Ashley County, Arkansas: Evangelical Deep South county. In 2024, voted R+48%. Democratic peak: D+87 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
- Population
- 18,4292024 5-year
- Median household income
- $44,2662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Conway County, AR · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Ashley CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Ashley County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +38.4% |
| 1896 | +60.1% |
| 1900 | +44.5% |
| 1904 | +39.3% |
| 1908 | +14.0% |
| 1912 | +31.1% |
| 1916 | +53.3% |
| 1920 | +28.4% |
| 1924 | +32.9% |
| 1928 | +27.8% |
| 1932 | +85.9% |
| 1936 | +87.1% |
| 1940 | +81.6% |
| 1944 | +76.6% |
| 1948 | +68.4% |
| 1952 | +47.0% |
| 1956 | +38.3% |
| 1960 | +36.4% |
| 1964 | −12.5% |
| 1968 | +7.1% |
| 1972 | −53.1% |
| 1976 | +25.9% |
| 1980 | +6.8% |
| 1984 | −25.3% |
| 1988 | +4.1% |
| 1992 | +33.3% |
| 1996 | +31.2% |
| 2000 | +4.6% |
| 2004 | −8.1% |
| 2008 | −28.1% |
| 2012 | −25.4% |
| 2016 | −37.1% |
| 2020 | −43.2% |
| 2024 | −48.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,774 | 5,145 | 7,030 | ||
| R | 2,125 | 5,548 | 7,926 | ||
| R | 2,408 | 5,338 | 7,902 | ||
| R | 2,859 | 4,867 | 7,921 | ||
| R | 2,976 | 5,406 | 8,642 | ||
| R | 3,881 | 4,567 | 8,512 | ||
| D | 4,253 | 3,876 | 8,271 | ||
| D | 5,011 | 2,428 | 8,281 | ||
| D | 5,876 | 2,686 | 9,567 | ||
| D | 4,466 | 4,111 | 8,659 | ||
| R | 3,373 | 5,675 | 9,089 | ||
| D | 4,552 | 3,960 | 8,748 | ||
| D | 5,253 | 3,092 | 8,354 | ||
| R | 1,680 | 5,506 | 7,203 | ||
| O | 2,035 | 1,470 | 7,906 | ||
| R | 2,901 | 3,742 | 6,710 | ||
| D | 3,118 | 1,288 | 5,026 | ||
| D | 2,820 | 1,183 | 4,270 | ||
| D | 3,471 | 1,249 | 4,729 | ||
| D | 1,844 | 197 | 2,408 | ||
| D | 2,169 | 285 | 2,460 | ||
| D | 1,835 | 184 | 2,023 | ||
| D | 1,382 | 95 | 1,477 | ||
| D | 2,537 | 188 | 2,733 | ||
| D | 1,393 | 786 | 2,182 | ||
| D | 1,048 | 506 | 1,649 | ||
| D | 1,312 | 725 | 2,069 | ||
| D | 1,519 | 463 | 1,982 | ||
| D | 1,029 | 439 | 1,896 | ||
| D | 1,100 | 821 | 1,991 | ||
| D | 804 | 347 | 1,163 | ||
| D | 1,381 | 524 | 1,928 | ||
| D | 1,760 | 405 | 2,255 | ||
| D | 1,099 | 478 | 1,618 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
11.1%
American
8.4%
Irish
5.3%
German
3.2%
Scottish
1.0%
Italian
0.5%
African American
19.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$44,266
Ashley County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties.
Ashley County$44,266
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Ashley County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
22.1%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1834.8%
Working age (18–64)18.9%
Seniors (65+)15.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.7%
speak English only
Spanish4.7%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 12.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Ashley County in southeastern Arkansas has shifted decisively Republican over recent decades, recording a 48-point presidential margin in 2024 in a county where timber, agriculture, and small-town demographics define the electorate.
The Republican margin here reached its widest at fifty-three points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-eight points.
A median household income of $44,266, a 22% poverty rate, and a 69% non-Hispanic-white share describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Conway County and Hot Spring County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ashley County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More evangelical deep south counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Ashley County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ashley County, Arkansas voted Republican by 48.0 points (R+48), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,030 votes cast, 1,774 went Democratic and 5,145 went Republican.
What is Ashley County, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Ashley County, Arkansas in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology — Deeply Republican, heavily Baptist counties of the Deep South. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 9 times, and other 1 times.
When did Ashley County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ashley County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Ashley County, Arkansas?
Ashley County, Arkansas has a population of 18,429 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ashley County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Ashley County, Arkansas is $44,266 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Ashley County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ashley County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The county's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.