St. Francis County, Arkansas: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted D+1%. Democratic peak: D+88 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+1MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 22,4002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $42,5742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 54.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chicot County, AR · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of St. Francis CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for St. Francis County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −24.1% |
| 1896 | +40.8% |
| 1900 | −5.1% |
| 1904 | +12.0% |
| 1908 | −9.2% |
| 1912 | +26.3% |
| 1916 | +41.7% |
| 1920 | +15.8% |
| 1924 | +36.7% |
| 1928 | +37.9% |
| 1932 | +88.4% |
| 1936 | +61.0% |
| 1940 | +78.1% |
| 1944 | +57.3% |
| 1948 | +38.7% |
| 1952 | +15.8% |
| 1956 | +5.5% |
| 1960 | +14.3% |
| 1964 | +3.9% |
| 1968 | +18.3% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | +30.5% |
| 1980 | +12.7% |
| 1984 | −5.0% |
| 1988 | +4.0% |
| 1992 | +30.6% |
| 1996 | +35.2% |
| 2000 | +18.5% |
| 2004 | +19.5% |
| 2008 | +16.5% |
| 2012 | +18.4% |
| 2016 | +11.5% |
| 2020 | +5.1% |
| 2024 | +0.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 2,953 | 2,909 | 5,979 | ||
| D | 3,604 | 3,242 | 7,108 | ||
| D | 4,031 | 3,195 | 7,290 | ||
| D | 4,910 | 3,368 | 8,362 | ||
| D | 5,486 | 3,917 | 9,505 | ||
| D | 5,684 | 3,815 | 9,588 | ||
| D | 4,986 | 3,414 | 8,496 | ||
| D | 5,562 | 2,523 | 8,644 | ||
| D | 6,548 | 3,289 | 10,635 | ||
| D | 4,656 | 4,298 | 8,980 | ||
| R | 4,866 | 5,378 | 10,322 | ||
| D | 5,816 | 4,485 | 10,487 | ||
| D | 6,851 | 3,639 | 10,520 | ||
| R | 2,674 | 5,692 | 8,631 | ||
| O | 3,284 | 1,608 | 9,146 | ||
| D | 3,651 | 3,377 | 7,038 | ||
| D | 2,432 | 1,786 | 4,518 | ||
| D | 2,114 | 1,884 | 4,199 | ||
| D | 2,466 | 1,792 | 4,259 | ||
| D | 1,011 | 178 | 2,155 | ||
| D | 1,654 | 446 | 2,108 | ||
| D | 1,671 | 192 | 1,894 | ||
| D | 1,520 | 359 | 1,903 | ||
| D | 1,990 | 107 | 2,129 | ||
| D | 1,376 | 617 | 2,002 | ||
| D | 972 | 433 | 1,467 | ||
| D | 1,252 | 903 | 2,212 | ||
| D | 960 | 395 | 1,355 | ||
| D | 563 | 296 | 1,014 | ||
| R | 619 | 755 | 1,477 | ||
| D | 737 | 577 | 1,333 | ||
| R | 634 | 703 | 1,356 | ||
| D | 1,087 | 455 | 1,550 | ||
| R | 697 | 1,175 | 1,981 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
5.8%
Irish
4.8%
American
4.8%
German
4.5%
Italian
0.8%
French
0.6%
Scottish
0.6%
African American
43.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$42,574
St. Francis County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties.
St. Francis County$42,574
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
St. Francis County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
28.5%
Nearly half of children live in poverty.
Children under 1842.4%
Working age (18–64)25.8%
Seniors (65+)8.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.2%
speak English only
Spanish2.1%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
St. Francis County sits in the Arkansas Delta, where a majority-Black population and persistent rural poverty produce one of the state's rare competitive margins — the 2024 presidential race landed within a single percentage point.
The Democratic margin here reached eighty-eight points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was one point. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $42,574 and a 29% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chicot County and Lee County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
St. Francis County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05123/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did St. Francis County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, St. Francis County, Arkansas voted Democratic by 0.7 points (D+1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 5,979 votes cast, 2,953 went Democratic and 2,909 went Republican.
What is St. Francis County, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places St. Francis County, Arkansas in the "Black Belt" typology — Black-majority counties of the rural South — long the most Democratic ground in the region, now trending Republican at the margins. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 28 times, Republican 5 times, and other 1 times.
When did St. Francis County, Arkansas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which St. Francis County, Arkansas voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in St. Francis County, Arkansas?
St. Francis County, Arkansas has a population of 22,400 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in St. Francis County, Arkansas?
Median household income in St. Francis County, Arkansas is $42,574 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of St. Francis County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in St. Francis County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The county's typology — "Black Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.