 | 51.1% | 44.4% | D+6.6 |
| Precinct -FER 01FER 01 | 275 | 697 | 18 | 990 | 27.8% | 70.4% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -POL 03POL 03 | 293 | 667 | 29 | 989 | 29.6% | 67.4% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -POL 04POL 04 | 363 | 424 | 25 | 812 | 44.7% | 52.2% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -BEA 01BEA 01 | 321 | 448 | 16 | 785 | 40.9% | 57.1% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct -CHA 01CHA 01 | 260 | 503 | 22 | 785 | 33.1% | 64.1% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -POL 01POL 01 | 301 | 459 | 21 | 781 | 38.5% | 58.8% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -RON 02RON 02 | 326 | 404 | 20 | 750 | 43.5% | 53.9% | R+10.4 |
| Precinct -DAY 01DAY 01 | 203 | 502 | 9 | 714 | 28.4% | 70.3% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -STI 01STI 01 | 220 | 395 | 13 | 628 | 35.0% | 62.9% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -POL 08POL 08 | 270 | 287 | 15 | 572 | 47.2% | 50.2% | R+3.0 |
| Precinct -PAB 01PAB 01 | 124 | 363 | 8 | 495 | 25.1% | 73.3% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -POL 02POL 02 | 125 | 321 | 14 | 460 | 27.2% | 69.8% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -POL 07POL 07 | 161 | 232 | 10 | 403 | 40.0% | 57.6% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -RON 03RON 03 | 42 | 120 | 5 | 167 | 25.1% | 71.9% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -SWA 02SWA 02 | 36 | 108 | 2 | 146 | 24.7% | 74.0% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -SWA 01SWA 01 | 24 | 70 | 1 | 95 | 25.3% | 73.7% | R+48.4 |
Presidential margin, 1924–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1924 | −17.2% |
| 1928 | −19.6% |
| 1932 | +28.2% |
| 1936 | +28.4% |
| 1940 | −6.5% |
| 1944 | −12.7% |
| 1948 | −2.5% |
| 1952 | −31.3% |
| 1956 | −19.8% |
| 1960 | −13.6% |
| 1964 | +5.3% |
| 1968 | −23.4% |
| 1972 | −28.5% |
| 1976 | −7.7% |
| 1980 | −28.9% |
| 1984 | −24.4% |
| 1988 | −8.5% |
| 1992 | +3.2% |
| 1996 | −4.9% |
| 2000 | −22.3% |
| 2004 | −18.2% |
| 2008 | +1.9% |
| 2012 | −10.0% |
| 2016 | −20.9% |
| 2020 | −14.5% |
| 2024 | −19.9% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 18,799 |
| 2018 | 19,164 |
| 2020 | 20,673 |
| 2022 | 21,490 |
| 2024 | 22,617 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+90 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,469 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $82,190 in average income, against $76,582 for residents who stayed — 7% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.2 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Lake County, MT itself (R+19.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Missoula County, MT152D+21.4
- Flathead County, MT118R+33.8
- Gallatin County, MT23D+3.2
- Yellowstone County, MT23R+27.1
- Sanders County, MT21R+55.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Flathead County, MT125
- Missoula County, MT125
- Sanders County, MT22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +101 |
| 2012 | −135 |
| 2013 | −79 |
| 2014 | −3 |
| 2015 | +171 |
| 2016 | +210 |
| 2017 | +474 |
| 2018 | −20 |
| 2019 | +261 |
| 2021 | +931 |
| 2022 | +763 |
| 2023 | +488 |
| 2024 | +217 |
| 2025 | +90 |
Lake County's Flathead Indian Reservation shapes its electorate in ways that distinguish it from surrounding rural Montana counties, producing more competitive margins than the R+30-plus results common to the region despite an overall Republican lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 31.3 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.9 points.
A population of 32,561, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,360 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cascade County and Delaware County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lake County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.