state senate districtArkansas 10th State Senate District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+1.1
2008R+18.5
2012R+20.8
2016R+29.8
2020R+39.8
2024R+44.7
net swing · 2004→2024R+43.6R+1.1 → R+44.7
vs. U.S. · 2024R+43.2R+44.7 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 48.0% of 65,205 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
8,382
22,377
571
31,330
65,205
48.0%
2020
9,472
22,632
966
33,070
67,485†
49.0%
2016
10,809
20,625
1,487
32,921
69,621†
47.3%
2012
12,781
19,718
820
33,319
70,575†
47.2%
2008
14,137
20,866
1,418
36,421
69,417†
52.5%
2004
18,222
18,633
392
37,247
68,259†
54.6%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAR SD 10ArkansasUnited States
English11.0%12.3%9.5%
American10.9%7.5%5.3%
Irish8.9%8.9%9.4%
German8.0%9.2%12.5%
Scottish1.2%1.8%1.3%
Italian0.9%1.4%4.8%
French0.8%1.3%1.6%
Dutch0.6%——
African American†21.4%13.5%9.9%
African0.8%0.9%0.5%
Mexican1.7%6.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%
Salvadoran0.2%0.9%0.7%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
AR SD 10
Arkansas
United States
Median age
41.7
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
7.8%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.9%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
AR SD 10
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$49,473
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
19.0%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
16.4%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
AR SD 10
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
3.0%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
1.8%
6.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
AR SD 10
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
—
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
42.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arkansas 10th State Senate District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−1.1%
2008
−18.5%
2012
−20.8%
2016
−29.8%
2020
−39.8%
2024
−44.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
26.8%Harris8,382
71.4%Trump22,377
1.8%
R+44.7
R+4.9
R+43.2
31,330
R
28.6%Biden9,472
68.4%Trump22,632
2.9%
R+39.8
R+10.0
R+44.2
33,070
R
32.8%Clinton10,809
62.6%Trump20,625
4.5%
R+29.8
R+9.0
R+31.9
32,921
R
38.4%Obama12,781
59.2%Romney19,718
2.5%
R+20.8
R+2.3
R+24.7
33,319
R
38.8%Obama14,137
57.3%McCain20,866
3.9%
R+18.5
R+17.4
R+25.7
36,421
R
48.9%Kerry18,222
50.0%Bush18,633
1.1%
R+1.1
—
D+1.4
37,247
current representation
Current officeholders
RRon CaldwellState Senate · 10
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With an R+9.6 presidential margin in 2024, this district sits closer to the center than most of Arkansas, reflecting a suburban mix of college-educated professionals and longtime residents navigating the state's broader rightward shift.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 44.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.7 points.
A population of 86,509, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,473 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 1 and State Senate District 41.
Akashic
Political twins — state-senate districts
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 10th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/05010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Arkansas 10th State Senate District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 10th State Senate District voted Republican by 44.7 points (R+44.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,330 votes cast, 8,382 went Democratic and 22,377 went Republican.
How many people live in Arkansas 10th State Senate District?
Arkansas 10th State Senate District has a population of 86,509 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 10th State Senate District?
Median household income in Arkansas 10th State Senate District is $49,473 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 10th State Senate District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arkansas 10th State Senate District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
