- Lead
- 188,090
- Total
- 413,036
- vs nation
- R+44.1
Pennsylvania 13th Congressional District
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 180,926
- Total
- 400,204
- vs nation
- R+49.7
- Lead
- 160,229
- Total
- 349,730
- vs nation
- R+47.9
- Lead
- 108,790
- Total
- 317,976
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Lead
- 78,792
- Total
- 332,164
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Lead
- 102,748
- Total
- 325,284
- vs nation
- R+29.1
- Lead
- 71,062
- Total
- 276,272
- vs nation
- R+26.2
- Lead
- 26,881
- Total
- 255,429
- vs nation
- R+19.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 764,8422024 5-year
- Population density
- 120 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6,363 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,2592024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 15, PA · twin score 97.8
presidential history
Party record book
Pennsylvania 13th Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
58.8%
151,974 votes · D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 54.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.4%
298,908 votes · R+45.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 72.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
151,974votes
58.8% of the vote · D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 137,330 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
298,908votes
72.4% of the vote · R+45.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 288,075 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1912
−2.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.4 · U.S. D+19.5 · a third-party candidate carried the Place · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · −3.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+49.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +47.9 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
On the ballot
Republican John Joyce holds the seat and is contesting it.
Primary held May 19, 2026. Akashic does not yet carry the nominees for this contest.
How the seat has run
| Year | U.S. House | President | Ran ahead |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R+48.4John Joyce | R+45.5 | +2.9 |
| 2022 | R+100.0John Joyce | — | — |
| 2020 | R+47.0John Joyce | R+45.2 | — |
| 2018 | R+41.0John Joyce | — | — |
“Ran ahead” is how far the winning party’s House candidate ran ahead of that party’s presidential margin in the same district. A dash means the House race and the presidential figure were measured on different district lines, so the two cannot be subtracted — both are still shown unchanged.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Anchored in rural north-central Pennsylvania, this district delivered a 45.5-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it among the most one-sided congressional districts in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 45.8 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 45.5 points.
A population of 764,842, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,259 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 15 and Congressional District 4.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Pennsylvania 13th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4213/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.