congressional districtArizona 7th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+20.3
2008D+21.6
2012D+25.9
2016D+33.6
2020D+32.7
2024D+22.1
net swing · 2004→2024D+1.8D+20.3 → D+22.1
vs. U.S. · 2024D+23.6D+22.1 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 51.6% of 545,945 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
170,352
108,028
3,313
281,693
545,945
51.6%
2020
194,993
97,733
4,417
297,143
516,518†
57.5%
2016
150,033
70,499
16,019
236,551
474,266†
49.9%
2012
128,470
74,755
3,839
207,064
441,796†
46.9%
2008
127,029
81,309
3,410
211,748
425,953†
49.7%
2004
115,458
76,071
2,279
193,808
410,109†
47.3%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAZ-7ArizonaUnited States
Mexican52.0%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.4%0.7%1.8%
Spaniard1.0%0.5%—
Spanish0.7%0.4%—
Guatemalan0.7%0.4%0.5%
Salvadoran0.5%0.3%0.7%
Cuban0.5%0.3%0.7%
Colombian0.3%0.2%0.4%
German10.3%12.6%12.5%
English8.2%10.2%9.5%
Irish7.3%8.9%9.4%
Italian3.4%4.1%4.8%
American3.2%4.0%5.3%
Polish1.8%2.0%2.2%
French1.5%1.8%1.6%
Scottish1.4%1.7%1.3%
African American†3.5%3.6%9.9%
African0.4%0.3%0.5%
Asian Indian0.5%0.9%1.4%
Chinese0.4%0.6%1.3%
Filipino0.4%0.7%0.9%
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.2%0.3%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
AZ-7
Arizona
United States
Median age
34.3
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
10.1%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.4%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
AZ-7
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$59,811
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
19.0%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
35.3%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
AZ-7
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
27.7%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
22.1%
19.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.1%
1.0%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
AZ-7
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arizona 7th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+20.3%
2008
+21.6%
2012
+25.9%
2016
+33.6%
2020
+32.7%
2024
+22.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 12 House races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
7
D
63.4%171,954
36.6%99,057
271,011
2022
7
D
64.5%126,418
35.5%69,444
195,862
2020
7
D
76.7%165,452
23.3%50,229
215,732
2018
7
D
85.6%113,044
0.0%0
132,051
2016
7
D
75.2%119,465
24.7%39,286
158,811
2014
7
D
74.9%54,235
0.0%0
72,454
2012
7
D
81.7%104,489
0.0%0
127,827
2010
7
D
50.2%79,935
44.2%70,385
159,144
2008
7
D
63.3%124,304
32.8%64,425
196,489
2006
7
D
61.1%80,354
35.4%46,498
131,525
2004
7
D
62.1%108,868
33.7%59,066
175,437
2002
7
D
59.0%61,256
37.1%38,474
103,818
Arizona's 7th anchors Tucson's urban core and stretches through majority-Latino communities along the Santa Cruz Valley, producing presidential margins that regularly exceed 35 points and making it one of the most reliably left-leaning seats in the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.6 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 10.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.1 points.
A population of 794,610, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,811 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 3 and Congressional District 20.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arizona 7th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0407/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Arizona 7th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arizona 7th Congressional District voted Democratic by 22.1 points (D+22.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 281,693 votes cast, 170,352 went Democratic and 108,028 went Republican.
How many people live in Arizona 7th Congressional District?
Arizona 7th Congressional District has a population of 794,610 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arizona 7th Congressional District?
Median household income in Arizona 7th Congressional District is $59,811 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Arizona 7th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arizona 7th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
