Waller County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 27,561 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 420Precinct 420 | 1,269 | 2,339 | 59 | 3,667 | 34.6% | 63.8% | R+29.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 207Precinct 207 | 358 | 2,352 | 17 | 2,727 | 13.1% | 86.2% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 314Precinct 314 | 1,134 | 1,366 | 34 | 2,534 | 44.8% | 53.9% | R+9.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 418Precinct 418 | 690 | 1,739 | 32 | 2,461 | 28.0% | 70.7% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 209Precinct 209 | 372 | 1,958 | 21 | 2,351 | 15.8% | 83.3% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 311Precinct 311 | 2,223 | 67 | 15 | 2,305 | 96.4% | 2.9% | D+93.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 781 | 1,074 | 21 | 1,876 | 41.6% | 57.2% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 347 | 1,014 | 9 | 1,370 | 25.3% | 74.0% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 419Precinct 419 | 752 | 576 | 17 | 1,345 | 55.9% | 42.8% | D+13.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 313Precinct 313 | 207 | 1,072 | 18 | 1,297 | 16.0% | 82.7% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 208Precinct 208 | 347 | 854 | 11 | 1,212 | 28.6% | 70.5% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 312Precinct 312 | 873 | 221 | 16 | 1,110 | 78.6% | 19.9% | D+58.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 106Precinct 106 | 283 | 672 | 10 | 965 | 29.3% | 69.6% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 105Precinct 105 | 128 | 682 | 4 | 814 | 15.7% | 83.8% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 104Precinct 104 | 151 | 308 | 4 | 463 | 32.6% | 66.5% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 210Precinct 210 | 82 | 275 | 2 | 359 | 22.8% | 76.6% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 416Precinct 416 | 73 | 225 | 5 | 303 | 24.1% | 74.3% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 103Precinct 103 | 81 | 145 | 5 | 231 | 35.1% | 62.8% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 315Precinct 315 | 32 | 138 | 1 | 171 | 18.7% | 80.7% | R+62.0 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +17.7% |
| 1908 | +32.8% |
| 1912 | +52.4% |
| 1916 | +55.0% |
| 1920 | +40.6% |
| 1924 | +70.9% |
| 1928 | +14.5% |
| 1932 | +86.0% |
| 1936 | +77.6% |
| 1940 | +56.0% |
| 1944 | +56.9% |
| 1948 | +22.3% |
| 1952 | −8.1% |
| 1956 | −20.7% |
| 1960 | −0.6% |
| 1964 | +37.7% |
| 1968 | +21.1% |
| 1972 | −18.9% |
| 1976 | +17.2% |
| 1980 | +4.8% |
| 1984 | −3.6% |
| 1988 | +4.6% |
| 1992 | +13.3% |
| 1996 | +11.3% |
| 2000 | −5.9% |
| 2004 | −11.1% |
| 2008 | −7.2% |
| 2012 | −17.2% |
| 2016 | −28.5% |
| 2020 | −26.7% |
| 2024 | −25.0% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 31,491 |
| 2018 | 32,834 |
| 2020 | 35,116 |
| 2022 | 37,595 |
| 2024 | 44,330 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2,997 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +17,567 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $82,134 in average income, against $93,581 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.3 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Waller County, TX itself (R+25.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Harris County, TX1,090D+5.5
- Fort Bend County, TX232D+1.6
- Montgomery County, TX109R+45.5
- Austin County, TX66R+62.7
- Grimes County, TX52R+60.2
- Brazos County, TX37R+24.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Harris County, TX838
- Fort Bend County, TX242
- Montgomery County, TX152
- Austin County, TX79
- Grimes County, TX57
- Brazos County, TX38
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +283 |
| 2012 | −71 |
| 2013 | +761 |
| 2014 | +974 |
| 2015 | +1,406 |
| 2016 | +1,024 |
| 2017 | +1,280 |
| 2018 | +1,435 |
| 2019 | +1,359 |
| 2021 | +2,043 |
| 2022 | +1,976 |
| 2023 | +1,428 |
| 2024 | +672 |
| 2025 | +2,997 |
Waller County sits on Houston's northwestern fringe, where rapid residential development has not yet shifted its presidential margins, which held at R+25 in 2024 despite population growth exceeding many neighboring counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 28.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.0 points.
A population of 61,552, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,397 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bastrop County and Yuma County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Waller County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48473/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.