HarrisDemocratic54.6%13,110TrumpRepublican43.4%10,409SteinIndependent1.1%259
D+11.3- Lead
- 2,701
- Total
- 24,003
- vs nation
- D+12.7
- Turnout
- 81.5%
Akashiccounty
Lincoln County, ME
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 81.5% of 29,836 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic53.2%12,684TrumpRepublican43.0%10,256JorgensenLibertarian1.8%424
D+10.2- Lead
- 2,428
- Total
- 23,857
- vs nation
- D+5.7
- Turnout
- 84.3%
ClintonDemocratic47.6%10,241TrumpRepublican45.2%9,727JohnsonLibertarian4.9%1,043
D+2.4- Lead
- 514
- Total
- 21,503
- vs nation
- D+0.3
- Turnout
- 80.0%
ObamaDemocratic54.5%11,315RomneyRepublican42.9%8,899OtherAll other candidates2.6%543
D+11.6- Lead
- 2,416
- Total
- 20,757
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic55.1%11,886McCainRepublican43.0%9,287OtherAll other candidates1.9%411
D+12.0- Lead
- 2,599
- Total
- 21,584
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic51.3%11,351BushRepublican46.8%10,370OtherAll other candidates1.9%421
D+4.4- Lead
- 981
- Total
- 22,142
- vs nation
- D+6.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.9%8,634BushRepublican48.1%9,457NaderGreen6.7%1,323
R+4.2- Lead
- 823
- Total
- 19,671
- vs nation
- R+4.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.7%8,130DoleRepublican35.1%6,372PerotReform16.1%2,923
D+9.7- Lead
- 1,758
- Total
- 18,173
- vs nation
- D+1.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,0992024 5-year
- Population density
- 79 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 456 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,8752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sagadahoc County, ME · twin score 97.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 81.5%24,330 participants ÷ 29,836 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 69.1%–70.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24,330 | 29,836 ± 203 | 81.5% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2022Mid | 21,053 | 29,313 ± 196 | 71.8% | Audited | B/A |
| 23,857 | 28,298 ± 177 | 84.3% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2018Mid | 19,429 | 28,008 ± 203 | 69.4% | Audited | B/A |
| 22,237 | 27,783 ± 188 | 80.0% | Audited | B/A | |
| 20,757 | 27,677 | 75.0% | Derived | — | |
| 21,584 | 27,725 | 77.9% | Derived | — | |
| 22,142 | 27,773 extrapolated | 79.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Lincoln County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Lincoln County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
BELLOWS, SHENNA0—
JACKSON, TROY DALE0—
KING, ANGUS III0—
PINGREE, HANNAH M0—
SHAH, NIRAV D0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 19 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 24,003 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 151602301515160 | 1,366 | 1,598 | 59 | 3,023 | 45.2% | 52.9% | R+7.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 151902301515190 | 1,181 | 1,113 | 61 | 2,355 | 50.1% | 47.3% | D+2.9 |
| Precinct 150202301515020 | 1,252 | 919 | 32 | 2,203 | 56.8% | 41.7% | D+15.1 |
| Precinct 150502301515050 | 1,326 | 807 | 30 | 2,163 | 61.3% | 37.3% | D+24.0 |
| Precinct 150902301515090 | 751 | 972 | 41 | 1,764 | 42.6% | 55.1% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct 150602301515060 | 1,004 | 469 | 23 | 1,496 | 67.1% | 31.4% | D+35.8 |
| Precinct 151802301515180 | 677 | 758 | 43 | 1,478 | 45.8% | 51.3% | R+5.5 |
| Precinct 150302301515030 | 854 | 527 | 17 | 1,398 | 61.1% | 37.7% | D+23.4 |
| Precinct 151102301515110 | 942 | 394 | 34 | 1,370 | 68.8% | 28.8% | D+40.0 |
| Precinct 151202301515120 | 718 | 612 | 19 | 1,349 | 53.2% | 45.4% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct 150702301515070 | 556 | 643 | 21 | 1,220 | 45.6% | 52.7% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct 150802301515080 | 526 | 336 | 15 | 877 | 60.0% | 38.3% | D+21.7 |
| Precinct 151402301515140 | 447 | 251 | 27 | 725 | 61.7% | 34.6% | D+27.0 |
| Precinct 150402301515040 | 399 | 192 | 10 | 601 | 66.4% | 31.9% | D+34.4 |
| Precinct 151702301515170 | 313 | 236 | 11 | 560 | 55.9% | 42.1% | D+13.8 |
| Precinct 150102301515010 | 324 | 192 | 17 | 533 | 60.8% | 36.0% | D+24.8 |
| Precinct 151502301515150 | 299 | 159 | 4 | 462 | 64.7% | 34.4% | D+30.3 |
| Precinct 151302301515130 | 124 | 224 | 14 | 362 | 34.3% | 61.9% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct 151002301515100 | 51 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 79.7% | 10.9% | D+68.8 |
presidential history
Party record book
Lincoln County, ME · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
56.1%
5,099 votes · D+12.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 55.1%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
86.1%
7,191 votes · R+72.1
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 83.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
13,110votes
54.6% of the vote · D+11.3
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 12,684 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,409votes
43.4% of the vote · D+11.3
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 10,370 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+12.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+11.3 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · +12.1 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+71.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.0 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +66.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DCameron RenyState Senate · 13
DDenise TeplerState Senate · 24
RAbden SimmonsState House · 45
DLydia CraftsState House · 46
DWayne FarrinState House · 47
DHolly StoverState House · 48
RMichael LemelinState House · 53
Seats representing Lincoln County, ME. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 5 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 58.1%10,409 | 41.9%7,506 | 17,915 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025D+3.3
Presidential vote · 2024D+11.3
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.9 points more Democratic than the rolls.
29,742 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+232 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,667 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $82,590 in average income, against $78,645 for residents who stayed — 5% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+15.9 on average — 4.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, ME itself (D+11.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Kennebec County, ME133R+2.7
- Cumberland County, ME115D+35.3
- Knox County, ME114D+18.6
- Sagadahoc County, ME79D+16.6
- York County, ME35D+10.5
- Middlesex County, MA33D+39.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Kennebec County, ME152
- Cumberland County, ME122
- Knox County, ME95
- Sagadahoc County, ME83
- Androscoggin County, ME24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −46 |
| 2012 | +13 |
| 2013 | +81 |
| 2014 | +82 |
| 2015 | −101 |
| 2016 | +297 |
| 2017 | +340 |
| 2018 | +296 |
| 2019 | +341 |
| 2021 | +1,009 |
| 2022 | +452 |
| 2023 | +415 |
| 2024 | +256 |
| 2025 | +232 |
Lincoln County hugs Midcoast Maine's peninsula-studded shoreline, drawing seasonal residents and retirees who have tilted the electorate consistently toward Democratic presidential candidates by double-digit margins across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 72.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.3 points.
A population of 36,099, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,875 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sagadahoc County and Hancock County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Sagadahoc County
Maine
97.6twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Hancock County
Maine
97.4twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Waldo County
Maine
96.7twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lincoln County, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln County, Maine voted Democratic by 11.3 points (D+11.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 24,003 votes cast, 13,110 went Democratic and 10,409 went Republican.
When did Lincoln County, Maine last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Maine voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Lincoln County, Maine?
Lincoln County, Maine has a population of 36,099 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Maine?
Median household income in Lincoln County, Maine is $76,875 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Lincoln County, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.