Bradley County, Arkansas: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+39%. Democratic peak: D+92 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 10,2082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $41,4762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 53.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 25.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+92 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hempstead County, AR · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Bradley CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Bradley County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +63.7% |
| 1896 | +67.8% |
| 1900 | +68.4% |
| 1904 | +49.2% |
| 1908 | +46.9% |
| 1912 | +54.9% |
| 1916 | +57.4% |
| 1920 | +34.5% |
| 1924 | +35.3% |
| 1928 | +53.8% |
| 1932 | +87.9% |
| 1936 | +92.0% |
| 1940 | +87.9% |
| 1944 | +82.5% |
| 1948 | +55.5% |
| 1952 | +47.0% |
| 1956 | +37.3% |
| 1960 | +49.6% |
| 1964 | +9.2% |
| 1968 | +13.6% |
| 1972 | −40.1% |
| 1976 | +51.8% |
| 1980 | +30.4% |
| 1984 | −7.5% |
| 1988 | +1.8% |
| 1992 | +30.4% |
| 1996 | +35.8% |
| 2000 | +8.3% |
| 2004 | +4.6% |
| 2008 | −14.4% |
| 2012 | −18.8% |
| 2016 | −23.8% |
| 2020 | −30.7% |
| 2024 | −39.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 961 | 2,213 | 3,209 | ||
| R | 1,214 | 2,335 | 3,654 | ||
| R | 1,317 | 2,164 | 3,554 | ||
| R | 1,449 | 2,134 | 3,652 | ||
| R | 1,680 | 2,262 | 4,041 | ||
| D | 2,206 | 2,011 | 4,249 | ||
| D | 2,122 | 1,793 | 3,979 | ||
| D | 2,566 | 1,146 | 3,968 | ||
| D | 2,954 | 1,482 | 4,837 | ||
| D | 2,167 | 2,089 | 4,269 | ||
| R | 2,313 | 2,690 | 5,017 | ||
| D | 3,139 | 1,650 | 4,890 | ||
| D | 3,567 | 1,134 | 4,701 | ||
| R | 1,368 | 3,218 | 4,614 | ||
| O | 1,457 | 802 | 4,805 | ||
| D | 2,229 | 1,852 | 4,102 | ||
| D | 2,960 | 873 | 4,210 | ||
| D | 3,010 | 1,361 | 4,426 | ||
| D | 2,417 | 869 | 3,297 | ||
| D | 1,426 | 213 | 2,187 | ||
| D | 1,710 | 162 | 1,877 | ||
| D | 1,939 | 123 | 2,066 | ||
| D | 1,571 | 65 | 1,637 | ||
| D | 1,985 | 125 | 2,117 | ||
| D | 1,487 | 447 | 1,934 | ||
| D | 1,002 | 453 | 1,555 | ||
| D | 1,146 | 540 | 1,757 | ||
| D | 1,159 | 314 | 1,473 | ||
| D | 772 | 137 | 1,157 | ||
| D | 906 | 316 | 1,259 | ||
| D | 569 | 188 | 774 | ||
| D | 842 | 153 | 1,007 | ||
| D | 976 | 185 | 1,166 | ||
| D | 824 | 183 | 1,007 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
8.1%
American
5.4%
Irish
4.8%
German
1.8%
French
0.6%
African American
20.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$41,476
Bradley County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties.
Bradley County$41,476
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Bradley County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1820.1%
Working age (18–64)18.7%
Seniors (65+)30.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.1%
speak English only
Spanish13.7%
Other Indo-European0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 22.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Bradley County's economy has long centered on forestry and wood products, and its rural, majority-white electorate has shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, with 2024 margins exceeding 39 points.
The Democratic margin here once reached ninety-two points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-nine points.
A population of 10,208, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $41,476 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hempstead County and Lafayette County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bradley County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Bradley County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bradley County, Arkansas voted Republican by 39.0 points (R+39), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,209 votes cast, 961 went Democratic and 2,213 went Republican.
What is Bradley County, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Bradley County, Arkansas in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 7 times, and other 1 times.
When did Bradley County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bradley County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Bradley County, Arkansas?
Bradley County, Arkansas has a population of 10,208 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bradley County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Bradley County, Arkansas is $41,476 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Bradley County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bradley County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.