HarrisDemocratic50.1%9,629TrumpRepublican49.6%9,533SteinIndependent0.2%40
D+0.5- Lead
- 96
- Total
- 19,236
- vs nation
- D+2.0
- Turnout
- 64.6%
Akashiccounty
Essex County, NY
Contests in this Place (77 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.6% of 30,529 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic51.6%9,950TrumpRepublican46.6%8,982JorgensenLibertarian0.9%173
D+5.0- Lead
- 968
- Total
- 19,280
- vs nation
- D+0.6
- Turnout
- 63.7%
ClintonDemocratic45.1%7,762TrumpRepublican46.2%7,958JohnsonLibertarian4.2%728
R+1.1- Lead
- 196
- Total
- 17,218
- vs nation
- R+3.2
- Turnout
- 55.8%
ObamaDemocratic58.5%9,784RomneyRepublican39.8%6,647JohnsonLibertarian0.8%134
D+18.8- Lead
- 3,137
- Total
- 16,717
- vs nation
- D+14.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic55.9%10,390McCainRepublican42.6%7,913OtherAll other candidates1.6%292
D+13.3- Lead
- 2,477
- Total
- 18,595
- vs nation
- D+6.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic45.9%8,768BushRepublican51.7%9,869OtherAll other candidates2.3%445
R+5.8- Lead
- 1,101
- Total
- 19,082
- vs nation
- R+3.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic44.2%7,927BushRepublican49.2%8,822NaderGreen4.7%848
R+5.0- Lead
- 895
- Total
- 17,938
- vs nation
- R+5.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic46.5%7,893DoleRepublican37.6%6,379PerotReform13.9%2,363
D+8.9- Lead
- 1,514
- Total
- 16,986
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+0.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,9732024 5-year
- Population density
- 21 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,794 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,6612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rutland County, VT · twin score 93.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 64.6%19,709 participants ÷ 30,529 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -9.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 52.5%–54.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19,709 | 30,529 ± 282 | 64.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 15,848 | 30,689 ± 341 | 51.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 19,453 | 30,556 ± 365 | 63.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 14,916 | 30,739 ± 283 | 48.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 17,462 | 31,273 ± 290 | 55.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 16,717 | 30,904 | 54.1% | Derived | — | |
| 18,595 | 29,878 | 62.2% | Derived | — | |
| 19,082 | 28,852 extrapolated | 66.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 33 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
33 precincts · 19,358 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0500001360310500001 | 551 | 397 | 10 | 958 | 57.5% | 41.4% | D+16.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1100002360311100002 | 631 | 288 | 8 | 927 | 68.1% | 31.1% | D+37.0 |
| Precinct 1600001360311600001 | 501 | 315 | 18 | 834 | 60.1% | 37.8% | D+22.3 |
| Precinct 0900002360310900002 | 260 | 550 | 1 | 811 | 32.1% | 67.8% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct 1100006360311100006 | 502 | 289 | 12 | 803 | 62.5% | 36.0% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct 1300001360311300001 | 445 | 335 | 12 | 792 | 56.2% | 42.3% | D+13.9 |
| Precinct 0600001360310600001 | 550 | 189 | 8 | 747 | 73.6% | 25.3% | D+48.3 |
| Precinct 0900001360310900001 | 302 | 425 | 6 | 733 | 41.2% | 58.0% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct 1800001360311800001 | 420 | 304 | 5 | 729 | 57.6% | 41.7% | D+15.9 |
| Precinct 0200001360310200001 | 239 | 469 | 4 | 712 | 33.6% | 65.9% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct 0100002360310100002 | 285 | 375 | 5 | 665 | 42.9% | 56.4% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct 1400002360311400002 | 279 | 380 | 5 | 664 | 42.0% | 57.2% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct 1500001360311500001 | 252 | 397 | 7 | 656 | 38.4% | 60.5% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct 0300001360310300001 | 320 | 320 | 4 | 644 | 49.7% | 49.7% | Exact tie |
| Precinct 0700001360310700001 | 247 | 364 | 7 | 618 | 40.0% | 58.9% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct 1700001360311700001 | 323 | 289 | 4 | 616 | 52.4% | 46.9% | D+5.5 |
| Precinct 0100001360310100001 | 323 | 284 | 7 | 614 | 52.6% | 46.3% | D+6.4 |
| Precinct 1100005360311100005 | 356 | 234 | 6 | 596 | 59.7% | 39.3% | D+20.5 |
| Precinct 1500003360311500003 | 243 | 322 | 8 | 573 | 42.4% | 56.2% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct 1400001360311400001 | 201 | 342 | 5 | 548 | 36.7% | 62.4% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct 1100003360311100003 | 319 | 207 | 6 | 532 | 60.0% | 38.9% | D+21.1 |
| Precinct 1500002360311500002 | 166 | 302 | 1 | 469 | 35.4% | 64.4% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct 0900003360310900003 | 155 | 310 | 1 | 466 | 33.3% | 66.5% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct 1100004360311100004 | 289 | 165 | 3 | 457 | 63.2% | 36.1% | D+27.1 |
| Precinct 0800001360310800001 | 190 | 254 | 12 | 456 | 41.7% | 55.7% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct 1500004360311500004 | 144 | 291 | 0 | 435 | 33.1% | 66.9% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct 1700002360311700002 | 192 | 236 | 4 | 432 | 44.4% | 54.6% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct 0400001360310400001 | 276 | 125 | 12 | 413 | 66.8% | 30.3% | D+36.6 |
| Precinct 1100001360311100001 | 216 | 149 | 6 | 371 | 58.2% | 40.2% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct 0500002360310500002 | 180 | 169 | 2 | 351 | 51.3% | 48.1% | D+3.1 |
| Precinct 1000001360311000001 | 137 | 172 | 7 | 316 | 43.4% | 54.4% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct 0200002360310200002 | 78 | 166 | 0 | 244 | 32.0% | 68.0% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct 1200001360311200001 | 57 | 119 | 0 | 176 | 32.4% | 67.6% | R+35.2 |
presidential history
Party record book
Essex County, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
64.8%
10,739 votes · D+29.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 58.5%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
82.1%
13,930 votes · R+64.2
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 77.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
10,739votes
64.8% of the vote · D+29.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 10,390 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
13,930votes
82.1% of the vote · R+64.2
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 12,800 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+14.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.8 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +7.0 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+60.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.0 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · +48.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RDan StecState Senate · 45
RMatt SimpsonState House · 114
DMichael CashmanState House · 115
Seats representing Essex County, NY. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 48.4%8,384 | 51.6%8,955 | 17,339 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+11.3
Presidential vote · 2024D+0.5
Essex County, NY registers Republican but votes Democratic — a 12-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
27,990 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+168 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,518 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $74,161 in average income, against $73,268 for residents who stayed — 1% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+2.8 on average — 3.3 points more Republican-leaning than Essex County, NY itself (D+0.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clinton County, NY144R+2.1
- Franklin County, NY91R+9.0
- Warren County, NY43R+4.2
- Saratoga County, NY34D+1.8
- Washington County, NY22R+21.1
- Addison County, VT20D+35.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clinton County, NY182
- Franklin County, NY129
- Warren County, NY53
- Saratoga County, NY29
- Washington County, NY23
- Chittenden County, VT20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −104 |
| 2012 | −384 |
| 2013 | −197 |
| 2014 | −217 |
| 2015 | −259 |
| 2016 | −179 |
| 2017 | −80 |
| 2018 | −114 |
| 2019 | −300 |
| 2021 | +168 |
| 2022 | −289 |
| 2023 | +171 |
| 2024 | +98 |
| 2025 | +168 |
Essex County stretches across the Adirondack High Peaks, where a sparse, predominantly white rural population has trended competitive after decades of leaning reliably Republican — the 2024 presidential margin landed within half a point.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 64.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.5 points.
A population of 36,973, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,661 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rutland County and Caledonia County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Rutland County
Vermont
93.3twin score
2012–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry
Caledonia County
Vermont
92.1twin score
2012–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry
Bennington County
Vermont
90.4twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Essex County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Essex County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Essex County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Essex County, New York voted a near-tie (D+0.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 19,236 votes cast, 9,629 went Democratic and 9,533 went Republican.
When did Essex County, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Essex County, New York voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Essex County, New York?
Essex County, New York has a population of 36,973 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Essex County, New York?
Median household income in Essex County, New York is $71,661 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Essex County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Essex County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.