Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic53.0%721TrumpRepublican44.2%601OtherAll other candidates2.9%39
D+8.8
Lead
120
Total
1,361
vs nation
D+10.3
BidenDemocratic55.5%660TrumpRepublican42.3%503OtherAll other candidates2.3%27
D+13.2
Lead
157
Total
1,190
vs nation
D+8.7
ClintonDemocratic37.2%155TrumpRepublican56.8%237OtherAll other candidates6.0%25
R+19.7
Lead
82
Total
417
vs nation
R+21.8
ObamaDemocratic45.5%86RomneyRepublican51.9%98OtherAll other candidates2.6%5
R+6.3
Lead
12
Total
189
vs nation
R+10.2
ObamaDemocratic47.8%283McCainRepublican51.2%303OtherAll other candidates1.0%6
R+3.4
Lead
20
Total
592
vs nation
R+10.7
KerryDemocratic38.4%225BushRepublican57.5%337OtherAll other candidates4.1%24
R+19.1
Lead
112
Total
586
vs nation
R+16.7
ClintonDemocratic33.5%67DoleRepublican55.5%111OtherAll other candidates11.0%22
R+22.0
Lead
44
Total
200
vs nation
R+30.5
ClintonDemocratic31.8%67BushRepublican40.3%85OtherAll other candidates28.0%59
R+8.5
Lead
18
Total
211
vs nation
R+14.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+8.8MIT Election Lab
Population
2,5852024 5-year
Population density
834 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
3.1 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$227,1402024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
49.7%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+13.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+22.0 in 1996MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2022–20242 cycles · 2 audited
2024 turnout
87.8%1,385 participants ÷ 1,577 CVAP
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
62.9%
20222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,385
1,577 ± 311
87.8%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
773
1,229 ± 337
62.9%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
presidential history
Party record book
Harmony Grove, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
55.5%
660 votes · D+13.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 53.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
57.5%
337 votes · R+19.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 56.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
721votes
53.0% of the vote · D+8.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 660 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
601votes
44.2% of the vote · D+8.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 503 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+10.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.8 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +8.7 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+30.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+22.0 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +21.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Harmony Grove · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are San Diego County, California, the county containing Harmony Grove — Harmony Grove’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Harmony Grove, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Harmony Grove sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.2 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 22.0 points in 1996. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.8 points.
A population of 2,585, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $227,140 describe the city.
In 2024, Harmony Grove, California voted Democratic by 8.8 points (D+8.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,361 votes cast, 721 went Democratic and 601 went Republican.
When did Harmony Grove, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Harmony Grove, California voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Harmony Grove, California?
Harmony Grove, California has a population of 2,585 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harmony Grove, California?
Median household income in Harmony Grove, California is $227,140 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Harmony Grove, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Harmony Grove, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
