Graham County, Arizona
Precinct data
Results by precinct
42 precincts · 29,957 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -009 PIMA 9009 PIMA 9 | 306 | 1,925 | 2,273 | 4,504 | 6.8% | 42.7% | R+35.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -007 THATCHER 7007 THATCHER 7 | 336 | 1,193 | 1,565 | 3,094 | 10.9% | 38.6% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct -015 SAFFORD 15015 SAFFORD 15 | 388 | 849 | 1,267 | 2,504 | 15.5% | 33.9% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -002 SAFFORD 2002 SAFFORD 2 | 370 | 782 | 1,196 | 2,348 | 15.8% | 33.3% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct -005 LAYTON 5005 LAYTON 5 | 299 | 865 | 1,178 | 2,342 | 12.8% | 36.9% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct -018 JACKSON 18018 JACKSON 18 | 186 | 836 | 1,048 | 2,070 | 9.0% | 40.4% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -019 DESERT HILLS 19019 DESERT HILLS 19 | 134 | 770 | 928 | 1,832 | 7.3% | 42.0% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -001 SOLOMON 1001 SOLOMON 1 | 214 | 574 | 806 | 1,594 | 13.4% | 36.0% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -006 THATCHER 6006 THATCHER 6 | 100 | 621 | 751 | 1,472 | 6.8% | 42.2% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -011 BYLAS 11011 BYLAS 11 | 534 | 123 | 665 | 1,322 | 40.4% | 9.3% | D+31.1 |
| Precinct -020 ARTESIA 20020 ARTESIA 20 | 106 | 538 | 660 | 1,304 | 8.1% | 41.3% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -003 SAFFORD 3003 SAFFORD 3 | 143 | 394 | 543 | 1,080 | 13.2% | 36.5% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct -008 CENTRAL 8008 CENTRAL 8 | 45 | 475 | 526 | 1,046 | 4.3% | 45.4% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -016 PERIDOT 16016 PERIDOT 16 | 383 | 107 | 498 | 988 | 38.8% | 10.8% | D+27.9 |
| Precinct -004 LAYTON 4004 LAYTON 4 | 148 | 308 | 462 | 918 | 16.1% | 33.6% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct -014 THUNDERBIRD 14014 THUNDERBIRD 14 | 43 | 216 | 273 | 532 | 8.1% | 40.6% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -017 CACTUS 17017 CACTUS 17 | 48 | 139 | 189 | 376 | 12.8% | 37.0% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct -010 FORT THOMAS 10010 FORT THOMAS 10 | 25 | 190 | 0 | 215 | 11.6% | 88.4% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -013 BONITA 13013 BONITA 13 | 14 | 126 | 0 | 140 | 10.0% | 90.0% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -021 QUATRO CERROS 21021 QUATRO CERROS 21 | 17 | 78 | 0 | 95 | 17.9% | 82.1% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -012 KLONDYKE 12012 KLONDYKE 12 | 15 | 30 | 49 | 94 | 16.0% | 31.9% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -023 FORT GRANT 23023 FORT GRANT 23 | 4 | 26 | 36 | 66 | 6.1% | 39.4% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -022 GILA RIVER 22022 GILA RIVER 22 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 21 | 42.9% | 57.1% | R+14.3 |
| Bonita 13 Voting District04_0400913 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Bylas 11 Voting District04_0400911 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Cactus 17 Voting District04_0400917 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Central 8 Voting District04_0400908 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Jackson 18 Voting District04_0400918 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Klondyke 12 Voting District04_0400912 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Layton 4 Voting District04_0400904 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Layton 5 Voting District04_0400905 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Peridot 16 Voting District04_0400916 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Pima 9 Voting District04_0400909 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Safford 15a Voting District04_0400915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Safford 15b Voting District04_0400919 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Safford 2 Voting District04_0400902 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Safford 3 Voting District04_0400903 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Solomon 1 Voting District04_0400901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Thatcher 6 Voting District04_0400906 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Thatcher 7 Voting District04_0400907 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Thomas 10 Voting District04_0400910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Thunderbird 14 Voting District04_0400914 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +41.3% |
| 1916 | +48.7% |
| 1920 | +8.6% |
| 1924 | +17.9% |
| 1928 | +13.2% |
| 1932 | +59.3% |
| 1936 | +65.4% |
| 1940 | +45.7% |
| 1944 | +35.0% |
| 1948 | +27.5% |
| 1952 | +0.2% |
| 1956 | −17.1% |
| 1960 | −8.7% |
| 1964 | +2.4% |
| 1968 | −12.2% |
| 1972 | −28.8% |
| 1976 | −8.8% |
| 1980 | −24.7% |
| 1984 | −25.7% |
| 1988 | −19.8% |
| 1992 | −8.0% |
| 1996 | −3.1% |
| 2000 | −27.4% |
| 2004 | −39.9% |
| 2008 | −40.7% |
| 2012 | −37.5% |
| 2016 | −38.5% |
| 2020 | −44.7% |
| 2024 | −48.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Democratic.
20,375 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−228 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −192 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,452 in average income, against $69,039 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+13.1 on average — 35 points more Democratic-leaning than Graham County, AZ itself (R+48.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Maricopa County, AZ155R+3.5
- Greenlee County, AZ72R+40.9
- Pima County, AZ67D+15.2
- Cochise County, AZ43R+23.1
- Pinal County, AZ32R+22.1
- Gila County, AZ23R+37.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Maricopa County, AZ135
- Pima County, AZ67
- Greenlee County, AZ65
- Cochise County, AZ37
- Gila County, AZ23
- Pinal County, AZ21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −301 |
| 2012 | −394 |
| 2013 | +97 |
| 2014 | +243 |
| 2015 | −625 |
| 2016 | −372 |
| 2017 | −643 |
| 2018 | +302 |
| 2019 | +607 |
| 2021 | +194 |
| 2022 | −178 |
| 2023 | +602 |
| 2024 | +504 |
| 2025 | −228 |
Graham County's high desert terrain and small-town economy have produced presidential margins above R+40 in each of the past several cycles, making it a consistent outlier even within a state that has trended competitive at the statewide level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.1 points.
A population of 39,232, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,325 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Liberty County and Jerome County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Graham County, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/04009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.