Graham County, Arizona: Texan Right county. In 2024, voted R+48%. Democratic peak: D+65 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Texan RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 39,2322024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,3252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 30.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+65 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Winkler County, TX · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Graham CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Graham County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +41.3% |
| 1916 | +48.7% |
| 1920 | +8.6% |
| 1924 | +17.9% |
| 1928 | +13.2% |
| 1932 | +59.3% |
| 1936 | +65.4% |
| 1940 | +45.7% |
| 1944 | +35.0% |
| 1948 | +27.5% |
| 1952 | +0.2% |
| 1956 | −17.1% |
| 1960 | −8.7% |
| 1964 | +2.4% |
| 1968 | −12.2% |
| 1972 | −28.8% |
| 1976 | −8.8% |
| 1980 | −24.7% |
| 1984 | −25.7% |
| 1988 | −19.8% |
| 1992 | −8.0% |
| 1996 | −3.1% |
| 2000 | −27.4% |
| 2004 | −39.9% |
| 2008 | −40.7% |
| 2012 | −37.5% |
| 2016 | −38.5% |
| 2020 | −44.7% |
| 2024 | −48.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,867 | 11,177 | 15,215 | ||
| R | 4,034 | 10,749 | 15,029 | ||
| R | 3,301 | 8,025 | 12,281 | ||
| R | 3,609 | 8,076 | 11,905 | ||
| R | 3,487 | 8,376 | 12,007 | ||
| R | 3,185 | 7,467 | 10,720 | ||
| R | 3,355 | 6,007 | 9,664 | ||
| R | 3,938 | 4,222 | 9,296 | ||
| R | 3,391 | 4,169 | 9,699 | ||
| R | 3,407 | 5,120 | 8,652 | ||
| R | 3,080 | 5,247 | 8,416 | ||
| R | 2,801 | 4,765 | 7,961 | ||
| R | 3,050 | 3,659 | 6,958 | ||
| R | 1,863 | 3,575 | 5,943 | ||
| R | 1,726 | 2,327 | 4,929 | ||
| D | 2,783 | 2,655 | 5,438 | ||
| R | 2,091 | 2,491 | 4,583 | ||
| R | 1,688 | 2,384 | 4,072 | ||
| D | 2,200 | 2,191 | 4,391 | ||
| D | 2,139 | 1,209 | 3,386 | ||
| D | 2,393 | 1,151 | 3,549 | ||
| D | 3,130 | 1,161 | 4,310 | ||
| D | 3,541 | 680 | 4,375 | ||
| D | 2,867 | 718 | 3,625 | ||
| D | 1,615 | 1,238 | 2,861 | ||
| D | 1,252 | 813 | 2,451 | ||
| D | 1,261 | 1,062 | 2,323 | ||
| D | 1,597 | 497 | 2,257 | ||
| D | 540 | 103 | 1,057 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
12.9%
German
8.5%
Irish
6.6%
American
6.3%
Scottish
4.0%
Italian
2.1%
French
1.1%
African American
1.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$67,325
Graham County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Graham County$67,325
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Graham County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.3%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1817.2%
Working age (18–64)16.9%
Seniors (65+)21.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.0%
speak English only
Spanish13.1%
Other languages4.8%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Graham County's high desert terrain and small-town economy have produced presidential margins above R+40 in each of the past several cycles, making it a consistent outlier even within a state that has trended competitive at the statewide level.
The Republican margin here reached forty-eight points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-eight points.
A population of 39,232, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,325 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Winkler County and Sutton County. A non-English-speaking share of 19% reflects a meaningful Latino presence that votes, here, with the Republican grain.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Graham County, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/04009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Arizona
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Frequently asked questions
How did Graham County, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Graham County, Arizona voted Republican by 48.0 points (R+48), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,215 votes cast, 3,867 went Democratic and 11,177 went Republican.
What is Graham County, Arizona's political typology?
Akashic places Graham County, Arizona in the "Texan Right" typology — East Texas and the Piney Woods — solidly Republican, with a meaningful Latino presence. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 17 times, and other 0 times.
When did Graham County, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Graham County, Arizona voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Graham County, Arizona?
Graham County, Arizona has a population of 39,232 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Graham County, Arizona?
Median household income in Graham County, Arizona is $67,325 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Graham County, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Graham County, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The county's typology — "Texan Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.