state senate districtNew York 45th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+1.6
2008D+15.0
2012D+17.4
2016R+4.3
2020D+0.02
2024R+6.4
net swing · 2004→2024R+8.0D+1.6 → R+6.4
vs. U.S. · 2024R+4.9R+6.4 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 58.1% of 257,371 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
69,499
79,018
990
149,507
257,371
58.1%
2020
71,574
71,545
2,878
145,997
261,440†
55.8%
2016
57,705
63,297
10,253
131,255
264,375†
49.6%
2012
71,979
50,301
2,435
124,715
262,650†
47.5%
2008
78,020
57,239
2,943
138,202
258,514†
53.5%
2004
68,603
66,361
3,122
138,086
254,379†
54.3%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNY SD 45New YorkUnited States
Irish16.9%10.5%9.4%
English13.7%5.6%9.5%
French10.4%1.3%1.6%
German10.1%8.6%12.5%
Italian7.5%10.9%4.8%
American5.9%4.2%5.3%
French Canadian4.1%——
Scottish3.1%—1.3%
Puerto Rican0.7%5.1%1.8%
Mexican0.5%2.5%11.3%
Dominican0.3%4.6%0.7%
African American†2.6%8.0%9.9%
Chinese0.2%3.6%1.3%
Asian Indian0.1%1.9%1.4%
Filipino0.1%0.6%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NY SD 45
New York
United States
Median age
43.1
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.6%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
21.3%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NY SD 45
New York
United States
Median household income
$70,587
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.8%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
28.7%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NY SD 45
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.5%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
1.6%
14.8%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.0%
1.5%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
NY SD 45
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New York 45th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+1.6%
2008
+15.0%
2012
+17.4%
2016
−4.3%
2020
+0.0%
2024
−6.4%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.5%Harris69,499
52.9%Trump79,018
0.7%
R+6.4
R+6.4
R+4.9
149,507
D
49.0%Biden71,574
49.0%Trump71,545
2.0%
D+0.02
D+4.3
R+4.4
145,997
R
44.0%Clinton57,705
48.2%Trump63,297
7.8%
R+4.3
R+21.6
R+6.4
131,255
D
57.7%Obama71,979
40.3%Romney50,301
2.0%
D+17.4
D+2.3
D+13.5
124,715
D
56.5%Obama78,020
41.4%McCain57,239
2.1%
D+15.0
D+13.4
D+7.8
138,202
D
49.7%Kerry68,603
48.1%Bush66,361
2.3%
D+1.6
—
D+4.1
138,086
current representation
Current officeholders
RDan StecState Senate · 45
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+23.6, this district stands well outside New York's competitive tier, anchored by communities where Republican candidates have consistently outperformed statewide trends by double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.4 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 6.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.4 points.
A population of 325,409, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,587 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 1 and First Bristol and Plymouth District.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 45th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/36045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New York 45th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 45th State Senate District voted Republican by 6.4 points (R+6.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 149,507 votes cast, 69,499 went Democratic and 79,018 went Republican.
When did New York 45th State Senate District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 45th State Senate District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in New York 45th State Senate District?
New York 45th State Senate District has a population of 325,409 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 45th State Senate District?
Median household income in New York 45th State Senate District is $70,587 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 45th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New York 45th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.
