Somerset County, New Jersey: New American county. In 2024, voted D+14%. Republican peak: R+48 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 349,8462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $140,3742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Prince William County, VA · similarity 0.97
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +0.9% |
| 1896 | −24.4% |
| 1900 | −15.9% |
| 1904 | −17.9% |
| 1908 | −20.9% |
| 1912 | +14.6% |
| 1916 | −12.5% |
| 1920 | −43.9% |
| 1924 | −48.4% |
| 1928 | −33.6% |
| 1932 | −10.5% |
| 1936 | +0.6% |
| 1940 | −10.0% |
| 1944 | −16.7% |
| 1948 | −21.5% |
| 1952 | −26.8% |
| 1956 | −44.3% |
| 1960 | −11.9% |
| 1964 | +21.1% |
| 1968 | −19.0% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | −16.7% |
| 1980 | −25.2% |
| 1984 | −34.6% |
| 1988 | −28.5% |
| 1992 | −10.9% |
| 1996 | −1.1% |
| 2000 | −2.9% |
| 2004 | −4.3% |
| 2008 | +6.1% |
| 2012 | +5.6% |
| 2016 | +12.8% |
| 2020 | +21.2% |
| 2024 | +13.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 98,790 | 74,101 | 178,343 | ||
| D | 111,173 | 71,996 | 184,810 | ||
| D | 85,689 | 65,505 | 157,092 | ||
| D | 74,592 | 66,603 | 143,180 | ||
| D | 79,321 | 70,085 | 151,078 | ||
| R | 66,476 | 72,508 | 140,279 | ||
| R | 56,232 | 59,725 | 120,377 | ||
| R | 50,673 | 51,869 | 112,929 | ||
| R | 42,867 | 56,044 | 120,813 | ||
| R | 37,406 | 67,658 | 106,193 | ||
| R | 31,924 | 66,303 | 99,296 | ||
| R | 29,470 | 52,591 | 91,928 | ||
| R | 36,258 | 51,260 | 89,691 | ||
| R | 26,537 | 56,524 | 85,605 | ||
| R | 27,580 | 42,459 | 78,475 | ||
| D | 43,659 | 28,416 | 72,270 | ||
| R | 28,489 | 36,200 | 64,863 | ||
| R | 14,529 | 37,930 | 52,789 | ||
| R | 18,007 | 31,239 | 49,320 | ||
| R | 14,104 | 22,034 | 36,862 | ||
| R | 14,467 | 20,266 | 34,770 | ||
| R | 16,490 | 20,169 | 36,755 | ||
| D | 15,987 | 15,806 | 31,887 | ||
| R | 12,345 | 15,317 | 28,273 | ||
| R | 8,120 | 16,386 | 24,580 | ||
| R | 4,143 | 12,986 | 18,260 | ||
| R | 4,192 | 10,962 | 15,435 | ||
| R | 3,653 | 4,707 | 8,451 | ||
| D | 3,146 | 2,068 | 7,402 | ||
| R | 3,271 | 5,043 | 8,485 | ||
| R | 3,195 | 4,633 | 8,029 | ||
| R | 3,183 | 4,438 | 7,878 | ||
| R | 2,608 | 4,388 | 7,291 | ||
| D | 3,408 | 3,342 | 6,975 | ||
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Demographics
Somerset County's transformation tracks a broader pattern in affluent suburban New Jersey: college-educated voters shifted the presidential margin to D+13.9 in 2024, a reversal from its Republican-leaning baseline of the early 2000s.
Somerset County has leaned Democratic in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of twenty-one points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved seven points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $140,374, and a population of 349,846. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Prince William County and Henrico County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Somerset County, New Jersey. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/34035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
