- Lead
- 4,266
- Total
- 36,253
- vs nation
- D+13.2
- Turnout
- 79.0%
Hancock County, ME
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.0% of 46,457 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,387
- Total
- 35,676
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Turnout
- 79.9%
- Lead
- 2,412
- Total
- 32,130
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- 75.2%
- Lead
- 5,245
- Total
- 30,799
- vs nation
- D+13.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,209
- Total
- 32,165
- vs nation
- D+12.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,643
- Total
- 33,122
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 251
- Total
- 28,574
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,911
- Total
- 26,448
- vs nation
- D+6.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 56,4602024 5-year
- Population density
- 36 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,587 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,7442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Waldo County, ME · twin score 97.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 79.0%36,684 participants ÷ 46,457 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 66.0%–67.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36,684 | 46,457 ± 290 | 79.0% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2022Mid | 30,746 | 45,918 ± 300 | 67.0% | Audited | B/A |
| 35,663 | 44,632 ± 291 | 79.9% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2018Mid | 28,712 | 44,141 ± 230 | 65.0% | Audited | B/A |
| 33,025 | 43,903 ± 252 | 75.2% | Audited | B/A | |
| 30,799 | 43,708 | 70.5% | Derived | — | |
| 32,165 | 42,294 | 76.1% | Derived | — | |
| 33,122 | 40,880 extrapolated | 81.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Hancock County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Hancock County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 37 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
37 precincts · 36,253 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 091302300909130 | 2,480 | 2,483 | 128 | 5,091 | 48.7% | 48.8% | R+0.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 090302300909030 | 2,723 | 863 | 134 | 3,720 | 73.2% | 23.2% | D+50.0 |
| Precinct 090702300909070 | 1,427 | 1,529 | 57 | 3,013 | 47.4% | 50.7% | R+3.4 |
| Precinct 090402300909040 | 1,411 | 646 | 62 | 2,119 | 66.6% | 30.5% | D+36.1 |
| Precinct 092202300909220 | 770 | 787 | 33 | 1,590 | 48.4% | 49.5% | R+1.1 |
| Precinct 091702300909170 | 702 | 818 | 29 | 1,549 | 45.3% | 52.8% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct 092102300909210 | 1,050 | 346 | 42 | 1,438 | 73.0% | 24.1% | D+49.0 |
| Precinct 091102300909110 | 788 | 554 | 29 | 1,371 | 57.5% | 40.4% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct 091802300909180 | 643 | 583 | 31 | 1,257 | 51.2% | 46.4% | D+4.8 |
| Precinct 091002300909100 | 588 | 618 | 24 | 1,230 | 47.8% | 50.2% | R+2.4 |
| Precinct 093102300909310 | 635 | 527 | 32 | 1,194 | 53.2% | 44.1% | D+9.0 |
| Precinct 091502300909150 | 522 | 646 | 17 | 1,185 | 44.1% | 54.5% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct 092802300909280 | 760 | 386 | 21 | 1,167 | 65.1% | 33.1% | D+32.0 |
| Precinct 093402300909340 | 526 | 482 | 36 | 1,044 | 50.4% | 46.2% | D+4.2 |
| Precinct 091402300909140 | 429 | 553 | 20 | 1,002 | 42.8% | 55.2% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct 092602300909260 | 554 | 321 | 20 | 895 | 61.9% | 35.9% | D+26.0 |
| Precinct 092502300909250 | 502 | 335 | 28 | 865 | 58.0% | 38.7% | D+19.3 |
| Precinct 093002300909300 | 373 | 403 | 13 | 789 | 47.3% | 51.1% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct 090602300909060 | 450 | 226 | 27 | 703 | 64.0% | 32.1% | D+31.9 |
| Precinct 090502300909050 | 457 | 185 | 23 | 665 | 68.7% | 27.8% | D+40.9 |
| Precinct 092902300909290 | 394 | 250 | 13 | 657 | 60.0% | 38.1% | D+21.9 |
| Precinct 090802300909080 | 404 | 141 | 19 | 564 | 71.6% | 25.0% | D+46.6 |
| Precinct 092402300909240 | 165 | 350 | 2 | 517 | 31.9% | 67.7% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct 093502300909350 | 162 | 204 | 7 | 373 | 43.4% | 54.7% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct 092002300909200 | 139 | 207 | 3 | 349 | 39.8% | 59.3% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct 093702300909370 | 150 | 181 | 4 | 335 | 44.8% | 54.0% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct 093202300909320 | 136 | 153 | 8 | 297 | 45.8% | 51.5% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct 093602300909360 | 66 | 194 | 3 | 263 | 25.1% | 73.8% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct 091202300909120 | 92 | 167 | 2 | 261 | 35.2% | 64.0% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct 090102300909010 | 73 | 135 | 4 | 212 | 34.4% | 63.7% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct 092702300909270 | 91 | 111 | 3 | 205 | 44.4% | 54.1% | R+9.8 |
| Precinct 090902300909090 | 91 | 36 | 7 | 134 | 67.9% | 26.9% | D+41.0 |
| Precinct 090202300909020 | 26 | 48 | 2 | 76 | 34.2% | 63.2% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct 092302300909230 | 11 | 36 | 1 | 48 | 22.9% | 75.0% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct 091602300909160 | 16 | 27 | 1 | 44 | 36.4% | 61.4% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct 091902300909190 | 11 | 20 | 0 | 31 | 35.5% | 64.5% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct 093302300909330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Hancock County, ME · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
58.7%
18,895 votes · D+19.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 57.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
86.9%
11,316 votes · R+73.8
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 83.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
19,817votes
54.7% of the vote · D+11.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 19,369 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,551votes
42.9% of the vote · D+11.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,982 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+13.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+11.0 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +13.2 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+70.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.0 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +60.9 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Hancock County, ME. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 3 state senate and 7 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 59.8%21,311 | 40.2%14,346 | 35,657 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 6.8 points more Democratic than the rolls.
45,296 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+174 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,878 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $82,078 in average income, against $78,466 for residents who stayed — 5% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.0 on average — 16 points more Republican-leaning than Hancock County, ME itself (D+11.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Penobscot County, ME254R+10.9
- Waldo County, ME62D+3.4
- Washington County, ME59R+23.5
- Cumberland County, ME58D+35.3
- York County, ME43D+10.5
- Kennebec County, ME31R+2.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Penobscot County, ME294
- Cumberland County, ME77
- Washington County, ME63
- Waldo County, ME61
- York County, ME29
- Knox County, ME27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +182 |
| 2012 | +14 |
| 2013 | +103 |
| 2014 | −51 |
| 2015 | −151 |
| 2016 | +285 |
| 2017 | +192 |
| 2018 | +356 |
| 2019 | +432 |
| 2021 | +1,209 |
| 2022 | +549 |
| 2023 | +289 |
| 2024 | +295 |
| 2025 | +174 |
Hancock County's mix of summer resort towns like Bar Harbor and working fishing communities along Penobscot Bay produces a Democratic lean that has held consistently, with Biden and Harris both carrying it by double digits in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 73.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.8 points.
A population of 56,460, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,744 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Waldo County and Lincoln County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hancock County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.