Lincoln County, Arkansas: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+50%. Democratic peak: D+93 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 12,9502024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,7782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 27.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assumption Parish, LA · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lincoln CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lincoln County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −16.0% |
| 1896 | +62.5% |
| 1900 | +33.5% |
| 1904 | +20.6% |
| 1908 | +39.6% |
| 1912 | +10.7% |
| 1916 | +30.2% |
| 1920 | −5.3% |
| 1924 | +53.3% |
| 1928 | +70.3% |
| 1932 | +92.7% |
| 1936 | +91.8% |
| 1940 | +79.7% |
| 1944 | +76.0% |
| 1948 | +43.4% |
| 1952 | +51.6% |
| 1956 | +35.3% |
| 1960 | +43.6% |
| 1964 | +27.3% |
| 1968 | +19.1% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | +62.7% |
| 1980 | +33.1% |
| 1984 | +12.8% |
| 1988 | +17.1% |
| 1992 | +38.3% |
| 1996 | +43.9% |
| 2000 | +12.2% |
| 2004 | +5.5% |
| 2008 | −18.2% |
| 2012 | −20.8% |
| 2016 | −32.0% |
| 2020 | −43.8% |
| 2024 | −50.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 813 | 2,502 | 3,372 | ||
| R | 1,032 | 2,729 | 3,875 | ||
| R | 1,252 | 2,455 | 3,755 | ||
| R | 1,425 | 2,199 | 3,726 | ||
| R | 1,710 | 2,513 | 4,406 | ||
| D | 2,149 | 1,921 | 4,109 | ||
| D | 1,957 | 1,526 | 3,546 | ||
| D | 2,517 | 907 | 3,668 | ||
| D | 2,805 | 1,142 | 4,347 | ||
| D | 2,204 | 1,557 | 3,794 | ||
| D | 2,406 | 1,860 | 4,272 | ||
| D | 2,517 | 1,243 | 3,849 | ||
| D | 3,045 | 699 | 3,744 | ||
| R | 1,115 | 2,318 | 3,433 | ||
| O | 1,209 | 488 | 3,781 | ||
| D | 2,468 | 1,410 | 3,882 | ||
| D | 1,780 | 626 | 2,646 | ||
| D | 1,616 | 767 | 2,405 | ||
| D | 1,871 | 595 | 2,472 | ||
| D | 1,108 | 378 | 1,681 | ||
| D | 1,034 | 141 | 1,175 | ||
| D | 916 | 99 | 1,025 | ||
| D | 913 | 39 | 952 | ||
| D | 1,301 | 49 | 1,351 | ||
| D | 869 | 151 | 1,021 | ||
| D | 563 | 170 | 738 | ||
| R | 888 | 988 | 1,885 | ||
| D | 889 | 477 | 1,366 | ||
| D | 390 | 292 | 920 | ||
| D | 389 | 159 | 581 | ||
| D | 544 | 352 | 931 | ||
| D | 794 | 392 | 1,201 | ||
| D | 1,026 | 236 | 1,265 | ||
| R | 730 | 1,033 | 1,888 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
9.8%
Irish
5.6%
American
3.3%
German
3.2%
Italian
1.1%
French
0.9%
Scottish
0.5%
African American
22.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$51,778
Lincoln County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Lincoln County$51,778
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Lincoln County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.3%
Working age (18–64)13.5%
Seniors (65+)8.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.1%
speak English only
Spanish4.4%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lincoln County sits at the southeastern fringe of Arkansas's Gulf Coastal Plain, with a population under 15,000 that skews heavily rural. Its 2024 presidential margin of R+50 reflects a long-running realignment away from its historically Democratic roots.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at ninety-three points in 1932 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2008 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by eighteen points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $51,778 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 15% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assumption Parish and Jackson County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05079/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lincoln County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln County, Arkansas voted Republican by 50.1 points (R+50), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,372 votes cast, 813 went Democratic and 2,502 went Republican.
What is Lincoln County, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Lincoln County, Arkansas in the "Appalachian Realigners" typology — Lower-income counties of Greater Appalachia — a long, deep arc from Democratic to Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 25 times, Republican 8 times, and other 1 times.
When did Lincoln County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Lincoln County, Arkansas?
Lincoln County, Arkansas has a population of 12,950 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Lincoln County, Arkansas is $51,778 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Lincoln County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The county's typology — "Appalachian Realigners" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.