Saline County, Missouri
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 9,330 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -MARSHALL 1MARSHALL 1 | 503 | 926 | 18 | 1,447 | 34.8% | 64.0% | R+29.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SLATERSLATER | 352 | 823 | 14 | 1,189 | 29.6% | 69.2% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -MARSHALL 2MARSHALL 2 | 394 | 749 | 13 | 1,156 | 34.1% | 64.8% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -SWEET SPRINGSSWEET SPRINGS | 258 | 858 | 13 | 1,129 | 22.9% | 76.0% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -MARSHALL 4MARSHALL 4 | 333 | 643 | 13 | 989 | 33.7% | 65.0% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -MARSHALL 3MARSHALL 3 | 320 | 623 | 9 | 952 | 33.6% | 65.4% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct -BLACKWATER/SALT FORKBLACKWATER/SALT FORK | 102 | 313 | 3 | 418 | 24.4% | 74.9% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -BLACKBURNBLACKBURN | 81 | 282 | 5 | 368 | 22.0% | 76.6% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -HERNDONHERNDON | 66 | 292 | 6 | 364 | 18.1% | 80.2% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -MIAMIMIAMI | 71 | 237 | 4 | 312 | 22.8% | 76.0% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -MALTA BENDMALTA BEND | 56 | 231 | 3 | 290 | 19.3% | 79.7% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -HARDEMANHARDEMAN | 85 | 203 | 1 | 289 | 29.4% | 70.2% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -OREARVILLEOREARVILLE | 70 | 196 | 3 | 269 | 26.0% | 72.9% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -NELSONNELSON | 35 | 122 | 1 | 158 | 22.2% | 77.2% | R+55.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +24.7% |
| 1896 | +29.3% |
| 1900 | +26.6% |
| 1904 | +13.6% |
| 1908 | +17.6% |
| 1912 | +36.1% |
| 1916 | +20.3% |
| 1920 | +11.7% |
| 1924 | +13.0% |
| 1928 | −4.1% |
| 1932 | +37.6% |
| 1936 | +17.0% |
| 1940 | +4.2% |
| 1944 | +5.4% |
| 1948 | +19.6% |
| 1952 | −4.6% |
| 1956 | −1.1% |
| 1960 | −1.0% |
| 1964 | +33.6% |
| 1968 | −0.5% |
| 1972 | −31.5% |
| 1976 | +9.3% |
| 1980 | −2.6% |
| 1984 | −17.1% |
| 1988 | +4.3% |
| 1992 | +19.2% |
| 1996 | +20.7% |
| 2000 | +0.1% |
| 2004 | −9.2% |
| 2008 | −2.5% |
| 2012 | −14.4% |
| 2016 | −34.4% |
| 2020 | −37.2% |
| 2024 | −40.4% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,004 |
| 2018 | 13,501 |
| 2020 | 14,061 |
| 2022 | 13,561 |
| 2024 | 13,517 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−20 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,501 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,687 in average income, against $60,633 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+22.8 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Saline County, MO itself (R+40.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pettis County, MO54R+48.7
- Jackson County, MO35D+19.3
- Lafayette County, MO34R+48.9
- Boone County, MO25D+9.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pettis County, MO58
- Jackson County, MO50
- Boone County, MO39
- Lafayette County, MO24
- Johnson County, MO23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −130 |
| 2012 | +48 |
| 2013 | −261 |
| 2014 | +6 |
| 2015 | −268 |
| 2016 | −169 |
| 2017 | −217 |
| 2018 | −61 |
| 2019 | −174 |
| 2021 | −16 |
| 2022 | −234 |
| 2023 | +59 |
| 2024 | −64 |
| 2025 | −20 |
Saline County, anchored by Marshall along the Missouri River, has shifted from a competitive rural battleground to a lopsided Republican stronghold over two decades, mirroring the broader realignment of small-town Missouri agriculture counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 40.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.4 points.
A population of 23,231, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,931 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cass County and Crawford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Saline County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29195/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.