- Lead
- 20,162
- Total
- 57,958
- vs nation
- R+33.3
- Turnout
- 79.5%
Sherburne County, MN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.5% of 73,177 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 18,157
- Total
- 55,612
- vs nation
- R+37.1
- Turnout
- 80.3%
- Lead
- 17,760
- Total
- 48,283
- vs nation
- R+38.9
- Turnout
- 74.7%
- Lead
- 10,251
- Total
- 46,509
- vs nation
- R+25.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,183
- Total
- 44,990
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,366
- Total
- 41,454
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,704
- Total
- 30,835
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,852
- Total
- 23,275
- vs nation
- R+0.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 100,5602024 5-year
- Population density
- 232 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 433 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $105,4662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wright County, MN · twin score 91.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 79.5%58,203 participants ÷ 73,177 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 57.8%–60.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58,203 | 73,177 ± 609 | 79.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 41,807 | 71,350 ± 555 | 58.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 55,752 | 69,426 ± 511 | 80.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 39,556 | 66,891 ± 500 | 59.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 48,587 | 65,002 ± 464 | 74.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 46,509 | 61,734 | 75.3% | Derived | — | |
| 44,990 | 59,518 | 75.6% | Derived | — | |
| 41,454 | 57,302 extrapolated | 72.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Sherburne County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Sherburne County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 7 candidates
Governor contest result
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Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 68 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
68 precincts · 57,960 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BECKER TWPBECKER TWP | 812 | 2,674 | 75 | 3,561 | 22.8% | 75.1% | R+52.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BIG LAKE CITY P-03BIG LAKE CITY P-03 | 940 | 1,974 | 59 | 2,973 | 31.6% | 66.4% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W2 P2AELK RIVER W2 P2A | 893 | 1,832 | 45 | 2,770 | 32.2% | 66.1% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -BECKER CITYBECKER CITY | 768 | 1,933 | 54 | 2,755 | 27.9% | 70.2% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE TWP P2BIG LAKE TWP P2 | 689 | 1,807 | 50 | 2,546 | 27.1% | 71.0% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -ORROCK TWPORROCK TWP | 659 | 1,729 | 51 | 2,439 | 27.0% | 70.9% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -LIVONIA TWP P2LIVONIA TWP P2 | 592 | 1,795 | 42 | 2,429 | 24.4% | 73.9% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -BALDWIN TWP P1BALDWIN TWP P1 | 571 | 1,661 | 57 | 2,289 | 24.9% | 72.6% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W4 P4BELK RIVER W4 P4B | 919 | 1,172 | 39 | 2,130 | 43.1% | 55.0% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct -BALDWIN TWP P2BALDWIN TWP P2 | 511 | 1,564 | 35 | 2,110 | 24.2% | 74.1% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -ZIMMERMAN P-2ZIMMERMAN P-2 | 533 | 1,460 | 27 | 2,020 | 26.4% | 72.3% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W3 P3AELK RIVER W3 P3A | 803 | 1,133 | 45 | 1,981 | 40.5% | 57.2% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W4 P4AELK RIVER W4 P4A | 756 | 1,052 | 29 | 1,837 | 41.2% | 57.3% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE CITY P-02BIG LAKE CITY P-02 | 639 | 1,108 | 25 | 1,772 | 36.1% | 62.5% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE TWP P1BIG LAKE TWP P1 | 548 | 1,167 | 37 | 1,752 | 31.3% | 66.6% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W3 P3BELK RIVER W3 P3B | 735 | 973 | 39 | 1,747 | 42.1% | 55.7% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -PALMER TWPPALMER TWP | 434 | 1,266 | 23 | 1,723 | 25.2% | 73.5% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W1 P1AELK RIVER W1 P1A | 666 | 950 | 24 | 1,640 | 40.6% | 57.9% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W1 P1BELK RIVER W1 P1B | 581 | 1,011 | 28 | 1,620 | 35.9% | 62.4% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -ZIMMERMAN P-1ZIMMERMAN P-1 | 420 | 1,154 | 36 | 1,610 | 26.1% | 71.7% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -BLUE HILL TWPBLUE HILL TWP | 341 | 1,244 | 22 | 1,607 | 21.2% | 77.4% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE CITY P-01BIG LAKE CITY P-01 | 499 | 1,036 | 37 | 1,572 | 31.7% | 65.9% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -ELK RIVER W2 P2BELK RIVER W2 P2B | 516 | 974 | 36 | 1,526 | 33.8% | 63.8% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -LIVONIA TWP P1LIVONIA TWP P1 | 423 | 1,050 | 24 | 1,497 | 28.3% | 70.1% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -ST CLOUD W2 P7ST CLOUD W2 P7 | 771 | 570 | 55 | 1,396 | 55.2% | 40.8% | D+14.4 |
| Precinct -CLEAR LAKE TWPCLEAR LAKE TWP | 390 | 781 | 18 | 1,189 | 32.8% | 65.7% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -HAVEN TWP P-2HAVEN TWP P-2 | 390 | 773 | 26 | 1,189 | 32.8% | 65.0% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -SANTIAGO TWPSANTIAGO TWP | 221 | 924 | 17 | 1,162 | 19.0% | 79.5% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -BIG LAKE TWP P3BIG LAKE TWP P3 | 273 | 564 | 22 | 859 | 31.8% | 65.7% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -ST CLOUD W2 P6ST CLOUD W2 P6 | 394 | 353 | 26 | 773 | 51.0% | 45.7% | D+5.3 |
| Precinct -ST CLOUD W2 P5ST CLOUD W2 P5 | 410 | 274 | 22 | 706 | 58.1% | 38.8% | D+19.3 |
| Precinct -CLEAR LAKE CITYCLEAR LAKE CITY | 126 | 275 | 11 | 412 | 30.6% | 66.7% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -LIVONIA TWP P3LIVONIA TWP P3 | 30 | 114 | 2 | 146 | 20.5% | 78.1% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -PRINCETON CITY P2PRINCETON CITY P2 | 52 | 87 | 2 | 141 | 36.9% | 61.7% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -HAVEN TWP P-1HAVEN TWP P-1 | 24 | 57 | 0 | 81 | 29.6% | 70.4% | R+40.7 |
| Baldwin Twp. P-127_271410125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Baldwin Twp. P-227_271410005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Becker City Voting District27_271410010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Becker Twp. Voting District27_271410015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake City P-127_271410020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake City P-227_271410022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake City P-327_271410024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake Twp. P-127_271410025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake Twp. P-227_271410120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Lake Twp. P-327_271410121 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blue Hill Twp. Voting District27_271410030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clear Lake Twp. Voting District27_271410040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clear Lake Voting District27_271410035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-1 P-1A27_271410045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-1 P-1B27_271410130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-2 P-2A27_271410050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-2 P-2B27_271410135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-3 P-3A27_271410055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-3 P-3B27_271410140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-4 P-4A27_271410060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elk River W-4 P-4B27_271410145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Haven Twp. Voting District27_271410065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Livonia Twp. P-127_271410070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Livonia Twp. P-227_271410150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Orrock Twp. Voting District27_271410075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmer Twp. Voting District27_271410080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Princeton P-227_271410085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Santiago Twp. Voting District27_271410105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Cloud W-2 P-527_271410090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Cloud W-2 P-627_271410095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Cloud W-2 P-727_271410100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zimmerman P-127_271410110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Zimmerman P-227_271410111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Sherburne County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.8%
3,787 votes · D+27.9
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 58.4%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
85.2%
2,747 votes · R+75.7
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 82.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
18,329votes
31.6% of the vote · R+34.8
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 18,065 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
38,491votes
66.4% of the vote · R+34.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 36,222 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+20.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+3.0 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · +18.2 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+49.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+69.5 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +49.5 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Sherburne County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 30.7%17,161 | 69.3%38,731 | 55,892 |
| 2020 | R | 29.1%15,546 | 70.9%37,894 | 53,440 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 56,994 |
| 2018 | 56,926 |
| 2020 | 63,322 |
| 2022 | 63,733 |
| 2024 | 68,237 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+404 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,487 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,477 in average income, against $93,961 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.5 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Sherburne County, MN itself (R+34.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hennepin County, MN565D+42.4
- Anoka County, MN479R+4.4
- Wright County, MN459R+29.2
- Stearns County, MN409R+26.7
- Mille Lacs County, MN146R+40.8
- Benton County, MN120R+35.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hennepin County, MN494
- Wright County, MN468
- Stearns County, MN445
- Anoka County, MN366
- Benton County, MN175
- Mille Lacs County, MN168
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −268 |
| 2012 | −580 |
| 2013 | −109 |
| 2014 | +80 |
| 2015 | −241 |
| 2016 | +1,102 |
| 2017 | +554 |
| 2018 | +791 |
| 2019 | +582 |
| 2021 | +1,186 |
| 2022 | +1,200 |
| 2023 | +769 |
| 2024 | +17 |
| 2025 | +404 |
Sherburne sits at the outer edge of the Minneapolis–St. Paul metro, and its fast-growing exurban population has shifted the county from competitive to reliably lopsided, posting an R+34.8 margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 75.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.8 points.
A population of 100,560, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,466 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wright County and Chisago County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Sherburne County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27141/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.