† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupDouglasArizonaUnited States
Mexican72.3%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican2.8%0.7%1.8%
Spaniard0.9%0.5%—
Panamanian0.7%——
Cuban0.5%0.3%0.7%
Guatemalan0.5%0.4%0.5%
Spanish0.5%0.4%—
German7.0%12.6%12.5%
English6.6%10.2%9.5%
Irish4.8%8.9%9.4%
American1.8%4.0%5.3%
Italian1.5%4.1%4.8%
French1.2%1.8%1.6%
Scottish1.1%1.7%1.3%
Polish0.7%2.0%2.2%
African American†3.1%3.6%9.9%
African0.3%0.3%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Douglas
Arizona
United States
Median age
34.4
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
10.7%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.1%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Douglas
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$42,019
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
27.8%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
12.4%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Douglas
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
68.3%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
66.2%
19.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Douglas
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Douglas, Arizona
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+35.6%
2008
+36.9%
2012
+46.3%
2016
+56.7%
2020
+43.9%
2024
+25.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
62.5%Harris2,957
36.6%Trump1,730
0.9%
D+25.9
R+18.0
D+27.4
4,729
D
71.4%Biden3,776
27.5%Trump1,456
1.0%
D+43.9
R+12.8
D+39.4
5,285
D
75.1%Clinton3,258
18.5%Trump801
6.4%
D+56.7
D+10.4
D+54.6
4,337
D
71.9%Obama3,593
25.7%Romney1,283
2.4%
D+46.3
D+9.4
D+42.4
4,994
D
67.4%Obama2,757
30.6%McCain1,250
2.0%
D+36.9
D+1.2
D+29.6
4,088
D
66.9%Kerry2,533
31.2%Bush1,183
1.9%
D+35.6
—
D+38.1
3,787
Douglas sits directly on the U.S.–Mexico border opposite Agua Prieta, and its majority-Hispanic electorate has consistently backed Democratic candidates by wide margins in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 18.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.9 points.
A population of 15,981, a 11% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $42,019 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nogales and Rio Rico.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Douglas, Arizona voted Democratic by 25.9 points (D+25.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 4,729 votes cast, 2,957 went Democratic and 1,730 went Republican.
How many people live in Douglas, Arizona?
Douglas, Arizona has a population of 15,981 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Douglas, Arizona?
Median household income in Douglas, Arizona is $42,019 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Douglas, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Douglas, Arizona from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
