Herkimer County, New York: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+36%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 59,7572024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,5152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fulton County, NY · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Herkimer CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Herkimer County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −5.6% |
| 1896 | −22.7% |
| 1900 | −19.2% |
| 1904 | −17.0% |
| 1908 | −15.6% |
| 1912 | +3.4% |
| 1916 | −11.4% |
| 1920 | −35.6% |
| 1924 | −38.9% |
| 1928 | −26.8% |
| 1932 | −14.8% |
| 1936 | −10.6% |
| 1940 | −14.9% |
| 1944 | −11.7% |
| 1948 | −7.4% |
| 1952 | −28.7% |
| 1956 | −43.4% |
| 1960 | −8.5% |
| 1964 | +32.9% |
| 1968 | −15.4% |
| 1972 | −36.0% |
| 1976 | −8.8% |
| 1980 | −9.4% |
| 1984 | −29.0% |
| 1988 | −8.6% |
| 1992 | −3.9% |
| 1996 | +6.9% |
| 2000 | −6.9% |
| 2004 | −15.4% |
| 2008 | −9.3% |
| 2012 | −8.0% |
| 2016 | −32.8% |
| 2020 | −30.5% |
| 2024 | −36.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 9,110 | 19,557 | 28,857 | ||
| R | 9,939 | 18,871 | 29,322 | ||
| R | 8,083 | 16,699 | 26,255 | ||
| R | 11,273 | 13,282 | 25,040 | ||
| R | 12,094 | 14,619 | 27,184 | ||
| R | 11,675 | 16,024 | 28,310 | ||
| R | 12,224 | 14,147 | 27,705 | ||
| D | 11,910 | 10,085 | 26,626 | ||
| R | 10,880 | 12,052 | 29,939 | ||
| R | 12,694 | 15,104 | 28,022 | ||
| R | 10,346 | 18,827 | 29,258 | ||
| R | 11,497 | 14,105 | 27,888 | ||
| R | 12,875 | 15,362 | 28,377 | ||
| R | 9,487 | 20,194 | 29,767 | ||
| R | 10,940 | 15,192 | 27,665 | ||
| D | 20,136 | 10,159 | 30,317 | ||
| R | 14,977 | 17,758 | 32,768 | ||
| R | 8,789 | 22,246 | 31,035 | ||
| R | 11,599 | 20,980 | 32,668 | ||
| R | 12,577 | 14,688 | 28,338 | ||
| R | 12,381 | 15,656 | 28,085 | ||
| R | 13,013 | 17,590 | 30,657 | ||
| R | 12,847 | 15,941 | 29,129 | ||
| R | 11,194 | 15,158 | 26,790 | ||
| R | 10,654 | 18,624 | 29,709 | ||
| R | 6,464 | 15,625 | 23,563 | ||
| R | 6,507 | 14,310 | 21,924 | ||
| R | 6,271 | 7,934 | 14,580 | ||
| D | 5,122 | 4,665 | 13,580 | ||
| R | 5,918 | 8,202 | 14,679 | ||
| R | 5,827 | 8,319 | 14,645 | ||
| R | 5,401 | 8,100 | 14,022 | ||
| R | 5,027 | 8,096 | 13,545 | ||
| R | 5,526 | 6,219 | 12,454 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
18.9%
German
15.9%
Italian
15.9%
English
12.2%
American
7.3%
Polish
7.2%
French
3.8%
African American
1.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$68,515
Herkimer County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Herkimer County$68,515
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Herkimer County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.7%
Working age (18–64)13.0%
Seniors (65+)8.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.8%
Spanish1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Herkimer's population of roughly 64,000 spans the Mohawk Valley and Adirondack foothills, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+36.4 reflects a long-running rural realignment that has widened steadily over successive election cycles.
The Democratic margin here peaked at thirty-three points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-six points.
A population of 59,757, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,515 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fulton County and Waseca County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Herkimer County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36043/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in New York
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Frequently asked questions
How did Herkimer County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Herkimer County, New York voted Republican by 36.2 points (R+36), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 28,857 votes cast, 9,110 went Democratic and 19,557 went Republican.
What is Herkimer County, New York's political typology?
Akashic places Herkimer County, New York in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 31 times, and other 0 times.
When did Herkimer County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Herkimer County, New York voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Herkimer County, New York?
Herkimer County, New York has a population of 59,757 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Herkimer County, New York?
Median household income in Herkimer County, New York is $68,515 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Herkimer County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Herkimer County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 31 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.