Hernando County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 111,052 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -310310 | 1,796 | 5,317 | 68 | 7,181 | 25.0% | 74.0% | R+49.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -520520 | 1,475 | 4,020 | 69 | 5,564 | 26.5% | 72.3% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -430430 | 1,582 | 3,175 | 57 | 4,814 | 32.9% | 66.0% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -250250 | 1,468 | 3,134 | 50 | 4,652 | 31.6% | 67.4% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -340340 | 1,511 | 3,072 | 48 | 4,631 | 32.6% | 66.3% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -300300 | 1,243 | 3,266 | 48 | 4,557 | 27.3% | 71.7% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -240240 | 1,541 | 2,945 | 65 | 4,551 | 33.9% | 64.7% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -450450 | 1,318 | 3,141 | 49 | 4,508 | 29.2% | 69.7% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -510510 | 1,563 | 2,811 | 57 | 4,431 | 35.3% | 63.4% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -220220 | 1,453 | 2,646 | 41 | 4,140 | 35.1% | 63.9% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -440440 | 1,480 | 2,533 | 50 | 4,063 | 36.4% | 62.3% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -230230 | 1,430 | 2,298 | 37 | 3,765 | 38.0% | 61.0% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -540540 | 1,118 | 2,501 | 49 | 3,668 | 30.5% | 68.2% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -160160 | 1,144 | 2,336 | 44 | 3,524 | 32.5% | 66.3% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct -120120 | 1,200 | 2,101 | 38 | 3,339 | 35.9% | 62.9% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -350350 | 741 | 2,560 | 23 | 3,324 | 22.3% | 77.0% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -110110 | 1,212 | 2,085 | 25 | 3,322 | 36.5% | 62.8% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -550550 | 834 | 2,352 | 43 | 3,229 | 25.8% | 72.8% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -400400 | 1,069 | 1,955 | 31 | 3,055 | 35.0% | 64.0% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -420420 | 894 | 2,118 | 25 | 3,037 | 29.4% | 69.7% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -360360 | 1,084 | 1,802 | 27 | 2,913 | 37.2% | 61.9% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -530530 | 525 | 1,950 | 27 | 2,502 | 21.0% | 77.9% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -330330 | 638 | 1,798 | 18 | 2,454 | 26.0% | 73.3% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -320320 | 734 | 1,640 | 20 | 2,394 | 30.7% | 68.5% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -130130 | 779 | 1,555 | 23 | 2,357 | 33.1% | 66.0% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -140140 | 812 | 1,498 | 20 | 2,330 | 34.8% | 64.3% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -210210 | 837 | 1,462 | 25 | 2,324 | 36.0% | 62.9% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -100100 | 718 | 1,538 | 22 | 2,278 | 31.5% | 67.5% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -200200 | 502 | 1,683 | 15 | 2,200 | 22.8% | 76.5% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -150150 | 736 | 1,380 | 29 | 2,145 | 34.3% | 64.3% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -500500 | 375 | 1,598 | 22 | 1,995 | 18.8% | 80.1% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -410410 | 619 | 1,176 | 10 | 1,805 | 34.3% | 65.2% | R+30.9 |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | +58.8% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +73.2% |
| 1896 | +69.8% |
| 1900 | +81.8% |
| 1904 | +79.6% |
| 1908 | +59.9% |
| 1912 | +66.3% |
| 1916 | +72.9% |
| 1920 | +59.9% |
| 1924 | +60.1% |
| 1928 | +2.9% |
| 1932 | +61.9% |
| 1936 | +56.2% |
| 1940 | +50.3% |
| 1944 | +48.7% |
| 1948 | +23.0% |
| 1952 | −7.3% |
| 1956 | +5.1% |
| 1960 | +4.0% |
| 1964 | −0.4% |
| 1968 | −8.9% |
| 1972 | −49.8% |
| 1976 | +14.0% |
| 1980 | −14.8% |
| 1984 | −27.1% |
| 1988 | −15.6% |
| 1992 | +2.6% |
| 1996 | +11.2% |
| 2000 | +3.1% |
| 2004 | −6.8% |
| 2008 | −3.6% |
| 2012 | −8.5% |
| 2016 | −29.0% |
| 2020 | −30.2% |
| 2024 | −37.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 130,640 | 42,042 | 53,449 | 34,407 | 742 |
| 2018 | 134,923 | 42,337 | 56,197 | 35,014 | 1,375 |
| 2019 | 138,664 | 42,420 | 58,122 | 36,210 | 1,912 |
| 2020 | 147,746 | 43,456 | 64,233 | 37,338 | 2,719 |
| 2021 | 146,218 | 41,028 | 63,899 | 38,334 | 2,957 |
| 2023 | 136,530 | 33,945 | 65,065 | 33,650 | 3,870 |
| 2024 | 146,253 | 34,545 | 71,460 | 34,972 | 5,276 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+5,206 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +60,543 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,474 in average income, against $61,974 for residents who stayed — 1% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+13.6 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Hernando County, FL itself (R+37.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pasco County, FL2,001R+25.2
- Hillsborough County, FL1,318R+3.1
- Pinellas County, FL576R+5.2
- Citrus County, FL236R+45.9
- Miami-Dade County, FL130R+11.4
- Polk County, FL111R+20.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pasco County, FL1,249
- Hillsborough County, FL590
- Citrus County, FL426
- Pinellas County, FL258
- Sumter County, FL119
- Marion County, FL114
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +721 |
| 2012 | +820 |
| 2013 | +1,880 |
| 2014 | +2,317 |
| 2015 | +3,322 |
| 2016 | +5,238 |
| 2017 | +5,094 |
| 2018 | +4,812 |
| 2019 | +4,530 |
| 2021 | +7,225 |
| 2022 | +7,391 |
| 2023 | +6,816 |
| 2024 | +5,171 |
| 2025 | +5,206 |
Hernando County's population has grown steadily through retiree in-migration from Tampa's northern sprawl, and that demographic shift has coincided with a 37-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the largest in the I-75 corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.8 points in 1900 and a Republican high of 49.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.1 points.
A population of 207,018, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,058 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flagler County and Mercer County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hernando County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.