- Lead
- 1,787
- Total
- 8,832
- vs nation
- R+18.8
- Turnout
- 72.0%
Lafayette County, WI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.0% of 12,316 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,174
- Total
- 8,555
- vs nation
- R+18.2
- Turnout
- 69.6%
- Lead
- 689
- Total
- 7,662
- vs nation
- R+11.1
- Turnout
- 62.2%
- Lead
- 1,222
- Total
- 7,952
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,748
- Total
- 7,831
- vs nation
- D+15.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 473
- Total
- 8,388
- vs nation
- D+8.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 374
- Total
- 7,263
- vs nation
- D+4.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,089
- Total
- 6,460
- vs nation
- D+8.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,9422024 5-year
- Population density
- 27 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 634 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,4622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.3 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Floyd County, IA · twin score 93.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 72.0%8,863 participants ÷ 12,316 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 55.8%–59.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8,863 | 12,316 ± 79 | 72.0% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 6,631 | 12,412 ± 72 | 53.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 8,582 | 12,333 ± 91 | 69.6% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 6,589 | 12,338 ± 89 | 53.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 7,711 | 12,388 ± 70 | 62.2% | Audited | C/A | |
| 7,952 | 12,263 | 64.8% | Derived | — | |
| 7,831 | 11,876 | 65.9% | Derived | — | |
| 8,388 | 11,489 extrapolated | 73.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 5.9%; series 312/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 6.1%; series 307/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 5.8%; series 302/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 6.0%; series 298/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 5.4%; series 294/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 28 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 8,832 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF DARLINGTON WARDS 1-6CITY OF DARLINGTON WARDS 1-6 | 537 | 487 | 17 | 1,041 | 51.6% | 46.8% | D+4.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF SHULLSBURG WARDS 1-3CITY OF SHULLSBURG WARDS 1-3 | 303 | 321 | 6 | 630 | 48.1% | 51.0% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BELMONT WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF BELMONT WARDS 1-2 | 223 | 299 | 6 | 528 | 42.2% | 56.6% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DARLINGTON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF DARLINGTON WARDS 1-3 | 175 | 345 | 6 | 526 | 33.3% | 65.6% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BENTON WARD 1VILLAGE OF BENTON WARD 1 | 240 | 264 | 2 | 506 | 47.4% | 52.2% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WIOTA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WIOTA WARDS 1-2 | 183 | 290 | 6 | 479 | 38.2% | 60.5% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WILLOW SPRINGS WARD 1TOWN OF WILLOW SPRINGS WARD 1 | 145 | 317 | 7 | 469 | 30.9% | 67.6% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ARGYLE WARD 1VILLAGE OF ARGYLE WARD 1 | 193 | 226 | 4 | 423 | 45.6% | 53.4% | R+7.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BLANCHARDVILLE WARD 1VILLAGE OF BLANCHARDVILLE WARD 1 | 200 | 163 | 7 | 370 | 54.1% | 44.1% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BELMONT WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BELMONT WARDS 1-2 | 145 | 208 | 1 | 354 | 41.0% | 58.8% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BENTON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BENTON WARDS 1-2 | 79 | 228 | 4 | 311 | 25.4% | 73.3% | R+47.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GRATIOT WARD 1TOWN OF GRATIOT WARD 1 | 91 | 218 | 1 | 310 | 29.4% | 70.3% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ARGYLE WARDS 1-3TOWN OF ARGYLE WARDS 1-3 | 130 | 172 | 4 | 306 | 42.5% | 56.2% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEW DIGGINGS WARD 1TOWN OF NEW DIGGINGS WARD 1 | 90 | 193 | 6 | 289 | 31.1% | 66.8% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WAYNE WARD 1TOWN OF WAYNE WARD 1 | 59 | 199 | 3 | 261 | 22.6% | 76.2% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ELK GROVE WARDS 1-3TOWN OF ELK GROVE WARDS 1-3 | 69 | 158 | 4 | 231 | 29.9% | 68.4% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF SOUTH WAYNE WARD 1VILLAGE OF SOUTH WAYNE WARD 1 | 57 | 150 | 2 | 209 | 27.3% | 71.8% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FAYETTE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF FAYETTE WARDS 1-2 | 62 | 143 | 2 | 207 | 30.0% | 69.1% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BLANCHARD WARD 1TOWN OF BLANCHARD WARD 1 | 97 | 104 | 2 | 203 | 47.8% | 51.2% | R+3.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF KENDALL WARD 1TOWN OF KENDALL WARD 1 | 62 | 129 | 1 | 192 | 32.3% | 67.2% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LAMONT WARDS 1-2TOWN OF LAMONT WARDS 1-2 | 70 | 108 | 4 | 182 | 38.5% | 59.3% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SHULLSBURG WARD 1TOWN OF SHULLSBURG WARD 1 | 58 | 120 | 4 | 182 | 31.9% | 65.9% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SEYMOUR WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SEYMOUR WARDS 1-2 | 44 | 135 | 1 | 180 | 24.4% | 75.0% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF CUBA CITY WARD 5CITY OF CUBA CITY WARD 5 | 78 | 89 | 0 | 167 | 46.7% | 53.3% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF GRATIOT WARD 1VILLAGE OF GRATIOT WARD 1 | 39 | 86 | 3 | 128 | 30.5% | 67.2% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MONTICELLO WARD 1TOWN OF MONTICELLO WARD 1 | 14 | 59 | 3 | 76 | 18.4% | 77.6% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WHITE OAK SPRINGS WARD 1TOWN OF WHITE OAK SPRINGS WARD 1 | 20 | 40 | 0 | 60 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF HAZEL GREEN WARD 3VILLAGE OF HAZEL GREEN WARD 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 50.0% | 41.7% | D+8.3 |
presidential history
Party record book
Lafayette County, WI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
60.4%
4,732 votes · D+22.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 59.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
76.1%
4,893 votes · R+55.0
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 66.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
4,976votes
53.8% of the vote · D+12.7
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 4,886 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
5,731votes
66.2% of the vote · R+32.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 5,256 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+15.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+22.3 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +11.5 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+28.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.0 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · +21.9 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Lafayette County, WI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.2%3,619 | 57.8%4,962 | 8,581 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−44 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −847 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,802 in average income, against $68,784 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.3 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Lafayette County, WI itself (R+20.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grant County, WI108R+18.1
- Green County, WI55D+0.3
- Iowa County, WI40D+7.6
- Dane County, WI38D+51.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grant County, WI88
- Green County, WI65
- Dane County, WI44
- Iowa County, WI36
- Dubuque County, IA21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −20 |
| 2012 | −137 |
| 2013 | −207 |
| 2014 | +23 |
| 2015 | −93 |
| 2016 | −104 |
| 2017 | −141 |
| 2018 | −78 |
| 2019 | −67 |
| 2021 | +105 |
| 2022 | −21 |
| 2023 | −76 |
| 2024 | +13 |
| 2025 | −44 |
Lafayette County's economy revolves around livestock farming and small agricultural towns, and its electorate has shifted steadily rightward over the past two decades, delivering a 20-point Republican margin in 2024 after splitting more closely in earlier elections.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.3 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 55.0 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.2 points.
A population of 16,942, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,462 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Floyd County and Buchanan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lafayette County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.