Middlesex County, New Jersey: New American county. In 2024, voted D+8%. Republican peak: R+42 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+8MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 871,2902024 5-year
- Median household income
- $111,5492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 40.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +12.5% |
| 1896 | −21.0% |
| 1900 | −12.7% |
| 1904 | −17.7% |
| 1908 | −17.0% |
| 1912 | +18.7% |
| 1916 | −8.5% |
| 1920 | −42.1% |
| 1924 | −32.8% |
| 1928 | −5.1% |
| 1932 | +16.5% |
| 1936 | +30.1% |
| 1940 | +23.3% |
| 1944 | +14.2% |
| 1948 | +10.2% |
| 1952 | −2.3% |
| 1956 | −21.5% |
| 1960 | +16.6% |
| 1964 | +40.7% |
| 1968 | +3.0% |
| 1972 | −25.0% |
| 1976 | +3.9% |
| 1980 | −10.4% |
| 1984 | −20.7% |
| 1988 | −9.9% |
| 1992 | +7.1% |
| 1996 | +24.3% |
| 2000 | +23.7% |
| 2004 | +13.6% |
| 2008 | +21.8% |
| 2012 | +27.6% |
| 2016 | +21.3% |
| 2020 | +22.2% |
| 2024 | +8.0% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 191,802 | 162,459 | 366,639 | ||
| D | 226,250 | 143,467 | 372,271 | ||
| D | 193,044 | 122,953 | 328,557 | ||
| D | 190,555 | 107,310 | 301,860 | ||
| D | 193,812 | 123,695 | 321,015 | ||
| D | 166,628 | 126,492 | 295,805 | ||
| D | 154,998 | 93,545 | 258,849 | ||
| D | 145,201 | 82,433 | 258,386 | ||
| D | 128,824 | 108,701 | 285,271 | ||
| R | 117,149 | 143,422 | 264,119 | ||
| R | 104,905 | 160,221 | 267,853 | ||
| R | 97,304 | 122,354 | 241,206 | ||
| D | 122,859 | 113,539 | 240,864 | ||
| R | 88,397 | 149,033 | 242,694 | ||
| D | 103,339 | 96,515 | 225,530 | ||
| D | 151,196 | 63,370 | 215,618 | ||
| D | 116,095 | 83,025 | 199,556 | ||
| R | 64,538 | 100,071 | 165,286 | ||
| R | 70,234 | 73,577 | 146,224 | ||
| D | 61,634 | 49,810 | 116,210 | ||
| D | 60,504 | 45,232 | 107,378 | ||
| D | 67,140 | 41,709 | 109,013 | ||
| D | 61,679 | 32,959 | 95,340 | ||
| D | 45,997 | 32,673 | 80,781 | ||
| R | 34,908 | 38,714 | 73,950 | ||
| R | 16,373 | 34,556 | 55,482 | ||
| R | 11,618 | 29,334 | 42,088 | ||
| R | 9,975 | 11,851 | 22,146 | ||
| D | 8,186 | 4,743 | 18,399 | ||
| R | 7,940 | 11,261 | 19,560 | ||
| R | 6,996 | 10,117 | 17,613 | ||
| R | 7,191 | 9,348 | 16,938 | ||
| R | 5,976 | 9,304 | 15,843 | ||
| D | 7,945 | 6,142 | 14,439 | ||
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Demographics
Middlesex County's large South Asian and Latino communities — centered in Edison, New Brunswick, and Piscataway — have made it a bellwether for how demographic shifts translate into durable partisan margins in New Jersey's suburbs.
Middlesex County has leaned Democratic in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of forty-one points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved fourteen points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $111,549, and a population of 871,290. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of South Central Connecticut Planning Region and Naugatuck Valley Planning Region.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Middlesex County, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/34023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
