- Lead
- 3,586
- Total
- 58,847
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Turnout
- 68.5%
Androscoggin County, ME
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.5% of 87,090 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,651
- Total
- 59,361
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- 71.5%
- Lead
- 5,218
- Total
- 55,601
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Turnout
- 69.2%
- Lead
- 6,757
- Total
- 52,862
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,346
- Total
- 54,850
- vs nation
- D+7.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,984
- Total
- 56,067
- vs nation
- D+13.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,303
- Total
- 49,245
- vs nation
- D+12.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 14,375
- Total
- 46,731
- vs nation
- D+22.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 113,4232024 5-year
- Population density
- 242 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 468 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,8732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kennebec County, ME · twin score 96.4
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 68.5%59,615 participants ÷ 87,090 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 52.2%–53.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59,615 | 87,090 ± 535 | 68.5% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2022Mid | 47,292 | 85,598 ± 516 | 55.2% | Audited | B/A |
| 59,361 | 83,013 ± 445 | 71.5% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2018Mid | 46,139 | 82,613 ± 371 | 55.8% | Audited | B/A |
| 57,198 | 82,619 ± 327 | 69.2% | Audited | B/A | |
| 52,862 | 82,023 | 64.4% | Derived | — | |
| 54,850 | 81,038 | 67.7% | Derived | — | |
| 56,067 | 80,053 extrapolated | 70.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Androscoggin County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Androscoggin County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 14 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 58,847 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 010502300101050 | 8,791 | 7,433 | 394 | 16,618 | 52.9% | 44.7% | D+8.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 010102300101010 | 6,468 | 5,647 | 249 | 12,364 | 52.3% | 45.7% | D+6.6 |
| Precinct 010602300101060 | 2,232 | 2,786 | 112 | 5,130 | 43.5% | 54.3% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct 011202300101120 | 1,322 | 2,253 | 50 | 3,625 | 36.5% | 62.2% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct 011102300101110 | 1,512 | 1,971 | 76 | 3,559 | 42.5% | 55.4% | R+12.9 |
| Precinct 011402300101140 | 1,059 | 1,913 | 54 | 3,026 | 35.0% | 63.2% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct 010202300101020 | 1,455 | 1,425 | 73 | 2,953 | 49.3% | 48.3% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct 010302300101030 | 909 | 1,715 | 47 | 2,671 | 34.0% | 64.2% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct 011002300101100 | 701 | 1,120 | 28 | 1,849 | 37.9% | 60.6% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct 010902300101090 | 698 | 1,058 | 37 | 1,793 | 38.9% | 59.0% | R+20.1 |
| Precinct 010402300101040 | 505 | 904 | 25 | 1,434 | 35.2% | 63.0% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct 010702300101070 | 565 | 835 | 26 | 1,426 | 39.6% | 58.6% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct 010802300101080 | 526 | 856 | 38 | 1,420 | 37.0% | 60.3% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct 011302300101130 | 276 | 689 | 14 | 979 | 28.2% | 70.4% | R+42.2 |
presidential history
Party record book
Androscoggin County, ME · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
80.1%
30,080 votes · D+60.3
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 71.0%
Republican
William McKinley1896
66.6%
5,548 votes · R+36.4
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 62.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
31,017votes
56.5% of the vote · D+15.2
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 30,503 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
30,605votes
52.0% of the vote · R+6.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 29,268 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+44.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.5 · U.S. R+0.7
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +37.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+30.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.4 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +12.3 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Androscoggin County, ME. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 4 state senate and 7 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 53.4%30,899 | 46.6%26,933 | 57,832 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Androscoggin County, ME registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 6.2-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
76,101 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+387 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,425 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,987 in average income, against $67,926 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+14.7 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Androscoggin County, ME itself (R+6.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cumberland County, ME900D+35.3
- Oxford County, ME273R+12.9
- Kennebec County, ME272R+2.7
- York County, ME177D+10.5
- Sagadahoc County, ME151D+16.6
- Franklin County, ME110R+8.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cumberland County, ME583
- Kennebec County, ME334
- Oxford County, ME311
- Sagadahoc County, ME127
- York County, ME120
- Franklin County, ME113
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −694 |
| 2012 | −280 |
| 2013 | −667 |
| 2014 | −363 |
| 2015 | −470 |
| 2016 | −107 |
| 2017 | −66 |
| 2018 | +323 |
| 2019 | +150 |
| 2021 | +1,795 |
| 2022 | +610 |
| 2023 | +603 |
| 2024 | +204 |
| 2025 | +387 |
Anchored by Lewiston-Auburn, Maine's second-largest metro, Androscoggin spent decades as a Democratic stronghold built on organized labor before posting a Republican margin in 2024 — a realignment driven largely by working-class Catholic and Franco-American voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 60.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 36.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.1 points.
A population of 113,423, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,873 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kennebec County and St. Lawrence County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Androscoggin County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.