HarrisDemocratic24.4%7,369TrumpRepublican74.9%22,658OliverLibertarian0.4%135
R+50.6- Lead
- 15,289
- Total
- 30,243
- vs nation
- R+49.1
- Turnout
- 59.1%
Akashiccounty
Harrison County, TX
Contests in this Place (84 available)
President30 · 1908–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1908–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.1% of 51,229 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.6%7,908TrumpRepublican72.2%21,466JorgensenLibertarian1.0%294
R+45.6- Lead
- 13,558
- Total
- 29,717
- vs nation
- R+50.1
- Turnout
- 62.1%
ClintonDemocratic26.9%7,151TrumpRepublican70.6%18,749JohnsonLibertarian1.7%449
R+43.7- Lead
- 11,598
- Total
- 26,548
- vs nation
- R+45.8
- Turnout
- 57.5%
ObamaDemocratic32.3%8,456RomneyRepublican66.9%17,512GrayLibertarian0.6%158
R+34.6- Lead
- 9,056
- Total
- 26,170
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic34.0%8,887McCainRepublican65.4%17,103OtherAll other candidates0.6%168
R+31.4- Lead
- 8,216
- Total
- 26,158
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.8%9,642BushRepublican62.8%16,473OtherAll other candidates0.4%108
R+26.0- Lead
- 6,831
- Total
- 26,223
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.7%8,878BushRepublican60.2%13,834NaderGreen0.7%164
R+21.6- Lead
- 4,956
- Total
- 22,970
- vs nation
- R+22.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.6%10,307DoleRepublican45.4%9,835PerotReform6.6%1,427
D+2.2- Lead
- 472
- Total
- 21,655
- vs nation
- R+6.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 70,1552024 5-year
- Population density
- 78 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 900 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,1032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 20.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Tipton County, TN · twin score 83.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 59.1%30,258 participants ÷ 51,229 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 39.6%–45.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30,258 | 51,229 ± 430 | 59.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 21,450 | 50,275 ± 425 | 42.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 29,744 | 47,899 ± 429 | 62.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 22,952 | 47,099 ± 396 | 48.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 26,991 | 46,930 ± 407 | 57.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 26,170 | 46,449 | 56.3% | Derived | — | |
| 26,158 | 45,273 | 57.8% | Derived | — | |
| 26,223 | 44,097 extrapolated | 59.5% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Harrison County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Harrison County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ANDREW WHITE0—
ANGELA "TIAANGIE" VILLESCAZ0—
BOBBY COLE0—
CARLTON W. HART0—
CHRIS BELL0—
GINA HINOJOSA0—
Show all 9 candidates
JOSE NAVARRO BALBUENA0—
PATRICIA ABREGO0—
ZACH VANCE0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 26 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 30,243 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 384 | 1,922 | 23 | 2,329 | 16.5% | 82.5% | R+66.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 369 | 1,909 | 24 | 2,302 | 16.0% | 82.9% | R+66.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 237 | 1,735 | 11 | 1,983 | 12.0% | 87.5% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 310 | 1,633 | 10 | 1,953 | 15.9% | 83.6% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 233 | 1,596 | 14 | 1,843 | 12.6% | 86.6% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 492 | 1,233 | 17 | 1,742 | 28.2% | 70.8% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 361 | 1,272 | 9 | 1,642 | 22.0% | 77.5% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 483 | 945 | 19 | 1,447 | 33.4% | 65.3% | R+31.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 273 | 1,042 | 6 | 1,321 | 20.7% | 78.9% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 235 | 928 | 6 | 1,169 | 20.1% | 79.4% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 189 | 959 | 7 | 1,155 | 16.4% | 83.0% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 440 | 619 | 4 | 1,063 | 41.4% | 58.2% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 201 | 790 | 7 | 998 | 20.1% | 79.2% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 826 | 145 | 10 | 981 | 84.2% | 14.8% | D+69.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 557 | 383 | 10 | 950 | 58.6% | 40.3% | D+18.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 507 | 402 | 5 | 914 | 55.5% | 44.0% | D+11.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 72 | 805 | 3 | 880 | 8.2% | 91.5% | R+83.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 136 | 694 | 0 | 830 | 16.4% | 83.6% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 156 | 587 | 6 | 749 | 20.8% | 78.4% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 253 | 434 | 7 | 694 | 36.5% | 62.5% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 126 | 553 | 1 | 680 | 18.5% | 81.3% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 152 | 520 | 6 | 678 | 22.4% | 76.7% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 160 | 409 | 4 | 573 | 27.9% | 71.4% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 59 | 476 | 3 | 538 | 11.0% | 88.5% | R+77.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 35 | 437 | 2 | 474 | 7.4% | 92.2% | R+84.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 123 | 230 | 2 | 355 | 34.6% | 64.8% | R+30.1 |
presidential history
Party record book
Harrison County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
91.7%
3,400 votes · D+83.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 88.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
74.9%
22,658 votes · R+50.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 72.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
10,307votes
47.6% of the vote · D+2.2
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 9,642 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
22,658votes
74.9% of the vote · R+50.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,466 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+89.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+64.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +81.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+50.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+45.6 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +49.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBryan HughesState Senate · 1
RJay DeanState House · 7
Seats representing Harrison County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 44,769 |
| 2018 | 42,585 |
| 2020 | 45,933 |
| 2022 | 45,789 |
| 2024 | 47,283 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+563 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,730 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,163 in average income, against $75,571 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.0 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Harrison County, TX itself (R+50.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Gregg County, TX544R+42.2
- Upshur County, TX83R+71.0
- Dallas County, TX81D+22.2
- Caddo Parish, LA74D+4.6
- Smith County, TX73R+45.1
- Rusk County, TX63R+59.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Gregg County, TX555
- Smith County, TX91
- Marion County, TX87
- Upshur County, TX87
- Dallas County, TX69
- Caddo Parish, LA68
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +295 |
| 2012 | −465 |
| 2013 | −221 |
| 2014 | +10 |
| 2015 | −138 |
| 2016 | −304 |
| 2017 | −351 |
| 2018 | +24 |
| 2019 | −93 |
| 2021 | +803 |
| 2022 | +526 |
| 2023 | +869 |
| 2024 | +212 |
| 2025 | +563 |
Harrison County sits in the Piney Woods of East Texas, where Republican presidential margins have exceeded 50 points in recent cycles. Marshall, the county seat, carries a legacy as a 19th-century railroad hub that still shapes its small-city economy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 50.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.6 points.
A population of 70,155, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,103 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tipton County and McCurtain County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Tipton County
Tennessee
83.9twin score
elasticity2008–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
McCurtain County
Oklahoma
83.4twin score
elasticity% White% Catholic
Shelby County
Texas
83.0twin score
elasticity% White2008 margin≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harrison County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48203/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Harrison County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Harrison County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harrison County, Texas voted Republican by 50.6 points (R+50.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 30,243 votes cast, 7,369 went Democratic and 22,658 went Republican.
When did Harrison County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrison County, Texas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Harrison County, Texas?
Harrison County, Texas has a population of 70,155 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrison County, Texas?
Median household income in Harrison County, Texas is $66,103 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Harrison County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Harrison County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.