St. Francis County, Arkansas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 5,979 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Newcastle ParrottNewcastle Parrott | 131 | 664 | 9 | 804 | 16.3% | 82.6% | R+66.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -FC Ward 3FC Ward 3 | 421 | 264 | 21 | 706 | 59.6% | 37.4% | D+22.2 |
| Precinct -FC Ward 4FC Ward 4 | 377 | 242 | 10 | 629 | 59.9% | 38.5% | D+21.5 |
| Precinct -PalestinePalestine | 153 | 427 | 8 | 588 | 26.0% | 72.6% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -FC Ward 2FC Ward 2 | 495 | 54 | 18 | 567 | 87.3% | 9.5% | D+77.8 |
| Precinct -FC Ward 1FC Ward 1 | 469 | 33 | 9 | 511 | 91.8% | 6.5% | D+85.3 |
| Precinct -ColtColt | 156 | 288 | 5 | 449 | 34.7% | 64.1% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -HughesHughes | 212 | 114 | 15 | 341 | 62.2% | 33.4% | D+28.7 |
| Precinct -BonairBonair | 69 | 258 | 2 | 329 | 21.0% | 78.4% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -CaldwellCaldwell | 43 | 193 | 5 | 241 | 17.8% | 80.1% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -MadisonMadison | 173 | 36 | 5 | 214 | 80.8% | 16.8% | D+64.0 |
| Precinct -WheatleyWheatley | 51 | 121 | 2 | 174 | 29.3% | 69.5% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -Heth BlackfishHeth Blackfish | 57 | 98 | 1 | 156 | 36.5% | 62.8% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -Forrest City Country WestForrest City Country West | 82 | 50 | 5 | 137 | 59.9% | 36.5% | D+23.4 |
| Precinct -WidenerWidener | 64 | 67 | 2 | 133 | 48.1% | 50.4% | R+2.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −24.1% |
| 1896 | +40.8% |
| 1900 | −5.1% |
| 1904 | +12.0% |
| 1908 | −9.2% |
| 1912 | +26.3% |
| 1916 | +41.7% |
| 1920 | +15.8% |
| 1924 | +36.7% |
| 1928 | +37.9% |
| 1932 | +88.4% |
| 1936 | +61.0% |
| 1940 | +78.1% |
| 1944 | +57.3% |
| 1948 | +38.7% |
| 1952 | +15.8% |
| 1956 | +5.5% |
| 1960 | +14.3% |
| 1964 | +3.9% |
| 1968 | +18.3% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | +30.5% |
| 1980 | +12.7% |
| 1984 | −5.0% |
| 1988 | +4.0% |
| 1992 | +30.6% |
| 1996 | +35.2% |
| 2000 | +18.5% |
| 2004 | +19.5% |
| 2008 | +16.5% |
| 2012 | +18.4% |
| 2016 | +11.5% |
| 2020 | +5.1% |
| 2024 | +0.7% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 48.1%2,424 | 49.9%2,514 | 5,039 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 55.7%3,606 | 6,479 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 12,415 |
| 2020 | 11,609 |
| 2022 | 9,872 |
| 2024 | 10,437 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−195 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −5,212 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $33,747 in average income, against $47,525 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+13.4 on average — 14 points more Republican-leaning than St. Francis County, AR itself (D+0.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cross County, AR64R+47.6
- Craighead County, AR41R+37.4
- Crittenden County, AR39D+2.3
- Lee County, AR33D+3.5
- Shelby County, TN28D+25.4
- Pulaski County, AR26D+22.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Craighead County, AR77
- Cross County, AR75
- Crittenden County, AR41
- Shelby County, TN29
- Pulaski County, AR25
- Lee County, AR24
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −289 |
| 2012 | −146 |
| 2013 | −539 |
| 2014 | −519 |
| 2015 | −547 |
| 2016 | −406 |
| 2017 | −432 |
| 2018 | −511 |
| 2019 | −508 |
| 2021 | −316 |
| 2022 | −304 |
| 2023 | −288 |
| 2024 | −212 |
| 2025 | −195 |
St. Francis County sits in the Arkansas Delta, where a majority-Black population and persistent rural poverty produce one of the state's rare competitive margins — the 2024 presidential race landed within a single percentage point.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 35.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.7 points.
A population of 22,400, a 39% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $42,574 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chicot County and Phillips County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
St. Francis County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05123/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.