Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHartley CountyTexasUnited States
English15.4%7.9%9.5%
German12.5%8.3%12.5%
Irish8.6%6.0%9.4%
American4.7%4.6%5.3%
Dutch2.5%——
Welsh2.1%——
Ukrainian1.1%——
French0.8%1.5%1.6%
Mexican27.0%32.1%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.8%1.8%
Guatemalan0.2%0.4%0.5%
Salvadoran0.2%1.2%0.7%
Spaniard0.2%0.3%—
African American†4.9%10.3%9.9%
Jamaican0.7%—0.4%
African0.4%0.6%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Hartley County
Texas
United States
Median age
38.7
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
1.8%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.0%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Hartley County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$75,841
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.4%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
20.7%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Hartley County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
21.8%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
18.8%
28.2%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
2.3%
0.3%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Hartley County
Texas
United States
Catholic
5.6%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
32.8%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
61.2%
45.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Hartley County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 2,016 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Hartley County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 301Precinct 301
54
469
5
528
10.2%
88.8%
R+78.6
Precinct -Precinct 401Precinct 401
42
440
3
485
8.7%
90.7%
R+82.1
Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202
27
323
1
351
7.7%
92.0%
R+84.3
Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102
15
240
0
255
5.9%
94.1%
R+88.2
Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101
14
214
1
229
6.1%
93.4%
R+87.3
Precinct -Precinct 201Precinct 201
11
157
0
168
6.5%
93.5%
R+86.9
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1904
+72.4%
1908
+65.9%
1912
+61.0%
1916
+67.9%
1920
+26.9%
1924
+39.1%
1928
−4.7%
1932
+77.6%
1936
+86.7%
1940
+66.4%
1944
+88.1%
1948
+69.5%
1952
−7.6%
1956
+11.8%
1960
−2.0%
1964
+12.8%
1968
−25.7%
1972
−62.7%
1976
−2.3%
1980
−44.3%
1984
−59.5%
1988
−41.4%
1992
−37.6%
1996
−43.1%
2000
−63.3%
2004
−69.0%
2008
−73.6%
2012
−79.7%
2016
−79.8%
2020
−80.5%
2024
−83.3%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
8.1%Harris163
91.4%Trump1,843
0.4%Oliver8 +1
R+83.3
R+2.8
R+81.9
2,016
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican91.4%1,843
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic8.1%163
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%8
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%2
R
9.4%Biden195
89.9%Trump1,868
0.7%Jorgensen14
R+80.5
R+0.7
R+85.0
2,078
R
8.9%Clinton173
88.6%Trump1,730
2.2%Johnson43
R+79.8
R+0.1
R+81.9
1,952
R
9.6%Obama184
89.3%Romney1,708
1.0%Gray20
R+79.7
R+6.1
R+83.5
1,913
R
12.6%Obama250
86.2%McCain1,711
1.2%
R+73.6
R+4.6
R+80.9
1,985
R
15.3%Kerry315
84.3%Bush1,736
0.4%
R+69.0
R+5.7
R+66.6
2,059
R
17.7%Gore359
81.0%Bush1,645
0.8%Nader16
R+63.3
R+20.3
R+63.8
2,031
R
25.6%Clinton463
68.7%Dole1,242
5.6%Perot101
R+43.1
R+5.5
R+51.6
1,809
R
22.6%Clinton406
60.2%Bush1,081
17.1%Perot308
R+37.6
D+3.9
R+43.1
1,797
R
28.9%Dukakis505
70.3%Bush1,229
0.7%
R+41.4
D+18.1
R+33.7
1,747
R
19.9%Mondale356
79.5%Reagan1,419
0.6%
R+59.5
R+15.2
R+41.3
1,786
R
26.8%Carter470
71.0%Reagan1,248
2.2%
R+44.3
R+42.0
R+34.5
1,757
R
48.5%Carter774
50.8%Ford811
0.8%
R+2.3
D+60.4
R+4.4
1,597
R
17.5%McGovern206
80.2%Nixon946
2.4%
R+62.7
R+37.0
R+39.6
1,180
R
25.8%Humphrey299
51.5%Nixon597
22.8%
R+25.7
R+38.5
R+25.0
1,160
D
56.3%Johnson565
43.6%Goldwater437
0.1%
D+12.8
D+14.7
R+9.8
1,003
R
48.7%Kennedy397
50.7%Nixon413
0.6%
R+2.0
R+13.8
R+2.1
815
D
55.8%Stevenson448
44.0%Eisenhower353
0.2%
D+11.8
D+19.4
D+27.2
803
R
46.0%Stevenson402
53.5%Eisenhower468
0.5%
R+7.6
R+77.0
D+3.2
874
D
84.1%Truman477
14.6%Dewey83
1.2%
D+69.5
R+18.6
D+65.0
567
D
93.1%Roosevelt484
5.0%Dewey26
1.9%
D+88.1
D+21.7
D+80.6
520
D
83.2%Roosevelt545
16.8%Willkie110
0.0%
D+66.4
R+20.3
D+56.5
655
D
93.3%Roosevelt560
6.7%Landon40
0.0%
D+86.7
D+9.1
D+62.4
600
D
88.8%Roosevelt586
11.2%Hoover74
0.0%
D+77.6
D+82.3
D+59.8
660
R
47.7%Smith163
52.3%Hoover179
0.0%
R+4.7
R+43.8
D+12.8
342
D
64.2%Davis156
25.1%Coolidge61
10.7%La Follette26
D+39.1
D+12.2
D+64.3
243
D
61.5%Cox144
34.6%Harding81
3.8%
D+26.9
R+41.0
D+53.1
234
D
83.4%Wilson161
15.5%Hughes30
1.0%
D+67.9
D+6.9
D+64.7
193
D
70.7%Wilson116
9.8%Taft16
19.5%
D+61.0
R+5.0
D+41.4
164
D
82.4%Bryan150
16.5%Taft30
1.1%
D+65.9
R+6.5
D+75.5
182
D
83.2%Parker178
10.7%Roosevelt23
6.1%
D+72.4
—
D+92.1
214
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
8.6%172
90.6%1,817
2,005
2020
R
8.5%176
89.7%1,859
2,072
2018
R
9.4%151
90.3%1,451
1,606
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Hartley County, TX
Year
Total registered
2016
2,699
2018
2,652
2020
2,909
2022
2,682
2024
2,846
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−88 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,415 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,474 in average income, against $106,001 for residents who stayed — 47% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+78.3 on average — 5.0 points more Democratic-leaning than Hartley County, TX itself (R+83.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Dallam County, TX67R+78.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Dallam County, TX56
Moore County, TX27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Hartley County, TX in Hartley County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−70
2012
+26
2013
−133
2014
+14
2015
−405
2016
+14
2017
−53
2018
−153
2019
−85
2021
+33
2022
−212
2023
−120
2024
−183
2025
−88
Hartley County, anchored by the Texas Panhandle's cattle and feedlot economy, recorded an R+83.3 margin in 2024 — placing it among the most skewed presidential results of any county in the country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.1 points in 1944 and a Republican high of 83.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 83.3 points.
A population of 5,215, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,841 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stevens County and Oldham County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Hartley County, Texas voted Republican by 83.3 points (R+83.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,016 votes cast, 163 went Democratic and 1,843 went Republican.
When did Hartley County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hartley County, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Hartley County, Texas?
Hartley County, Texas has a population of 5,215 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hartley County, Texas?
Median household income in Hartley County, Texas is $75,841 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Hartley County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hartley County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.
