- Lead
- 4,463
- Total
- 34,590
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Turnout
- 71.7%
Oxford County, ME
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.7% of 48,428 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,943
- Total
- 33,810
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Turnout
- 71.6%
- Lead
- 4,038
- Total
- 31,201
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- 70.7%
- Lead
- 4,334
- Total
- 29,420
- vs nation
- D+10.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,077
- Total
- 31,650
- vs nation
- D+8.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,422
- Total
- 31,546
- vs nation
- D+10.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,814
- Total
- 27,493
- vs nation
- D+6.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,342
- Total
- 26,091
- vs nation
- D+15.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,2552024 5-year
- Population density
- 29 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,077 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $60,1732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, ME · twin score 96.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 71.7%34,719 participants ÷ 48,428 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 57.8%–58.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34,719 | 48,428 ± 199 | 71.7% | Audited | E/A | |
| 2022Mid | 27,735 | 47,503 ± 247 | 58.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 33,492 | 46,772 ± 259 | 71.6% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 25,917 | 46,049 ± 230 | 56.3% | Audited | B/A |
| 32,090 | 45,357 ± 236 | 70.7% | Audited | B/A | |
| 29,420 | 45,162 | 65.1% | Derived | — | |
| 31,650 | 43,804 | 72.3% | Derived | — | |
| 31,546 | 42,446 extrapolated | 74.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 308/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Oxford County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Oxford County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 36 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 34,590 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 172102301717210 | 1,499 | 1,495 | 43 | 3,037 | 49.4% | 49.2% | D+0.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 172302301717230 | 1,206 | 1,683 | 49 | 2,938 | 41.0% | 57.3% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct 172702301717270 | 1,152 | 1,551 | 32 | 2,735 | 42.1% | 56.7% | R+14.6 |
| Precinct 172202301717220 | 803 | 1,609 | 32 | 2,444 | 32.9% | 65.8% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct 170902301717090 | 1,120 | 882 | 42 | 2,044 | 54.8% | 43.2% | D+11.6 |
| Precinct 170202301717020 | 988 | 777 | 48 | 1,813 | 54.5% | 42.9% | D+11.6 |
| Precinct 170802301717080 | 427 | 870 | 18 | 1,315 | 32.5% | 66.2% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct 171902301717190 | 523 | 729 | 15 | 1,267 | 41.3% | 57.5% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct 170402301717040 | 433 | 790 | 18 | 1,241 | 34.9% | 63.7% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 172172301717217 | 547 | 660 | 29 | 1,236 | 44.3% | 53.4% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct 173302301717330 | 460 | 572 | 17 | 1,049 | 43.9% | 54.5% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct 170302301717030 | 487 | 530 | 17 | 1,034 | 47.1% | 51.3% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct 173402301717340 | 385 | 631 | 16 | 1,032 | 37.3% | 61.1% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct 171502301717150 | 396 | 585 | 10 | 991 | 40.0% | 59.0% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct 173502301717350 | 382 | 548 | 17 | 947 | 40.3% | 57.9% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct 172502301717250 | 325 | 597 | 21 | 943 | 34.5% | 63.3% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 172402301717240 | 284 | 584 | 15 | 883 | 32.2% | 66.1% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct 171702301717170 | 438 | 387 | 15 | 840 | 52.1% | 46.1% | D+6.1 |
| Precinct 170702301717070 | 408 | 405 | 15 | 828 | 49.3% | 48.9% | D+0.4 |
| Precinct 171402301717140 | 304 | 472 | 21 | 797 | 38.1% | 59.2% | R+21.1 |
| Precinct 171302301717130 | 277 | 447 | 12 | 736 | 37.6% | 60.7% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct 171102301717110 | 302 | 291 | 10 | 603 | 50.1% | 48.3% | D+1.8 |
| Precinct 173002301717300 | 219 | 369 | 13 | 601 | 36.4% | 61.4% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct 170602301717060 | 169 | 385 | 8 | 562 | 30.1% | 68.5% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct 170102301717010 | 215 | 309 | 8 | 532 | 40.4% | 58.1% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct 178022301717802 | 156 | 172 | 12 | 340 | 45.9% | 50.6% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct 173102301717310 | 157 | 119 | 6 | 282 | 55.7% | 42.2% | D+13.5 |
| Precinct 172002301717200 | 146 | 115 | 9 | 270 | 54.1% | 42.6% | D+11.5 |
| Precinct 172602301717260 | 89 | 168 | 4 | 261 | 34.1% | 64.4% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct 172902301717290 | 125 | 118 | 5 | 248 | 50.4% | 47.6% | D+2.8 |
| Precinct 172802301717280 | 97 | 95 | 5 | 197 | 49.2% | 48.2% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct 171202301717120 | 111 | 82 | 3 | 196 | 56.6% | 41.8% | D+14.8 |
| Precinct 171002301717100 | 58 | 64 | 9 | 131 | 44.3% | 48.9% | R+4.6 |
| Precinct 170502301717050 | 36 | 66 | 2 | 104 | 34.6% | 63.5% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 171602301717160 | 26 | 30 | 1 | 57 | 45.6% | 52.6% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct 173202301717320 | 15 | 41 | 0 | 56 | 26.8% | 73.2% | R+46.4 |
presidential history
Party record book
Oxford County, ME · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
71.8%
13,616 votes · D+43.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 56.7%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
73.0%
12,607 votes · R+46.1
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 71.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
17,940votes
56.7% of the vote · D+16.0
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 16,618 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
19,228votes
55.6% of the vote · R+12.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 17,698 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+21.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.6 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +15.8 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+43.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+19.1 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +40.3 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Oxford County, ME. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 7 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.4%16,745 | 50.6%17,155 | 33,900 |
| 2020 | D | 53.4%17,703 | 46.6%15,478 | 33,181 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.7 points more Republican than the rolls.
43,427 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+715 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,427 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,071 in average income, against $62,352 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.0 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Oxford County, ME itself (R+12.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Androscoggin County, ME311R+6.1
- Cumberland County, ME294D+35.3
- York County, ME109D+10.5
- Carroll County, NH76R+1.7
- Kennebec County, ME68R+2.7
- Franklin County, ME58R+8.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Androscoggin County, ME273
- Cumberland County, ME228
- York County, ME99
- Kennebec County, ME72
- Franklin County, ME66
- Penobscot County, ME45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +73 |
| 2012 | −172 |
| 2013 | −48 |
| 2014 | +45 |
| 2015 | +10 |
| 2016 | +266 |
| 2017 | +348 |
| 2018 | +419 |
| 2019 | +439 |
| 2021 | +1,145 |
| 2022 | +1,137 |
| 2023 | +832 |
| 2024 | +218 |
| 2025 | +715 |
Oxford County's economy centers on timber, agriculture, and small manufacturing, and its largely white, non-college electorate has shifted more than 20 points toward Republican presidential candidates over the past four election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.9 points.
A population of 59,255, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,173 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Somerset County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Oxford County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.