- Lead
- 5,486
- Total
- 18,827
- vs nation
- D+30.6
- Turnout
- 63.2%
St. John the Baptist Parish, LA
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.2% of 29,964 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,044
- Total
- 21,432
- vs nation
- D+23.7
- Turnout
- 68.0%
- Lead
- 5,092
- Total
- 20,743
- vs nation
- D+22.5
- Turnout
- 65.7%
- Lead
- 5,559
- Total
- 21,123
- vs nation
- D+22.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,512
- Total
- 21,656
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,266
- Total
- 19,617
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,322
- Total
- 17,713
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,912
- Total
- 17,051
- vs nation
- D+14.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,7432024 5-year
- Population density
- 190 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 215 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,6302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 29.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 56.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Iberville Parish, LA · twin score 90.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 63.2%18,923 participants ÷ 29,964 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 44.0%–44.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18,923 | 29,964 ± 525 | 63.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 15,354 | 31,102 ± 555 | 49.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 21,625 | 31,813 ± 481 | 68.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 14,527 | 31,664 ± 359 | 45.9% | Audited | A/A |
| 21,011 | 31,995 ± 291 | 65.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 21,123 | 32,561 | 64.9% | Derived | — | |
| 21,656 | 32,969 | 65.7% | Derived | — | |
| 19,617 | 33,377 extrapolated | 58.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover St. John the Baptist Parish only. The complete district Class 2 result is shown below for comparison.
St. John the Baptist Parish result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District Class 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 35 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
35 precincts · 18,827 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0003-20003-2 | 1,132 | 118 | 19 | 1,269 | 89.2% | 9.3% | D+79.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0001-30001-3 | 964 | 84 | 9 | 1,057 | 91.2% | 7.9% | D+83.3 |
| Precinct -0007-20007-2 | 481 | 532 | 17 | 1,030 | 46.7% | 51.7% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct -0006-30006-3 | 809 | 97 | 13 | 919 | 88.0% | 10.6% | D+77.5 |
| Precinct -0005-40005-4 | 347 | 534 | 11 | 892 | 38.9% | 59.9% | R+21.0 |
| Precinct -0005-10005-1 | 625 | 181 | 11 | 817 | 76.5% | 22.2% | D+54.3 |
| Precinct -0006-40006-4 | 712 | 97 | 8 | 817 | 87.1% | 11.9% | D+75.3 |
| Precinct -0002-20002-2 | 507 | 253 | 14 | 774 | 65.5% | 32.7% | D+32.8 |
| Precinct -4-44-4 | 349 | 395 | 6 | 750 | 46.5% | 52.7% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct -0002-10002-1 | 211 | 521 | 8 | 740 | 28.5% | 70.4% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -0002-40002-4 | 97 | 629 | 13 | 739 | 13.1% | 85.1% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -0004-20004-2 | 462 | 211 | 6 | 679 | 68.0% | 31.1% | D+37.0 |
| Precinct -0001-40001-4 | 474 | 186 | 9 | 669 | 70.9% | 27.8% | D+43.0 |
| Precinct -7-17-1 | 429 | 226 | 11 | 666 | 64.4% | 33.9% | D+30.5 |
| Precinct -0004-30004-3 | 569 | 89 | 3 | 661 | 86.1% | 13.5% | D+72.6 |
| Precinct -2-52-5 | 563 | 59 | 2 | 624 | 90.2% | 9.5% | D+80.8 |
| Precinct -0001-20001-2 | 578 | 30 | 9 | 617 | 93.7% | 4.9% | D+88.8 |
| Precinct -0006-10006-1 | 315 | 253 | 9 | 577 | 54.6% | 43.8% | D+10.7 |
| Precinct -0003-40003-4 | 418 | 137 | 6 | 561 | 74.5% | 24.4% | D+50.1 |
| Precinct -0002-30002-3 | 306 | 245 | 8 | 559 | 54.7% | 43.8% | D+10.9 |
| Precinct -0003-10003-1 | 298 | 181 | 9 | 488 | 61.1% | 37.1% | D+24.0 |
| Precinct -7-47-4 | 216 | 226 | 5 | 447 | 48.3% | 50.6% | R+2.2 |
| Precinct -0007-30007-3 | 194 | 192 | 3 | 389 | 49.9% | 49.4% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct -3-33-3 | 78 | 283 | 2 | 363 | 21.5% | 78.0% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -1-71-7 | 125 | 222 | 3 | 350 | 35.7% | 63.4% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct -3-73-7 | 233 | 55 | 3 | 291 | 80.1% | 18.9% | D+61.2 |
| Precinct -5-25-2 | 192 | 21 | 2 | 215 | 89.3% | 9.8% | D+79.5 |
| Precinct -0001-50001-5 | 177 | 25 | 3 | 205 | 86.3% | 12.2% | D+74.1 |
| Precinct -0001-10001-1 | 11 | 173 | 0 | 184 | 6.0% | 94.0% | R+88.0 |
| Precinct -5-35-3 | 28 | 154 | 2 | 184 | 15.2% | 83.7% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -1-61-6 | 35 | 89 | 0 | 124 | 28.2% | 71.8% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -6-56-5 | 45 | 53 | 2 | 100 | 45.0% | 53.0% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -4-54-5 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 82.4% | 11.8% | D+70.6 |
| Precinct -0004-10004-1 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 93.3% | 6.7% | D+86.7 |
| Precinct -6-26-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
St. John the Baptist Parish, LA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
91.9%
283 votes · D+84.1
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · 89.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
72.8%
539 votes · R+48.5
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · 69.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
13,582votes
63.4% of the vote · D+28.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 13,179 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
9,093votes
54.0% of the vote · R+8.6
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 9,039 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+103.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+84.1 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +95.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+42.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.5 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +39.6 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing St. John the Baptist Parish, LA. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 2 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 79.4%9,029 | 20.6%2,349 | 11,378 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Republican than the rolls.
29,386 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−110 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −7,933 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $35,254 in average income, against $56,675 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.3 on average — 34 points more Republican-leaning than St. John the Baptist Parish, LA itself (D+29.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jefferson Parish, LA362R+13.0
- St. Charles Parish, LA145R+32.3
- Orleans Parish, LA120D+67.0
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA59D+11.1
- St. James Parish, LA56R+0.9
- Ascension Parish, LA53R+33.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson Parish, LA238
- Ascension Parish, LA122
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA108
- St. Charles Parish, LA104
- Orleans Parish, LA96
- St. James Parish, LA81
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −837 |
| 2012 | −658 |
| 2013 | −1,429 |
| 2014 | −116 |
| 2015 | −421 |
| 2016 | −329 |
| 2017 | −256 |
| 2018 | −308 |
| 2019 | −413 |
| 2021 | −315 |
| 2022 | −2,288 |
| 2023 | −433 |
| 2024 | −20 |
| 2025 | −110 |
St. John the Baptist Parish sits between New Orleans and Baton Rouge along the River Road corridor, where a majority-Black population has produced Democratic presidential margins exceeding 25 points in every cycle since 2008.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.1 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 48.5 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.1 points.
A population of 40,743, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,630 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Iberville Parish and Orleans Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
St. John the Baptist Parish, Louisiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/22095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.