- Lead
- 846
- Total
- 25,130
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Turnout
- 77.8%
Waldo County, ME
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.8% of 32,686 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,149
- Total
- 24,566
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Turnout
- 77.0%
- Lead
- 62
- Total
- 22,707
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- 76.0%
- Lead
- 2,238
- Total
- 21,061
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,544
- Total
- 21,850
- vs nation
- D+4.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,246
- Total
- 22,318
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 212
- Total
- 19,138
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,694
- Total
- 17,279
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,1922024 5-year
- Population density
- 55 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 730 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,7822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.3 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hancock County, ME · twin score 97.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 77.8%25,436 participants ÷ 32,686 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 66.0%–66.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,436 | 32,686 ± 293 | 77.8% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2022Mid | 21,149 | 32,232 ± 272 | 65.6% | Audited | B/A |
| 24,566 | 31,901 ± 266 | 77.0% | Audited | B/A | |
| 2018Mid | 20,084 | 31,497 ± 168 | 63.8% | Audited | B/A |
| 23,471 | 30,882 ± 189 | 76.0% | Audited | B/A | |
| 21,061 | 30,361 | 69.4% | Derived | — | |
| 21,850 | 29,998 | 72.8% | Derived | — | |
| 22,318 | 29,635 extrapolated | 75.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Waldo County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Waldo County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 26 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 25,130 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 270102302727010 | 2,865 | 1,228 | 119 | 4,212 | 68.0% | 29.2% | D+38.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 272602302727260 | 1,025 | 1,306 | 36 | 2,367 | 43.3% | 55.2% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct 271102302727110 | 1,120 | 590 | 51 | 1,761 | 63.6% | 33.5% | D+30.1 |
| Precinct 271902302727190 | 899 | 781 | 24 | 1,704 | 52.8% | 45.8% | D+6.9 |
| Precinct 272002302727200 | 585 | 561 | 15 | 1,161 | 50.4% | 48.3% | D+2.1 |
| Precinct 271502302727150 | 689 | 411 | 21 | 1,121 | 61.5% | 36.7% | D+24.8 |
| Precinct 271602302727160 | 408 | 614 | 27 | 1,049 | 38.9% | 58.5% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct 271802302727180 | 448 | 488 | 32 | 968 | 46.3% | 50.4% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct 272402302727240 | 420 | 509 | 29 | 958 | 43.8% | 53.1% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct 272102302727210 | 379 | 488 | 25 | 892 | 42.5% | 54.7% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct 270502302727050 | 235 | 454 | 12 | 701 | 33.5% | 64.8% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct 271302302727130 | 341 | 311 | 34 | 686 | 49.7% | 45.3% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct 270402302727040 | 205 | 449 | 11 | 665 | 30.8% | 67.5% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct 271002302727100 | 283 | 327 | 22 | 632 | 44.8% | 51.7% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct 271402302727140 | 255 | 361 | 10 | 626 | 40.7% | 57.7% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct 270302302727030 | 262 | 332 | 27 | 621 | 42.2% | 53.5% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct 270202302727020 | 265 | 338 | 10 | 613 | 43.2% | 55.1% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct 271202302727120 | 313 | 267 | 33 | 613 | 51.1% | 43.6% | D+7.5 |
| Precinct 272302302727230 | 218 | 341 | 17 | 576 | 37.8% | 59.2% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct 272502302727250 | 239 | 259 | 14 | 512 | 46.7% | 50.6% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct 270902302727090 | 131 | 336 | 19 | 486 | 27.0% | 69.1% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct 270602302727060 | 207 | 250 | 25 | 482 | 42.9% | 51.9% | R+8.9 |
| Precinct 272202302727220 | 212 | 240 | 13 | 465 | 45.6% | 51.6% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct 270702302727070 | 332 | 115 | 11 | 458 | 72.5% | 25.1% | D+47.4 |
| Precinct 271702302727170 | 180 | 264 | 4 | 448 | 40.2% | 58.9% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct 270802302727080 | 145 | 195 | 13 | 353 | 41.1% | 55.2% | R+14.2 |
presidential history
Party record book
Waldo County, ME · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
61.9%
5,397 votes · D+23.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 54.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
82.6%
6,590 votes · R+65.3
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 80.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
12,661votes
50.4% of the vote · D+3.4
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 12,345 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,815votes
47.0% of the vote · D+3.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 11,196 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+8.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+5.6 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +7.1 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+56.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+32.2 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +53.8 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Waldo County, ME. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 6 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.3%13,610 | 44.7%10,998 | 24,608 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.4 points.
31,330 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+267 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,854 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,902 in average income, against $68,487 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.4 on average — about the same lean as Waldo County, ME (D+3.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Penobscot County, ME184R+10.9
- Knox County, ME111D+18.6
- Kennebec County, ME104R+2.7
- Hancock County, ME61D+11.8
- Cumberland County, ME54D+35.3
- Somerset County, ME46R+27.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Penobscot County, ME208
- Kennebec County, ME113
- Knox County, ME87
- Hancock County, ME62
- Cumberland County, ME53
- Somerset County, ME49
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −7 |
| 2012 | +13 |
| 2013 | +4 |
| 2014 | −20 |
| 2015 | +152 |
| 2016 | +281 |
| 2017 | +408 |
| 2018 | −16 |
| 2019 | +144 |
| 2021 | +466 |
| 2022 | +409 |
| 2023 | +452 |
| 2024 | +301 |
| 2025 | +267 |
Waldo County's mix of fishing communities, small farms, and an influx of back-to-the-land residents has kept its presidential margins tight, with 2024's D+3.4 result continuing a pattern of single-digit finishes in either direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 65.3 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.4 points.
A population of 40,192, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,782 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hancock County and Lincoln County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Waldo County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.