Wharton County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 16,471 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 201Precinct 201 | 242 | 1,906 | 9 | 2,157 | 11.2% | 88.4% | R+77.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 503 | 1,483 | 20 | 2,006 | 25.1% | 73.9% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 203Precinct 203 | 825 | 963 | 20 | 1,808 | 45.6% | 53.3% | R+7.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 301Precinct 301 | 230 | 1,552 | 9 | 1,791 | 12.8% | 86.7% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 103Precinct 103 | 370 | 1,206 | 16 | 1,592 | 23.2% | 75.8% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 303Precinct 303 | 145 | 1,368 | 9 | 1,522 | 9.5% | 89.9% | R+80.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 302Precinct 302 | 285 | 1,156 | 13 | 1,454 | 19.6% | 79.5% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 401Precinct 401 | 456 | 948 | 5 | 1,409 | 32.4% | 67.3% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 402Precinct 402 | 185 | 784 | 8 | 977 | 18.9% | 80.2% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 226 | 576 | 6 | 808 | 28.0% | 71.3% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202 | 307 | 220 | 4 | 531 | 57.8% | 41.4% | D+16.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 403Precinct 403 | 136 | 277 | 3 | 416 | 32.7% | 66.6% | R+33.9 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +12.6% |
| 1908 | +24.8% |
| 1912 | +55.2% |
| 1916 | +42.6% |
| 1920 | −0.7% |
| 1924 | +38.9% |
| 1928 | +14.6% |
| 1932 | +77.8% |
| 1936 | +81.3% |
| 1940 | +67.8% |
| 1944 | +64.0% |
| 1948 | +31.1% |
| 1952 | −13.1% |
| 1956 | −15.5% |
| 1960 | +19.1% |
| 1964 | +38.3% |
| 1968 | +5.3% |
| 1972 | −28.6% |
| 1976 | +11.6% |
| 1980 | −12.2% |
| 1984 | −25.2% |
| 1988 | −8.0% |
| 1992 | −6.7% |
| 1996 | −8.1% |
| 2000 | −26.9% |
| 2004 | −32.7% |
| 2008 | −31.2% |
| 2012 | −39.1% |
| 2016 | −40.1% |
| 2020 | −43.1% |
| 2024 | −51.8% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,176 |
| 2018 | 25,095 |
| 2020 | 25,697 |
| 2022 | 25,890 |
| 2024 | 26,422 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−55 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −816 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,246 in average income, against $71,162 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.1 on average — 45 points more Democratic-leaning than Wharton County, TX itself (R+51.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fort Bend County, TX254D+1.6
- Harris County, TX148D+5.5
- Matagorda County, TX50R+50.5
- Colorado County, TX32R+57.2
- Brazoria County, TX25R+19.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fort Bend County, TX207
- Harris County, TX134
- Matagorda County, TX74
- Brazoria County, TX43
- Colorado County, TX31
- Victoria County, TX25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −180 |
| 2012 | −297 |
| 2013 | −106 |
| 2014 | −199 |
| 2015 | +172 |
| 2016 | +49 |
| 2017 | +103 |
| 2018 | −441 |
| 2019 | −70 |
| 2021 | +112 |
| 2022 | +107 |
| 2023 | −53 |
| 2024 | +42 |
| 2025 | −55 |
Wharton County's flat coastal-plain landscape anchors a cattle and rice economy that has trended heavily toward Republican presidential candidates for decades, with the 2024 margin of R+51.8 reflecting consistent double-digit registration advantages.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 51.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.8 points.
A population of 41,794, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,924 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Castro County and Gonzales County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wharton County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48481/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.