- Lead
- 769
- Total
- 35,817
- vs nation
- R+0.7
- Turnout
- 60.1%
Clinton County, NY
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.1% of 62,375 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,850
- Total
- 35,437
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Turnout
- 56.7%
- Lead
- 610
- Total
- 32,105
- vs nation
- R+0.2
- Turnout
- 49.5%
- Lead
- 7,846
- Total
- 30,656
- vs nation
- D+21.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,637
- Total
- 33,337
- vs nation
- D+15.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,294
- Total
- 33,736
- vs nation
- D+9.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,268
- Total
- 30,559
- vs nation
- D+6.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,627
- Total
- 29,060
- vs nation
- D+10.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 78,4932024 5-year
- Population density
- 76 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,038 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,2242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.9 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, NY · twin score 97.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 60.1%37,508 participants ÷ 62,375 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +8.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -13.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 52.0%–52.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37,508 | 62,375 ± 508 | 60.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 30,757 | 63,278 ± 467 | 48.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 36,301 | 63,999 ± 481 | 56.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 27,684 | 64,503 ± 440 | 42.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 32,105 | 64,912 ± 438 | 49.5% | Audited | C/A | |
| 30,656 | 63,942 | 47.9% | Derived | — | |
| 33,337 | 63,628 | 52.4% | Derived | — | |
| 33,736 | 63,314 extrapolated | 53.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 51 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
51 precincts · 35,975 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 1300006360191300006 | 691 | 512 | 13 | 1,216 | 56.8% | 42.1% | D+14.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0100001360190100001 | 415 | 716 | 11 | 1,142 | 36.3% | 62.7% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct 1300003360191300003 | 628 | 488 | 8 | 1,124 | 55.9% | 43.4% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct 1100002360191100002 | 579 | 527 | 6 | 1,112 | 52.1% | 47.4% | D+4.7 |
| Precinct 0600002360190600002 | 434 | 613 | 7 | 1,054 | 41.2% | 58.2% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct 0600001360190600001 | 494 | 494 | 8 | 996 | 49.6% | 49.6% | Exact tie |
| Precinct 0500003360190500003 | 411 | 566 | 3 | 980 | 41.9% | 57.8% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct 1100004360191100004 | 438 | 523 | 12 | 973 | 45.0% | 53.8% | R+8.7 |
| Precinct 1300004360191300004 | 471 | 496 | 3 | 970 | 48.6% | 51.1% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct 1500002360191500002 | 434 | 495 | 7 | 936 | 46.4% | 52.9% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct 1400001360191400001 | 348 | 547 | 10 | 905 | 38.5% | 60.4% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct 0900001360190900001 | 305 | 595 | 1 | 901 | 33.9% | 66.0% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct 0500002360190500002 | 438 | 456 | 5 | 899 | 48.7% | 50.7% | R+2.0 |
| Precinct 1000001360191000001 | 297 | 598 | 3 | 898 | 33.1% | 66.6% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct 0300003360190300003 | 481 | 405 | 6 | 892 | 53.9% | 45.4% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct 1201002360191201002 | 565 | 288 | 10 | 863 | 65.5% | 33.4% | D+32.1 |
| Precinct 0500001360190500001 | 392 | 453 | 7 | 852 | 46.0% | 53.2% | R+7.2 |
| Precinct 1205002360191205002 | 567 | 267 | 10 | 844 | 67.2% | 31.6% | D+35.5 |
| Precinct 1204001360191204001 | 535 | 274 | 14 | 823 | 65.0% | 33.3% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct 1500003360191500003 | 363 | 440 | 3 | 806 | 45.0% | 54.6% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct 0300004360190300004 | 344 | 451 | 3 | 798 | 43.1% | 56.5% | R+13.4 |
| Precinct 1000002360191000002 | 254 | 538 | 6 | 798 | 31.8% | 67.4% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct 1300007360191300007 | 324 | 441 | 6 | 771 | 42.0% | 57.2% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct 1204002360191204002 | 502 | 261 | 4 | 767 | 65.4% | 34.0% | D+31.4 |
| Precinct 1300002360191300002 | 353 | 388 | 4 | 745 | 47.4% | 52.1% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct 1203002360191203002 | 470 | 219 | 10 | 699 | 67.2% | 31.3% | D+35.9 |
| Precinct 0200001360190200001 | 267 | 416 | 5 | 688 | 38.8% | 60.5% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct 1400002360191400002 | 231 | 443 | 3 | 677 | 34.1% | 65.4% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct 0200002360190200002 | 298 | 360 | 4 | 662 | 45.0% | 54.4% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct 1203001360191203001 | 402 | 237 | 5 | 644 | 62.4% | 36.8% | D+25.6 |
| Precinct 1100001360191100001 | 300 | 338 | 4 | 642 | 46.7% | 52.6% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct 0300002360190300002 | 266 | 369 | 3 | 638 | 41.7% | 57.8% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct 1500001360191500001 | 229 | 405 | 4 | 638 | 35.9% | 63.5% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct 1100003360191100003 | 226 | 407 | 4 | 637 | 35.5% | 63.9% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct 1206001360191206001 | 439 | 165 | 8 | 612 | 71.7% | 27.0% | D+44.8 |
| Precinct 1400003360191400003 | 236 | 359 | 2 | 597 | 39.5% | 60.1% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct 0400001360190400001 | 196 | 376 | 3 | 575 | 34.1% | 65.4% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct 1202001360191202001 | 364 | 183 | 8 | 555 | 65.6% | 33.0% | D+32.6 |
| Precinct 1205001360191205001 | 341 | 148 | 3 | 492 | 69.3% | 30.1% | D+39.2 |
| Precinct 0300001360190300001 | 251 | 239 | 1 | 491 | 51.1% | 48.7% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct 1300001360191300001 | 272 | 211 | 4 | 487 | 55.9% | 43.3% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct 1206002360191206002 | 280 | 117 | 1 | 398 | 70.4% | 29.4% | D+41.0 |
| Precinct 1201003360191201003 | 238 | 122 | 3 | 363 | 65.6% | 33.6% | D+32.0 |
| Precinct 0800002360190800002 | 133 | 223 | 0 | 356 | 37.4% | 62.6% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct 1201001360191201001 | 200 | 146 | 0 | 346 | 57.8% | 42.2% | D+15.6 |
| Precinct 0700001360190700001 | 111 | 218 | 0 | 329 | 33.7% | 66.3% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct 1300005360191300005 | 166 | 152 | 2 | 320 | 51.9% | 47.5% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct 1202002360191202002 | 204 | 107 | 2 | 313 | 65.2% | 34.2% | D+31.0 |
| Precinct 0800003360190800003 | 104 | 159 | 0 | 263 | 39.5% | 60.5% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct 0800001360190800001 | 99 | 159 | 0 | 258 | 38.4% | 61.6% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct 0400002360190400002 | 92 | 137 | 1 | 230 | 40.0% | 59.6% | R+19.6 |
presidential history
Party record book
Clinton County, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.1%
18,398 votes · D+50.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 61.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
70.5%
16,295 votes · R+40.9
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 67.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
20,216votes
60.6% of the vote · D+22.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 18,961 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
19,549votes
64.2% of the vote · R+28.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 18,247 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+33.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.3 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +27.7 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
+26.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+6.6 · U.S. D+19.5
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +25.8 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Clinton County, NY. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 48.3%15,673 | 51.7%16,790 | 32,463 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 3.2 points more Republican than the rolls.
53,785 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+422 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,861 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,151 in average income, against $70,424 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.5 on average — 8.7 points more Democratic-leaning than Clinton County, NY itself (R+2.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Essex County, NY182D+0.5
- Franklin County, NY91R+9.0
- Chittenden County, VT76D+53.1
- Franklin County, VT40D+3.0
- St. Lawrence County, NY36R+18.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Essex County, NY144
- Franklin County, NY95
- Chittenden County, VT47
- Saratoga County, NY35
- Albany County, NY32
- Franklin County, VT26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −569 |
| 2012 | −192 |
| 2013 | −288 |
| 2014 | −256 |
| 2015 | −917 |
| 2016 | −368 |
| 2017 | −75 |
| 2018 | +28 |
| 2019 | −253 |
| 2021 | −539 |
| 2022 | −846 |
| 2023 | +4 |
| 2024 | −12 |
| 2025 | +422 |
Clinton County hugs the Quebec border along Lake Champlain and has trended Republican in recent cycles after spending decades as reliably Democratic territory, reflecting a broader rural shift across upstate New York.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.9 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.1 points.
A population of 78,493, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,224 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Franklin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Clinton County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.