Hernando County, Florida: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+37%. Democratic peak: D+82 in 1900.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 207,0182024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,0582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82 in 1900MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Clair County, MI · similarity 0.98
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Hernando CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Hernando County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | +58.8% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +73.2% |
| 1896 | +69.8% |
| 1900 | +81.8% |
| 1904 | +79.6% |
| 1908 | +59.9% |
| 1912 | +66.3% |
| 1916 | +72.9% |
| 1920 | +59.9% |
| 1924 | +60.1% |
| 1928 | +2.9% |
| 1932 | +61.9% |
| 1936 | +56.2% |
| 1940 | +50.3% |
| 1944 | +48.7% |
| 1948 | +23.0% |
| 1952 | −7.3% |
| 1956 | +5.1% |
| 1960 | +4.0% |
| 1964 | −0.4% |
| 1968 | −8.9% |
| 1972 | −49.8% |
| 1976 | +14.0% |
| 1980 | −14.8% |
| 1984 | −27.1% |
| 1988 | −15.6% |
| 1992 | +2.6% |
| 1996 | +11.2% |
| 2000 | +3.1% |
| 2004 | −6.8% |
| 2008 | −3.6% |
| 2012 | −8.5% |
| 2016 | −29.0% |
| 2020 | −30.2% |
| 2024 | −37.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 34,418 | 75,435 | 110,667 | ||
| R | 37,519 | 70,412 | 108,922 | ||
| R | 31,795 | 58,970 | 93,796 | ||
| R | 37,830 | 44,938 | 83,667 | ||
| R | 41,886 | 45,021 | 87,901 | ||
| R | 37,187 | 42,635 | 80,547 | ||
| D | 32,648 | 30,658 | 65,236 | ||
| D | 28,524 | 22,046 | 58,066 | ||
| D | 19,174 | 17,902 | 49,086 | ||
| R | 15,437 | 21,195 | 36,863 | ||
| R | 12,204 | 21,279 | 33,487 | ||
| R | 8,858 | 12,115 | 22,032 | ||
| D | 7,717 | 5,793 | 13,732 | ||
| R | 2,110 | 6,296 | 8,409 | ||
| O | 1,524 | 2,053 | 5,964 | ||
| R | 2,320 | 2,337 | 4,657 | ||
| D | 1,960 | 1,809 | 3,769 | ||
| D | 1,435 | 1,295 | 2,730 | ||
| R | 1,104 | 1,279 | 2,383 | ||
| D | 825 | 441 | 1,672 | ||
| D | 1,002 | 346 | 1,348 | ||
| D | 1,151 | 381 | 1,532 | ||
| D | 1,115 | 313 | 1,428 | ||
| D | 1,097 | 258 | 1,355 | ||
| D | 701 | 661 | 1,383 | ||
| D | 300 | 59 | 401 | ||
| D | 622 | 132 | 818 | ||
| D | 446 | 38 | 560 | ||
| D | 272 | 18 | 383 | ||
| D | 260 | 57 | 339 | ||
| D | 172 | 12 | 201 | ||
| D | 252 | 18 | 286 | ||
| D | 231 | 37 | 278 | ||
| D | 227 | 0 | 310 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 1,040 | 270 | 1,310 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.4%
Irish
12.5%
English
11.7%
Italian
10.1%
American
9.7%
Polish
3.2%
French
2.9%
African American
3.9%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 47.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,058
Hernando County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Hernando County$66,058
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Hernando County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.7%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.5%
Working age (18–64)11.1%
Seniors (65+)11.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.7%
speak English only
Spanish10.3%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Hernando County's population has grown steadily through retiree in-migration from Tampa's northern sprawl, and that demographic shift has coincided with a 37-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the largest in the I-75 corridor.
The Democratic margin here once reached eighty-two points in 1900. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-seven points.
A population of 207,018, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,058 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Clair County and Pasco County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hernando County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Hernando County, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hernando County, Florida voted Republican by 37.1 points (R+37), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 110,667 votes cast, 34,418 went Democratic and 75,435 went Republican.
What is Hernando County, Florida's political typology?
Akashic places Hernando County, Florida in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 1 times.
When did Hernando County, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hernando County, Florida voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Hernando County, Florida?
Hernando County, Florida has a population of 207,018 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hernando County, Florida?
Median household income in Hernando County, Florida is $66,058 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Hernando County, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hernando County, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.