- Lead
- 2,326
- Total
- 4,775
- vs nation
- R+47.2
- Turnout
- 36.3%
Jackson County, AR
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 36.3% of 13,244 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,228
- Total
- 5,091
- vs nation
- R+48.2
- Turnout
- 38.2%
- Lead
- 1,684
- Total
- 4,961
- vs nation
- R+36.0
- Turnout
- 37.4%
- Lead
- 977
- Total
- 5,347
- vs nation
- R+22.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 911
- Total
- 5,582
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 891
- Total
- 6,219
- vs nation
- D+16.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,371
- Total
- 6,072
- vs nation
- D+22.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,779
- Total
- 6,500
- vs nation
- D+34.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,7122024 5-year
- Population density
- 26 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 634 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $44,2182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hot Spring County, AR · twin score 93.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 36.3%4,811 participants ÷ 13,244 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +7.6 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off vs state
- -7.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 28.8%–29.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,811 | 13,244 ± 123 | 36.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,123 | 13,449 ± 171 | 30.7% | Audited | C/A |
| 5,155 | 13,485 ± 163 | 38.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,171 | 13,715 ± 126 | 30.4% | Audited | C/A |
| 5,188 | 13,884 ± 88 | 37.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,347 | 14,058 | 38.0% | Derived | — | |
| 5,582 | 13,291 | 42.0% | Derived | — | |
| 6,219 | 12,524 extrapolated | 49.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Jackson County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Jackson County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 45 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
45 precincts · 4,775 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -14 - Diaz14 - Diaz | 122 | 273 | 5 | 400 | 30.5% | 68.3% | R+37.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -38 - Newport Ward 4-A38 - Newport Ward 4-A | 63 | 285 | 13 | 361 | 17.5% | 78.9% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -39 - Newport Ward 4-B39 - Newport Ward 4-B | 95 | 246 | 8 | 349 | 27.2% | 70.5% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -45 - Swifton45 - Swifton | 77 | 248 | 2 | 327 | 23.5% | 75.8% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -26 - New Glaise26 - New Glaise | 27 | 264 | 5 | 296 | 9.1% | 89.2% | R+80.1 |
| Precinct -47 - Tuckerman Ward 247 - Tuckerman Ward 2 | 37 | 210 | 6 | 253 | 14.6% | 83.0% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -36 - Newport Ward 2-C36 - Newport Ward 2-C | 54 | 182 | 2 | 238 | 22.7% | 76.5% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -37 - Newport Ward 2-B37 - Newport Ward 2-B | 89 | 138 | 8 | 235 | 37.9% | 58.7% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -11 - Crossroads -3711 - Crossroads -37 | 14 | 173 | 2 | 189 | 7.4% | 91.5% | R+84.1 |
| Precinct -48 - Tuckerman Ward 348 - Tuckerman Ward 3 | 48 | 135 | 1 | 184 | 26.1% | 73.4% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -46 - Tuckerman Ward 146 - Tuckerman Ward 1 | 32 | 138 | 3 | 173 | 18.5% | 79.8% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -17 - Grubbs17 - Grubbs | 23 | 132 | 3 | 158 | 14.6% | 83.5% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -30 - Newport Ward 1-B30 - Newport Ward 1-B | 100 | 36 | 1 | 137 | 73.0% | 26.3% | D+46.7 |
| Precinct -49 - Tuckerman Outside49 - Tuckerman Outside | 29 | 82 | 3 | 114 | 25.4% | 71.9% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -34 - Newport Ward 3-B34 - Newport Ward 3-B | 24 | 64 | 3 | 91 | 26.4% | 70.3% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -09 - Campbell Station09 - Campbell Station | 16 | 71 | 2 | 89 | 18.0% | 79.8% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -02 - Alcorn02 - Alcorn | 49 | 32 | 1 | 82 | 59.8% | 39.0% | D+20.7 |
| Precinct -07 - Beedeville07 - Beedeville | 5 | 72 | 5 | 82 | 6.1% | 87.8% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -28 - Newport Ward 2-A28 - Newport Ward 2-A | 40 | 38 | 3 | 81 | 49.4% | 46.9% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -12 - Denmark12 - Denmark | 15 | 64 | 0 | 79 | 19.0% | 81.0% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -35 - Newport Ward 3-C35 - Newport Ward 3-C | 44 | 33 | 2 | 79 | 55.7% | 41.8% | D+13.9 |
| Precinct -43 - Remmel43 - Remmel | 14 | 62 | 2 | 78 | 17.9% | 79.5% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -22 - Jacksonport22 - Jacksonport | 21 | 48 | 0 | 69 | 30.4% | 69.6% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -42 - Penninghton Balch42 - Penninghton Balch | 7 | 51 | 0 | 58 | 12.1% | 87.9% | R+75.9 |
| Precinct -33 - Newport Ward 3-A33 - Newport Ward 3-A | 20 | 32 | 1 | 53 | 37.7% | 60.4% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -21 - Island21 - Island | 9 | 41 | 0 | 50 | 18.0% | 82.0% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -18 - Hickory Grove18 - Hickory Grove | 8 | 39 | 0 | 47 | 17.0% | 83.0% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -24 - Liberty24 - Liberty | 5 | 42 | 0 | 47 | 10.6% | 89.4% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -51 - Waters Store51 - Waters Store | 5 | 41 | 0 | 46 | 10.9% | 89.1% | R+78.3 |
| Precinct -01 - Airbase01 - Airbase | 9 | 34 | 0 | 43 | 20.9% | 79.1% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -31 - Newport Ward 1-A31 - Newport Ward 1-A | 37 | 6 | 0 | 43 | 86.0% | 14.0% | D+72.1 |
| Precinct -50 - Tupelo50 - Tupelo | 6 | 37 | 0 | 43 | 14.0% | 86.0% | R+72.1 |
| Precinct -05 - Auvergne05 - Auvergne | 11 | 26 | 0 | 37 | 29.7% | 70.3% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -15 - Gourdneck - Citizenship15 - Gourdneck - Citizenship | 3 | 29 | 1 | 33 | 9.1% | 87.9% | R+78.8 |
| Precinct -04 - Amagon04 - Amagon | 4 | 24 | 0 | 28 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -40 - Old Glaise40 - Old Glaise | 3 | 24 | 0 | 27 | 11.1% | 88.9% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -52 - Weldon52 - Weldon | 3 | 17 | 0 | 20 | 15.0% | 85.0% | R+70.0 |
| Precinct -16 - Greenhaw16 - Greenhaw | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -19 - Horseshoe19 - Horseshoe | 4 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 40.0% | 60.0% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -25 - Macks25 - Macks | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 30.0% | 60.0% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -03 - Algoa03 - Algoa | 2 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 22.2% | 77.8% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -44 - Shoffner44 - Shoffner | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -08 - Blackville08 - Blackville | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 60.0% | 40.0% | D+20.0 |
| Precinct -20 - Ingleside20 - Ingleside | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -41 - Olyphant41 - Olyphant | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
Jackson County, AR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
92.6%
2,521 votes · D+85.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 86.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73.5%
3,509 votes · R+48.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 70.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
6,456votes
78.4% of the vote · D+56.7
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 4,944 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
4,196votes
66.7% of the vote · R+33.5
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 3,901 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+69.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.9 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +67.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+48.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.8 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +47.2 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Jackson County, AR. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 22.2%1,011 | 77.8%3,533 | 4,544 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%4,453 | 4,453 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 8,341 |
| 2020 | 7,908 |
| 2022 | 8,157 |
| 2024 | 7,473 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+169 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −596 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $32,684 in average income, against $56,816 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+53.2 on average — 4.4 points more Republican-leaning than Jackson County, AR itself (R+48.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- White County, AR54R+61.2
- Independence County, AR48R+59.5
- Craighead County, AR47R+37.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Craighead County, AR56
- Independence County, AR41
- White County, AR35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −119 |
| 2012 | −183 |
| 2013 | +81 |
| 2014 | −127 |
| 2015 | −153 |
| 2016 | −67 |
| 2017 | −221 |
| 2018 | −240 |
| 2019 | −12 |
| 2021 | +156 |
| 2022 | −55 |
| 2023 | +214 |
| 2024 | −39 |
| 2025 | +169 |
Jackson County sits in Arkansas's Mississippi Delta lowlands, where a declining rural population and an aging demographic profile have produced some of the state's most lopsided federal election results in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 48.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.7 points.
A population of 16,712, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,218 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hot Spring County and Poinsett County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jackson County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05067/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.