Poinciana, Florida
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +27.5% |
| 2008 | +43.6% |
| 2012 | +64.1% |
| 2016 | +49.4% |
| 2020 | +35.3% |
| 2024 | +21.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 60.0%Harris17,515 | 38.9%Trump11,368 | 1.1% | D+21.0 | R+14.3 | D+22.5 | 29,203 | |
| D | 67.2%Biden20,859 | 31.9%Trump9,900 | 0.9% | D+35.3 | R+14.0 | D+30.9 | 31,028 | |
| D | 73.3%Clinton19,664 | 23.9%Trump6,415 | 2.8% | D+49.4 | R+14.7 | D+47.3 | 26,837 | |
| D | 81.6%Obama15,482 | 17.5%Romney3,320 | 0.9% | D+64.1 | D+20.6 | D+60.3 | 18,969 | |
| D | 71.5%Obama13,808 | 27.9%McCain5,391 | 0.7% | D+43.6 | D+16.0 | D+36.3 | 19,325 | |
| D | 63.6%Kerry9,531 | 36.0%Bush5,402 | 0.4% | D+27.5 | — | D+30.0 | 14,997 |
Poinciana's population has surged well past 75,000, driven largely by Puerto Rican migration that has reshaped its electorate and made it one of Florida's most closely watched Latino-majority communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.1 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 14.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.0 points.
A population of 75,068, a 16% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,015 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kissimmee and Buenaventura Lakes.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Poinciana, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1257900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.