Prairie County, Arkansas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 3,200 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Hickory PlainsHickory Plains | 26 | 257 | 5 | 288 | 9.0% | 89.2% | R+80.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Wattensaw CountryWattensaw Country | 38 | 228 | 5 | 271 | 14.0% | 84.1% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -White River CountryWhite River Country | 44 | 221 | 2 | 267 | 16.5% | 82.8% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -White River Ward 2White River Ward 2 | 30 | 169 | 4 | 203 | 14.8% | 83.3% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -CenterCenter | 11 | 183 | 3 | 197 | 5.6% | 92.9% | R+87.3 |
| Precinct -White River Ward 3White River Ward 3 | 26 | 164 | 3 | 193 | 13.5% | 85.0% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct -Hazen Ward 1Hazen Ward 1 | 37 | 147 | 1 | 185 | 20.0% | 79.5% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -Hazen Ward 2Hazen Ward 2 | 35 | 143 | 4 | 182 | 19.2% | 78.6% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -White River Ward 1White River Ward 1 | 47 | 115 | 0 | 162 | 29.0% | 71.0% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -Hazen Ward 3Hazen Ward 3 | 40 | 104 | 5 | 149 | 26.8% | 69.8% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -Hazen CountryHazen Country | 26 | 111 | 2 | 139 | 18.7% | 79.9% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -Belcher / TylerBelcher / Tyler | 12 | 104 | 2 | 118 | 10.2% | 88.1% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -Lower Hill CityLower Hill City | 34 | 80 | 3 | 117 | 29.1% | 68.4% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -CalhounCalhoun | 9 | 98 | 1 | 108 | 8.3% | 90.7% | R+82.4 |
| Precinct -Des ArcDes Arc | 8 | 95 | 0 | 103 | 7.8% | 92.2% | R+84.5 |
| Precinct -Roc Roe CountryRoc Roe Country | 6 | 94 | 1 | 101 | 5.9% | 93.1% | R+87.1 |
| Precinct -Lower Hill CountryLower Hill Country | 17 | 72 | 0 | 89 | 19.1% | 80.9% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -BullardBullard | 12 | 49 | 0 | 61 | 19.7% | 80.3% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -Roc Roe CityRoc Roe City | 11 | 45 | 2 | 58 | 19.0% | 77.6% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -Wattensaw City Ward 2Wattensaw City Ward 2 | 24 | 31 | 0 | 55 | 43.6% | 56.4% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -UnionUnion | 2 | 44 | 2 | 48 | 4.2% | 91.7% | R+87.5 |
| Precinct -Wattensaw City Ward 1Wattensaw City Ward 1 | 13 | 32 | 2 | 47 | 27.7% | 68.1% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -Wattensaw City Ward 3Wattensaw City Ward 3 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 41 | 26.8% | 70.7% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -Upper HillUpper Hill | 5 | 13 | 0 | 18 | 27.8% | 72.2% | R+44.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +21.8% |
| 1896 | +28.7% |
| 1900 | +26.5% |
| 1904 | −0.7% |
| 1908 | +14.7% |
| 1912 | +22.8% |
| 1916 | +23.7% |
| 1920 | +6.5% |
| 1924 | +29.1% |
| 1928 | +23.9% |
| 1932 | +82.9% |
| 1936 | +64.7% |
| 1940 | +52.1% |
| 1944 | +41.1% |
| 1948 | +45.3% |
| 1952 | +31.2% |
| 1956 | +24.1% |
| 1960 | +35.9% |
| 1964 | +10.2% |
| 1968 | +5.1% |
| 1972 | −42.9% |
| 1976 | +55.4% |
| 1980 | +1.9% |
| 1984 | −25.0% |
| 1988 | −7.1% |
| 1992 | +30.6% |
| 1996 | +33.2% |
| 2000 | −8.5% |
| 2004 | −12.9% |
| 2008 | −34.8% |
| 2012 | −40.5% |
| 2016 | −50.1% |
| 2020 | −61.0% |
| 2024 | −65.8% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 14.5%386 | 83.1%2,209 | 2,658 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 84.1%2,849 | 3,388 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 4,943 |
| 2020 | 4,981 |
| 2022 | 4,741 |
| 2024 | 4,725 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −471 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,006 in average income, against $62,527 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.8 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Prairie County, AR itself (R+65.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lonoke County, AR38R+53.7
- Arkansas County, AR26R+44.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lonoke County, AR49
- Pulaski County, AR23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −101 |
| 2012 | −98 |
| 2013 | −100 |
| 2014 | −11 |
| 2015 | −26 |
| 2016 | −4 |
| 2017 | +14 |
| 2018 | −143 |
| 2019 | +19 |
| 2021 | −85 |
| 2022 | +48 |
| 2023 | +36 |
| 2024 | −19 |
| 2025 | −1 |
Prairie County's population has declined steadily for decades, leaving a sparse, agriculture-dominated electorate that delivered a 65-point Republican margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 65.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.8 points.
A population of 8,064, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,646 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Perry County and Cleveland County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Prairie County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.