St. Lawrence County, New York: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+18%. Republican peak: R+53 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 107,2262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,8502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT · similarity 0.96
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −34.2% |
| 1896 | −44.3% |
| 1900 | −44.6% |
| 1904 | −43.7% |
| 1908 | −39.6% |
| 1912 | −16.4% |
| 1916 | −36.0% |
| 1920 | −53.5% |
| 1924 | −39.7% |
| 1928 | −34.0% |
| 1932 | −27.9% |
| 1936 | −33.5% |
| 1940 | −21.9% |
| 1944 | −18.0% |
| 1948 | −22.8% |
| 1952 | −36.6% |
| 1956 | −49.1% |
| 1960 | −14.2% |
| 1964 | +41.3% |
| 1968 | −14.0% |
| 1972 | −26.2% |
| 1976 | −11.9% |
| 1980 | −3.6% |
| 1984 | −24.0% |
| 1988 | −3.5% |
| 1992 | +10.2% |
| 1996 | +28.5% |
| 2000 | +12.4% |
| 2004 | +11.6% |
| 2008 | +16.3% |
| 2012 | +16.7% |
| 2016 | −8.8% |
| 2020 | −11.7% |
| 2024 | −17.9% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 18,010 | 25,919 | 44,168 | ||
| R | 19,361 | 24,608 | 44,800 | ||
| R | 16,488 | 19,942 | 39,158 | ||
| D | 21,353 | 15,138 | 37,191 | ||
| D | 23,706 | 16,956 | 41,326 | ||
| D | 22,857 | 18,029 | 41,761 | ||
| D | 21,386 | 16,449 | 39,786 | ||
| D | 21,798 | 10,827 | 38,477 | ||
| D | 18,197 | 13,901 | 42,317 | ||
| R | 18,921 | 20,290 | 39,481 | ||
| R | 15,963 | 26,062 | 42,149 | ||
| R | 17,006 | 18,437 | 39,624 | ||
| R | 17,503 | 22,249 | 39,934 | ||
| R | 15,286 | 26,145 | 41,503 | ||
| R | 15,662 | 20,982 | 37,933 | ||
| D | 29,173 | 12,102 | 41,307 | ||
| R | 19,430 | 25,848 | 45,302 | ||
| R | 10,892 | 31,897 | 42,789 | ||
| R | 13,000 | 28,036 | 41,087 | ||
| R | 13,200 | 21,160 | 34,925 | ||
| R | 15,223 | 21,919 | 37,219 | ||
| R | 15,569 | 24,339 | 39,990 | ||
| R | 12,763 | 26,031 | 39,556 | ||
| R | 12,687 | 22,650 | 35,680 | ||
| R | 12,567 | 25,804 | 38,960 | ||
| R | 7,026 | 17,682 | 26,856 | ||
| R | 7,213 | 24,651 | 32,606 | ||
| R | 6,056 | 13,142 | 19,683 | ||
| R | 5,329 | 8,404 | 18,721 | ||
| R | 5,898 | 14,151 | 20,849 | ||
| R | 5,798 | 15,274 | 21,686 | ||
| R | 5,699 | 15,296 | 21,539 | ||
| R | 5,749 | 15,287 | 21,541 | ||
| R | 6,156 | 13,177 | 20,535 | ||
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Demographics
St. Lawrence spans more than 2,800 square miles along the Canadian border, and its mix of rural towns, a small college city in Canton, and a declining manufacturing base has driven a steady shift from competitive to reliably Republican in presidential contests.
The Democratic margin here peaked at forty-one points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eighteen points.
A population of 107,226, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,850 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region and Oxford County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
St. Lawrence County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
