Carbon County, Montana: Farm Belt county. In 2024, voted R+32%. Republican peak: R+38 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 11,1162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,2612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jefferson County, MT · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Carbon CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Carbon County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | +33.9% |
| 1900 | −1.2% |
| 1904 | −34.8% |
| 1908 | −15.6% |
| 1912 | +5.8% |
| 1916 | +5.4% |
| 1920 | −37.8% |
| 1924 | −28.0% |
| 1928 | −19.4% |
| 1932 | +18.3% |
| 1936 | +30.7% |
| 1940 | +5.0% |
| 1944 | −1.3% |
| 1948 | +2.3% |
| 1952 | −22.8% |
| 1956 | −12.6% |
| 1960 | −3.7% |
| 1964 | +15.5% |
| 1968 | −17.3% |
| 1972 | −28.3% |
| 1976 | −6.6% |
| 1980 | −23.0% |
| 1984 | −26.6% |
| 1988 | −7.2% |
| 1992 | −0.3% |
| 1996 | −6.2% |
| 2000 | −32.9% |
| 2004 | −28.1% |
| 2008 | −11.6% |
| 2012 | −23.7% |
| 2016 | −32.0% |
| 2020 | −29.0% |
| 2024 | −32.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,353 | 4,719 | 7,297 | ||
| R | 2,421 | 4,468 | 7,052 | ||
| R | 1,828 | 3,748 | 5,991 | ||
| R | 2,146 | 3,533 | 5,847 | ||
| R | 2,443 | 3,108 | 5,746 | ||
| R | 1,847 | 3,342 | 5,321 | ||
| R | 1,434 | 3,008 | 4,789 | ||
| R | 1,854 | 2,147 | 4,762 | ||
| R | 1,549 | 1,562 | 4,620 | ||
| R | 2,039 | 2,360 | 4,470 | ||
| R | 1,657 | 2,877 | 4,587 | ||
| R | 1,468 | 2,471 | 4,363 | ||
| R | 1,853 | 2,121 | 4,045 | ||
| R | 1,292 | 2,378 | 3,841 | ||
| R | 1,353 | 1,972 | 3,587 | ||
| D | 2,098 | 1,535 | 3,633 | ||
| R | 1,903 | 2,050 | 3,961 | ||
| R | 1,820 | 2,345 | 4,165 | ||
| R | 1,713 | 2,734 | 4,470 | ||
| D | 1,997 | 1,901 | 4,169 | ||
| R | 2,073 | 2,126 | 4,230 | ||
| D | 2,678 | 2,421 | 5,161 | ||
| D | 3,116 | 1,617 | 4,876 | ||
| D | 2,872 | 1,942 | 5,076 | ||
| R | 1,674 | 2,514 | 4,327 | ||
| R | 698 | 1,891 | 4,266 | ||
| R | 1,107 | 2,700 | 4,214 | ||
| D | 1,926 | 1,708 | 4,013 | ||
| O | 796 | 646 | 2,596 | ||
| R | 844 | 1,205 | 2,317 | ||
| R | 464 | 1,130 | 1,913 | ||
| R | 907 | 930 | 1,866 | ||
| D | 739 | 365 | 1,104 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
28.8%
English
16.6%
Irish
14.0%
American
5.0%
Italian
3.9%
Scottish
3.6%
French
3.3%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 50.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$80,261
Carbon County ranks in the top 25% of US counties.
Carbon County$80,261
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Carbon County ranks in the top 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.0%
Working age (18–64)8.5%
Seniors (65+)4.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.8%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.1%
Spanish1.0%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 76.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carbon County's economy runs on agriculture and coal extraction along the Wyoming border, producing some of Montana's most consistent Republican margins — the 2024 presidential gap exceeded 32 points in a county of under 10,000 residents.
The Republican margin here reached thirty-eight points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-two points.
A population of 11,116, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,261 describe an agricultural county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jefferson County and Powell County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carbon County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Montana
More farm belt counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Carbon County, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carbon County, Montana voted Republican by 32.4 points (R+32), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,297 votes cast, 2,353 went Democratic and 4,719 went Republican.
What is Carbon County, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Carbon County, Montana in the "Farm Belt" typology — Rural Plains and Midwest farm counties — Republican, with modest recent movement. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did Carbon County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carbon County, Montana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Carbon County, Montana?
Carbon County, Montana has a population of 11,116 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carbon County, Montana?
Median household income in Carbon County, Montana is $80,261 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Carbon County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carbon County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The county's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.