Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBroadwater CountyMontanaUnited States
German30.0%22.9%12.5%
Irish16.4%13.5%9.4%
English15.3%13.1%9.5%
Norwegian7.6%7.5%—
Scottish5.9%2.6%1.3%
Scotch-Irish3.7%——
Swedish3.5%1.4%—
French3.4%—1.6%
Mexican2.8%2.9%11.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Broadwater County
Montana
United States
Median age
45.9
40.8
39.1
Age 18–24
5.3%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
23.3%
20.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Broadwater County
Montana
United States
Median household income
$70,374
$72,509
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.7%
11.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.3%
35.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Broadwater County
Montana
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.1%
4.2%
22.3%
Spanish
1.0%
1.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Broadwater County
Montana
United States
Catholic
4.3%
10.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
4.0%
13.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
85.4%
65.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Broadwater County, Montana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 4,810 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Broadwater County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -PRECINCT 13PRECINCT 13
204
1,198
47
1,449
14.1%
82.7%
R+68.6
Precinct -PRECINCT 1PRECINCT 1
259
947
36
1,242
20.9%
76.2%
R+55.4
Precinct -PRECINCT 11PRECINCT 11
159
748
26
933
17.0%
80.2%
R+63.1
Precinct -PRECINCT 7PRECINCT 7
141
489
19
649
21.7%
75.3%
R+53.6
Precinct -PRECINCT 12PRECINCT 12
122
388
27
537
22.7%
72.3%
R+49.5
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1900–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1900
+28.2%
1904
+1.3%
1908
+19.6%
1912
+26.4%
1916
+29.6%
1920
−7.2%
1924
−3.2%
1928
−5.7%
1932
+31.3%
1936
+35.6%
1940
+6.1%
1944
−15.3%
1948
−13.3%
1952
−37.7%
1956
−31.9%
1960
−3.7%
1964
−1.2%
1968
−18.8%
1972
−36.7%
1976
−18.9%
1980
−41.6%
1984
−48.5%
1988
−27.5%
1992
−18.4%
1996
−21.7%
2000
−49.5%
2004
−52.8%
2008
−36.3%
2012
−46.1%
2016
−56.7%
2020
−57.1%
2024
−60.0%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
18.4%Harris885
78.4%Trump3,770
2.2%Kennedy107 +2
R+60.0
R+2.9
R+58.5
4,810
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican78.4%3,770
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic18.4%885
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent2.2%107
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%30
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%18
R
20.4%Biden835
77.4%Trump3,173
2.2%Jorgensen89
R+57.1
R+0.4
R+61.5
4,097
R
18.3%Clinton573
74.9%Trump2,348
5.4%Johnson169
R+56.7
R+10.6
R+58.7
3,133
R
25.4%Obama764
71.5%Romney2,152
3.2%GRAY95
R+46.1
R+9.8
R+50.0
3,011
R
30.5%Obama857
66.8%McCain1,875
2.7%
R+36.3
D+16.6
R+43.5
2,807
R
22.6%Kerry533
75.5%Bush1,778
1.9%
R+52.8
R+3.4
R+50.4
2,356
R
22.3%Gore462
71.7%Bush1,488
3.0%Nader63
R+49.5
R+27.8
R+50.0
2,074
R
30.7%Clinton603
52.3%Dole1,029
16.2%Perot318
R+21.7
R+3.3
R+30.2
1,966
R
26.7%Clinton491
45.1%Bush830
27.4%Perot505
R+18.4
D+9.0
R+24.0
1,842
R
35.2%Dukakis592
62.6%Bush1,054
2.2%
R+27.5
D+21.0
R+19.7
1,683
R
25.0%Mondale458
73.5%Reagan1,345
1.5%
R+48.5
R+6.8
R+30.3
1,830
R
25.6%Carter401
67.3%Reagan1,052
7.1%
R+41.6
R+22.7
R+31.9
1,564
R
40.1%Carter557
59.0%Ford820
0.9%
R+18.9
D+17.8
R+21.0
1,389
R
29.9%McGovern411
66.6%Nixon916
3.6%
R+36.7
R+17.9
R+13.5
1,376
R
35.5%Humphrey439
54.3%Nixon671
10.2%
R+18.8
R+17.6
R+18.1
1,236
R
49.4%Johnson595
50.6%Goldwater609
0.0%
R+1.2
D+2.6
R+23.7
1,204
R
48.1%Kennedy631
51.9%Nixon680
0.0%
R+3.7
D+28.1
R+3.9
1,311
R
34.1%Stevenson449
65.9%Eisenhower869
0.0%
R+31.9
D+5.9
R+16.5
1,318
R
31.1%Stevenson435
68.9%Eisenhower962
0.0%
R+37.7
R+24.5
R+27.0
1,397
R
42.3%Truman536
55.6%Dewey704
2.1%
R+13.3
D+2.0
R+17.8
1,266
R
42.2%Roosevelt558
57.4%Dewey760
0.4%
R+15.3
R+21.4
R+22.8
1,323
D
52.9%Roosevelt854
46.8%Willkie755
0.2%
D+6.1
R+29.5
R+3.8
1,613
D
67.1%Roosevelt1,071
31.4%Landon502
1.5%
D+35.6
D+4.3
D+11.4
1,597
D
65.0%Roosevelt988
33.7%Hoover512
1.3%
D+31.3
D+37.0
D+13.5
1,519
R
46.9%Smith663
52.5%Hoover743
0.6%
R+5.7
R+2.5
D+11.8
1,415
R
34.5%Davis486
37.7%Coolidge531
27.7%La Follette390
R+3.2
D+4.0
D+22.0
1,408
R
44.3%Cox622
51.5%Harding723
4.2%
R+7.2
R+36.7
D+19.0
1,404
D
63.0%Wilson1,100
33.4%Hughes584
3.6%
D+29.6
D+3.2
D+26.4
1,746
D
48.3%Wilson451
22.0%Taft205
29.7%
D+26.4
D+6.7
D+6.8
933
D
57.5%Bryan495
37.9%Taft326
4.6%
D+19.6
D+18.4
D+29.2
861
D
46.2%Parker403
44.9%Roosevelt392
8.9%
D+1.3
R+26.9
D+20.9
873
D
63.5%Bryan572
35.3%McKinley318
1.2%
D+28.2
—
D+35.7
901
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
25.2%1,219
72.3%3,503
4,842
2020
R
24.4%1,003
75.6%3,107
4,110
2018
R
32.8%1,071
64.0%2,086
3,261
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Broadwater County, MT
Year
Total registered
2016
4,216
2018
4,337
2020
4,982
2022
5,497
2024
6,166
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+214 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,277 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $79,133 in average income, against $86,909 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+0.2 on average — 60 points more Democratic-leaning than Broadwater County, MT itself (R+60.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Gallatin County, MT107D+3.2
Lewis and Clark County, MT54R+5.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Lewis and Clark County, MT53
Gallatin County, MT44
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Broadwater County, MT in Broadwater County, MT: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+100
2012
+41
2013
−74
2014
−21
2015
+64
2016
+79
2017
+153
2018
+149
2019
+155
2021
+496
2022
+433
2023
+256
2024
+232
2025
+214
With fewer than 4,500 residents spread across ranchland east of the Continental Divide, Broadwater County delivered a 60-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, consistent with its decades-long pattern of lopsided rural-conservative voting.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 60.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.0 points.
A population of 7,668, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,374 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Powell County and Madison County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Broadwater County, Montana voted Republican by 60.0 points (R+60.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,810 votes cast, 885 went Democratic and 3,770 went Republican.
When did Broadwater County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Broadwater County, Montana voted Democratic was 1940.
How many people live in Broadwater County, Montana?
Broadwater County, Montana has a population of 7,668 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Broadwater County, Montana?
Median household income in Broadwater County, Montana is $70,374 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Broadwater County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Broadwater County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.
