Lincoln County, Montana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 11,789 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -EUREKA NORTH 16EUREKA NORTH 16 | 299 | 1,148 | 28 | 1,475 | 20.3% | 77.8% | R+57.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF LIBBY 9CITY OF LIBBY 9 | 381 | 878 | 30 | 1,289 | 29.6% | 68.1% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -LIBBY SOUTH 12LIBBY SOUTH 12 | 232 | 991 | 29 | 1,252 | 18.5% | 79.2% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -LIBBY WEST 13LIBBY WEST 13 | 274 | 791 | 22 | 1,087 | 25.2% | 72.8% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -LIBBY EAST 11LIBBY EAST 11 | 189 | 866 | 21 | 1,076 | 17.6% | 80.5% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -EUREKA SOUTH 15EUREKA SOUTH 15 | 226 | 810 | 23 | 1,059 | 21.3% | 76.5% | R+55.1 |
| Precinct -TROY SOUTH 8TROY SOUTH 8 | 233 | 741 | 21 | 995 | 23.4% | 74.5% | R+51.1 |
| Precinct -FORTINE 1FORTINE 1 | 121 | 544 | 19 | 684 | 17.7% | 79.5% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -LIBBY NORTH 10LIBBY NORTH 10 | 136 | 520 | 12 | 668 | 20.4% | 77.8% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF EUREKA 4TOWN OF EUREKA 4 | 144 | 395 | 18 | 557 | 25.9% | 70.9% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF TROY 7CITY OF TROY 7 | 138 | 305 | 12 | 455 | 30.3% | 67.0% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -TREGO 2TREGO 2 | 73 | 308 | 10 | 391 | 18.7% | 78.8% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -TROY NORTH 14TROY NORTH 14 | 55 | 241 | 6 | 302 | 18.2% | 79.8% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -MCCORMICK 6MCCORMICK 6 | 75 | 208 | 7 | 290 | 25.9% | 71.7% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -YAAK 5YAAK 5 | 39 | 163 | 7 | 209 | 18.7% | 78.0% | R+59.3 |
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +12.7% |
| 1916 | +16.6% |
| 1920 | −24.4% |
| 1924 | −25.2% |
| 1928 | −6.4% |
| 1932 | +35.6% |
| 1936 | +45.0% |
| 1940 | +26.1% |
| 1944 | +13.0% |
| 1948 | +21.1% |
| 1952 | +0.7% |
| 1956 | −0.8% |
| 1960 | +15.9% |
| 1964 | +33.7% |
| 1968 | +5.5% |
| 1972 | −14.1% |
| 1976 | +2.1% |
| 1980 | −24.2% |
| 1984 | −15.6% |
| 1988 | +1.4% |
| 1992 | −0.4% |
| 1996 | −10.8% |
| 2000 | −50.3% |
| 2004 | −42.2% |
| 2008 | −29.0% |
| 2012 | −39.4% |
| 2016 | −50.2% |
| 2020 | −49.7% |
| 2024 | −53.4% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,472 |
| 2018 | 13,395 |
| 2020 | 14,373 |
| 2022 | 15,100 |
| 2024 | 13,897 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+313 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +4,149 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $84,379 in average income, against $64,087 for residents who stayed — 32% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+26.0 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, MT itself (R+53.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Flathead County, MT122R+33.8
- Missoula County, MT20D+21.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Flathead County, MT83
- Kootenai County, ID25
- Missoula County, MT20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −17 |
| 2012 | −83 |
| 2013 | −17 |
| 2014 | −178 |
| 2015 | −40 |
| 2016 | +301 |
| 2017 | +302 |
| 2018 | +349 |
| 2019 | +297 |
| 2021 | +1,030 |
| 2022 | +977 |
| 2023 | +501 |
| 2024 | +414 |
| 2025 | +313 |
Lincoln County sits in the rugged northwest corner of Montana along the Canadian border, where a timber-dependent economy and sparse, largely white rural population have produced some of the state's widest Republican presidential margins for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 53.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.4 points.
A population of 21,175, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,143 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clearwater County and Grant County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lincoln County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.