Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWheeler CountyTexasUnited States
English13.0%7.9%9.5%
Irish8.6%6.0%9.4%
German8.2%8.3%12.5%
American5.8%4.6%5.3%
Dutch3.1%——
Scottish2.9%1.3%1.3%
French Canadian1.2%——
Scotch-Irish1.1%——
Mexican21.5%32.1%11.3%
Cuban1.6%0.5%0.7%
Salvadoran0.9%1.2%0.7%
Peruvian0.5%——
Spanish0.3%——
African American†1.4%10.3%9.9%
Filipino0.5%0.5%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Wheeler County
Texas
United States
Median age
41.3
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
5.8%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.6%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Wheeler County
Texas
United States
Median household income
$60,167
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.4%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
17.0%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Wheeler County
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
19.6%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
18.8%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Wheeler County
Texas
United States
Catholic
1.2%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
21.7%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
63.6%
45.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
12.0%
4.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Wheeler County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
4 precincts · 2,274 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Wheeler County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101
25
588
1
614
4.1%
95.8%
R+91.7
Precinct -Precinct 301Precinct 301
55
532
3
590
9.3%
90.2%
R+80.8
Precinct -Precinct 401Precinct 401
50
523
3
576
8.7%
90.8%
R+82.1
Precinct -Precinct 201Precinct 201
39
450
5
494
7.9%
91.1%
R+83.2
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1904
+84.4%
1908
+71.2%
1912
+66.1%
1916
+71.1%
1920
+42.3%
1924
+61.8%
1928
−16.1%
1932
+85.8%
1936
+79.1%
1940
+66.7%
1944
+51.9%
1948
+66.7%
1952
−2.9%
1956
+3.0%
1960
−17.1%
1964
+11.7%
1968
−14.2%
1972
−55.7%
1976
+11.3%
1980
−19.5%
1984
−47.2%
1988
−22.9%
1992
−18.8%
1996
−26.4%
2000
−50.6%
2004
−64.3%
2008
−71.4%
2012
−77.3%
2016
−82.1%
2020
−85.2%
2024
−84.6%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
7.4%Harris169
92.0%Trump2,093
0.4%Oliver8 +2
R+84.6
D+0.6
R+83.1
2,274
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican92.0%2,093
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic7.4%169
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%8
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%2
OtherAll other candidates0.1%2
R
7.2%Biden168
92.4%Trump2,159
0.3%Jorgensen7
R+85.2
R+3.1
R+89.6
2,337
R
8.4%Clinton194
90.5%Trump2,087
0.9%Johnson21
R+82.1
R+4.7
R+84.2
2,306
R
10.9%Obama232
88.3%Romney1,878
0.8%Gray16
R+77.3
R+5.9
R+81.2
2,128
R
14.0%Obama314
85.4%McCain1,918
0.6%
R+71.4
R+7.1
R+78.7
2,245
R
17.5%Kerry420
81.9%Bush1,960
0.6%
R+64.3
R+13.8
R+61.9
2,394
R
24.2%Gore579
74.8%Bush1,787
0.6%Nader15
R+50.6
R+24.1
R+51.1
2,389
R
32.8%Clinton750
59.2%Dole1,355
7.6%Perot174
R+26.4
R+7.6
R+35.0
2,289
R
33.9%Clinton938
52.7%Bush1,458
13.3%Perot367
R+18.8
D+4.1
R+24.4
2,767
R
38.4%Dukakis1,067
61.3%Bush1,703
0.3%
R+22.9
D+24.3
R+15.2
2,777
R
26.3%Mondale805
73.5%Reagan2,251
0.2%
R+47.2
R+27.7
R+29.0
3,062
R
39.7%Carter1,090
59.3%Reagan1,626
1.0%
R+19.5
R+30.8
R+9.8
2,743
D
55.3%Carter1,598
44.1%Ford1,273
0.6%
D+11.3
D+67.0
D+9.2
2,888
R
22.1%McGovern502
77.9%Nixon1,766
0.0%
R+55.7
R+41.5
R+32.6
2,268
R
31.7%Humphrey812
46.0%Nixon1,176
22.3%
R+14.2
R+25.9
R+13.5
2,558
D
55.8%Johnson1,440
44.1%Goldwater1,138
0.1%
D+11.7
D+28.8
R+10.9
2,580
R
41.4%Kennedy1,011
58.4%Nixon1,428
0.2%
R+17.1
R+20.1
R+17.2
2,444
D
51.2%Stevenson1,252
48.2%Eisenhower1,178
0.5%
D+3.0
D+6.0
D+18.4
2,443
R
48.4%Stevenson1,551
51.4%Eisenhower1,645
0.2%
R+2.9
R+69.6
D+7.8
3,202
D
81.7%Truman2,010
15.0%Dewey370
3.3%
D+66.7
D+14.7
D+62.2
2,460
D
71.5%Roosevelt1,869
19.5%Dewey511
9.0%
D+51.9
R+14.7
D+44.4
2,615
D
83.2%Roosevelt2,600
16.5%Willkie517
0.2%
D+66.7
R+12.4
D+56.7
3,124
D
89.3%Roosevelt2,415
10.2%Landon277
0.4%
D+79.1
R+6.7
D+54.8
2,704
D
92.6%Roosevelt2,263
6.7%Hoover165
0.7%
D+85.8
D+101.9
D+68.0
2,445
R
41.8%Smith750
57.9%Hoover1,038
0.3%
R+16.1
R+77.8
D+1.4
1,794
D
78.9%Davis908
17.1%Coolidge197
4.0%La Follette46
D+61.8
D+19.5
D+87.0
1,151
D
68.6%Cox516
26.3%Harding198
5.1%
D+42.3
R+28.9
D+68.5
752
D
79.1%Wilson554
8.0%Hughes56
12.9%
D+71.1
D+5.0
D+68.0
700
D
72.4%Wilson402
6.3%Taft35
21.3%
D+66.1
R+5.1
D+46.6
555
D
83.1%Bryan384
11.9%Taft55
5.0%
D+71.2
R+13.2
D+80.8
462
D
88.9%Parker200
4.4%Roosevelt10
6.7%
D+84.4
—
D+104.1
225
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
8.5%192
89.9%2,025
2,253
2020
R
7.2%165
91.1%2,079
2,281
2018
R
6.9%125
92.8%1,679
1,810
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Wheeler County, TX
Year
Total registered
2018
3,415
2020
3,514
2022
3,344
2024
3,408
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−61 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −575 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,536 in average income, against $67,311 for residents who stayed — 7% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Wheeler County, TX in Wheeler County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+35
2012
+135
2013
+113
2014
−46
2015
−41
2016
−163
2017
−222
2018
−138
2019
−93
2021
−38
2022
−81
2023
+30
2024
−5
2025
−61
Wheeler County's 2024 presidential margin of R+84.6 places it among the most one-sided counties in Texas, reflecting the heavily Republican alignment common to the sparsely populated ranching communities of the High Plains.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 85.2 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 84.6 points.
A population of 4,862, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,167 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jack County and Hartley County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Wheeler County, Texas voted Republican by 84.6 points (R+84.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,274 votes cast, 169 went Democratic and 2,093 went Republican.
When did Wheeler County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wheeler County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Wheeler County, Texas?
Wheeler County, Texas has a population of 4,862 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wheeler County, Texas?
Median household income in Wheeler County, Texas is $60,167 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Wheeler County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wheeler County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.
