Mercedes, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +15.3% |
| 2008 | +43.5% |
| 2012 | +51.2% |
| 2016 | +44.4% |
| 2020 | +23.6% |
| 2024 | +5.1% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 52.1%Harris2,341 | 47.0%Trump2,110 | 0.9% | D+5.1 | R+18.4 | D+6.6 | 4,493 | |
| D | 61.5%Biden2,989 | 37.9%Trump1,843 | 0.6% | D+23.6 | R+20.8 | D+19.1 | 4,860 | |
| D | 70.5%Clinton2,898 | 26.1%Trump1,074 | 3.3% | D+44.4 | R+6.9 | D+42.3 | 4,109 | |
| D | 75.1%Obama2,595 | 23.8%Romney824 | 1.1% | D+51.2 | D+7.7 | D+47.4 | 3,456 | |
| D | 70.9%Obama2,180 | 27.4%McCain842 | 1.7% | D+43.5 | D+28.2 | D+36.3 | 3,074 | |
| D | 57.4%Kerry1,703 | 42.1%Bush1,248 | 0.5% | D+15.3 | — | D+17.8 | 2,965 |
Mercedes sits in Hidalgo County, where Hispanic residents make up roughly 90% of the population and Democratic candidates have historically carried the area by wide margins, though recent cycles showed measurable rightward shifts in South Texas border communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.2 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 18.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.1 points.
A population of 16,733, a 8% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,904 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Alamo and Weslaco.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Mercedes, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4847700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.