San Juan, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +27.0% |
| 2008 | +59.0% |
| 2012 | +62.8% |
| 2016 | +56.8% |
| 2020 | +24.0% |
| 2024 | +2.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 50.7%Harris4,798 | 48.2%Trump4,559 | 1.1% | D+2.5 | R+21.5 | D+4.0 | 9,457 | |
| D | 61.7%Biden5,904 | 37.7%Trump3,605 | 0.6% | D+24.0 | R+32.8 | D+19.6 | 9,565 | |
| D | 76.4%Clinton5,792 | 19.6%Trump1,486 | 4.0% | D+56.8 | R+6.0 | D+54.7 | 7,578 | |
| D | 80.8%Obama4,589 | 18.1%Romney1,026 | 1.1% | D+62.8 | D+3.7 | D+58.9 | 5,676 | |
| D | 79.0%Obama4,051 | 19.9%McCain1,023 | 1.1% | D+59.0 | D+32.1 | D+51.8 | 5,129 | |
| D | 63.4%Kerry3,162 | 36.4%Bush1,817 | 0.2% | D+27.0 | — | D+29.4 | 4,989 |
San Juan sits in Hidalgo County, where Hispanic residents make up over 90% of the population and down-ballot races often see wider margins than federal contests, reflecting distinct local political dynamics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.8 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 21.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.5 points.
A population of 36,149, a 3% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,562 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pharr and San Benito.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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San Juan, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4865516/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.