Baxter County, Arkansas: Evangelical Deep South county. In 2024, voted R+57%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
- Population
- 42,4072024 5-year
- Median household income
- $48,4522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fentress County, TN · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Baxter CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Baxter County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +47.8% |
| 1896 | +57.7% |
| 1900 | +43.0% |
| 1904 | +27.7% |
| 1908 | +31.5% |
| 1912 | +39.6% |
| 1916 | +48.4% |
| 1920 | +17.7% |
| 1924 | +30.7% |
| 1928 | +13.6% |
| 1932 | +67.4% |
| 1936 | +34.5% |
| 1940 | +27.3% |
| 1944 | +16.3% |
| 1948 | +31.0% |
| 1952 | +0.0% |
| 1956 | −8.5% |
| 1960 | −10.7% |
| 1964 | +18.7% |
| 1968 | −21.1% |
| 1972 | −42.6% |
| 1976 | −1.0% |
| 1980 | −32.3% |
| 1984 | −40.7% |
| 1988 | −28.0% |
| 1992 | +8.6% |
| 1996 | −1.1% |
| 2000 | −18.1% |
| 2004 | −21.6% |
| 2008 | −31.6% |
| 2012 | −44.0% |
| 2016 | −54.5% |
| 2020 | −53.3% |
| 2024 | −56.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,341 | 16,253 | 20,954 | ||
| R | 4,635 | 15,836 | 21,007 | ||
| R | 4,169 | 14,682 | 19,303 | ||
| R | 5,172 | 13,688 | 19,339 | ||
| R | 6,539 | 12,852 | 19,981 | ||
| R | 7,129 | 11,128 | 18,530 | ||
| R | 6,516 | 9,538 | 16,708 | ||
| R | 6,703 | 6,877 | 15,505 | ||
| D | 6,991 | 5,640 | 15,732 | ||
| R | 4,808 | 8,614 | 13,597 | ||
| R | 4,528 | 10,870 | 15,564 | ||
| R | 4,789 | 9,684 | 15,147 | ||
| R | 5,766 | 5,885 | 11,651 | ||
| R | 2,677 | 6,754 | 9,560 | ||
| R | 1,952 | 3,401 | 6,866 | ||
| D | 2,900 | 1,986 | 4,891 | ||
| R | 1,694 | 2,108 | 3,879 | ||
| R | 1,451 | 1,721 | 3,192 | ||
| D | 1,388 | 1,387 | 2,793 | ||
| D | 1,098 | 553 | 1,760 | ||
| D | 796 | 572 | 1,372 | ||
| D | 859 | 489 | 1,355 | ||
| D | 773 | 375 | 1,155 | ||
| D | 1,039 | 194 | 1,254 | ||
| D | 665 | 504 | 1,180 | ||
| D | 640 | 301 | 1,103 | ||
| D | 707 | 484 | 1,261 | ||
| D | 914 | 318 | 1,232 | ||
| D | 536 | 142 | 996 | ||
| D | 607 | 300 | 976 | ||
| D | 426 | 236 | 686 | ||
| D | 723 | 287 | 1,015 | ||
| D | 980 | 262 | 1,244 | ||
| D | 802 | 269 | 1,116 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
17.7%
German
17.4%
Irish
13.9%
American
7.7%
Scottish
3.3%
Italian
2.8%
French
2.5%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 51.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$48,452
Baxter County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Baxter County$48,452
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Baxter County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.2%
Working age (18–64)14.5%
Seniors (65+)10.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.0%
speak English only
Spanish1.7%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Baxter County sits in the northern Arkansas highlands, where a predominantly white, rural population has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 55 points in recent cycles, making it among the state's most reliably one-sided counties.
The Republican margin here reached its widest at fifty-seven points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-seven points.
A median household income of $48,452, a 16% poverty rate, and a 92% non-Hispanic-white share describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fentress County and Mohave County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Baxter County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More evangelical deep south counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Baxter County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Baxter County, Arkansas voted Republican by 56.8 points (R+57), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,954 votes cast, 4,341 went Democratic and 16,253 went Republican.
What is Baxter County, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Baxter County, Arkansas in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology — Deeply Republican, heavily Baptist counties of the Deep South. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Baxter County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Baxter County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Baxter County, Arkansas?
Baxter County, Arkansas has a population of 42,407 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Baxter County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Baxter County, Arkansas is $48,452 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Baxter County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Baxter County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The county's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.