congressional districtArkansas 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+6.8
2008R+13.4
2012R+16.3
2016R+15.0
2020R+13.1
2024R+15.5
net swing · 2004→2024R+8.8R+6.8 → R+15.5
vs. U.S. · 2024R+14.1R+15.5 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 56.1% of 569,170 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
131,095
180,713
7,702
319,510
569,170
56.1%
2020
140,254
183,964
8,823
333,041
559,731†
59.5%
2016
120,848
166,862
18,434
306,144
549,762†
55.7%
2012
117,769
165,106
6,895
289,770
528,606†
54.8%
2008
122,780
161,915
6,746
291,441
500,632†
58.2%
2004
126,559
145,150
2,806
274,515
472,658†
58.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAR-2ArkansasUnited States
English12.6%12.3%9.5%
German8.8%9.2%12.5%
Irish8.6%8.9%9.4%
American6.9%7.5%5.3%
Scottish2.0%1.8%1.3%
French1.4%1.3%1.6%
Italian1.3%1.4%4.8%
Scotch-Irish0.8%0.6%—
African American†18.8%13.5%9.9%
African1.2%0.9%0.5%
Mexican4.0%6.3%11.3%
Guatemalan0.5%0.4%0.5%
Salvadoran0.4%0.9%0.7%
Honduran0.2%0.2%0.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%
Filipino0.4%0.2%0.9%
Asian Indian0.4%0.4%1.4%
Chinese0.3%—1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
AR-2
Arkansas
United States
Median age
38.3
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
9.7%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.2%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
AR-2
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$65,200
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.4%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
31.7%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
AR-2
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
6.8%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
4.9%
6.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
AR-2
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
—
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
42.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arkansas 2nd Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−6.8%
2008
−13.4%
2012
−16.3%
2016
−15.0%
2020
−13.1%
2024
−15.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
2
R
41.1%125,777
58.9%180,509
306,286
2022
2
R
35.3%86,887
60.0%147,975
246,446
2020
2
R
44.6%148,410
55.4%184,093
332,503
2018
2
R
45.8%116,135
52.1%132,125
253,453
2016
2
R
36.8%111,347
58.3%176,472
302,464
2014
2
R
43.6%103,477
51.9%123,073
237,330
2012
2
R
39.5%113,156
55.2%158,175
286,598
2010
2
R
38.3%80,687
57.9%122,091
210,852
2008
2
D
76.5%212,303
0.0%0
277,366
2006
2
D
60.5%124,871
39.5%81,432
206,303
2004
2
D
58.2%160,834
41.8%115,655
276,493
2002
2
D
92.9%142,752
0.0%0
153,626
2000
2
D
57.5%126,957
42.5%93,692
220,649
1998
2
D
58.0%100,334
42.0%72,737
173,071
1996
2
D
52.3%114,841
47.7%104,548
219,389
1994
2
D
57.4%97,580
42.6%72,473
170,053
1992
2
D
74.2%154,946
25.8%53,978
208,924
1990
2
D
60.4%103,471
39.6%67,800
171,271
1988
2
D
83.5%168,889
16.5%33,475
202,364
1986
2
D
75.7%128,822
24.2%41,247
170,146
1984
2
D
47.1%103,165
41.5%90,841
219,079
1982
2
R
46.1%82,913
53.9%96,775
179,688
1980
2
R
21.0%42,278
78.9%159,148
201,655
1978
2
R
48.8%62,140
51.2%65,285
127,425
1976
2
D
86.4%144,780
13.6%22,819
167,607
Arkansas's 2nd anchors the state capital and its suburbs, a mix of government workers and exurban growth that has trended steadily Republican over the past decade despite once being the state's most competitive seat.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 16.3 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.5 points.
A population of 752,708, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,200 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District 3.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0502/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
How did Arkansas 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 2nd Congressional District voted Republican by 15.5 points (R+15.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 319,510 votes cast, 131,095 went Democratic and 180,713 went Republican.
How many people live in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District?
Arkansas 2nd Congressional District has a population of 752,708 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District is $65,200 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arkansas 2nd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
