congressional districtArkansas 3rd Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+25.3
2008R+28.3
2012R+32.1
2016R+28.6
2020R+23.4
2024R+24.8
net swing · 2004→2024D+0.5R+25.3 → R+24.8
vs. U.S. · 2024R+23.3R+24.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 56.8% of 543,053 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
111,773
188,326
8,401
308,500
543,053
56.8%
2020
110,477
180,788
9,001
300,266
505,072†
59.5%
2016
82,476
156,673
20,219
259,368
464,727†
55.8%
2012
73,396
145,987
6,632
226,015
434,927†
52.0%
2008
76,403
138,914
5,659
220,976
416,385†
53.1%
2004
76,815
129,655
2,467
208,937
397,843†
52.5%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAR-3ArkansasUnited States
English13.7%12.3%9.5%
German12.8%9.2%12.5%
Irish10.5%8.9%9.4%
American6.5%7.5%5.3%
Italian2.3%1.4%4.8%
Scottish2.3%1.8%1.3%
French1.9%1.3%1.6%
Polish0.9%—2.2%
Mexican11.1%6.3%11.3%
Salvadoran2.3%0.9%0.7%
Guatemalan0.7%0.4%0.5%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.3%1.8%
Honduran0.3%0.2%0.3%
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Asian Indian1.2%0.4%1.4%
Vietnamese0.4%0.2%0.6%
Laotian0.4%——
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Chinese0.2%—1.3%
African American†2.4%13.5%9.9%
Marshallese5.4%0.3%—
Aztec1.0%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
AR-3
Arkansas
United States
Median age
35.7
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
10.5%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.4%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
AR-3
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$74,552
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.2%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.7%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
AR-3
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
15.3%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
11.3%
6.2%
13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.1%
0.7%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
AR-3
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
—
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
42.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arkansas 3rd Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−25.3%
2008
−28.3%
2012
−32.1%
2016
−28.6%
2020
−23.4%
2024
−24.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
3
R
31.8%95,652
63.8%192,101
301,084
2022
3
R
32.9%73,541
63.7%142,401
223,588
2020
3
R
31.8%106,325
64.3%214,960
334,262
2018
3
R
32.6%74,952
64.7%148,717
229,708
2016
3
R
0.0%0
77.3%217,192
280,907
2014
3
R
0.0%0
79.4%151,630
190,935
2012
3
R
0.0%0
75.9%186,467
245,660
2010
3
R
27.6%56,542
72.4%148,581
205,123
2008
3
R
0.0%0
78.5%215,196
274,046
2006
3
R
37.8%75,885
62.2%125,039
200,924
2004
3
R
38.1%103,158
59.3%160,629
270,803
2002
3
R
0.0%0
98.9%141,478
143,055
2000
3
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1998
3
R
0.0%0
80.7%154,780
191,697
1996
3
R
41.8%102,994
55.7%137,093
246,132
1994
3
R
32.3%61,883
67.7%129,800
191,683
1992
3
R
47.2%117,775
50.2%125,295
249,494
1990
3
R
29.5%54,332
70.5%129,876
184,208
1988
3
R
25.3%54,767
74.7%161,623
216,390
1986
3
R
20.2%36,729
79.8%145,127
181,856
1984
3
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1982
3
R
34.0%69,089
66.0%133,909
202,998
1980
3
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1978
3
R
21.6%35,748
78.4%130,086
165,834
1976
3
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
Anchored by the fast-growing Fayetteville–Springdale–Rogers metro, AR-3 combines a booming logistics and tech corridor with deeply conservative rural counties, producing Republican presidential margins that have held above 25 points for more than a decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 32.1 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.8 points.
A population of 753,203, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,552 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 3.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Arkansas 3rd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0503/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Arkansas 3rd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 3rd Congressional District voted Republican by 24.8 points (R+24.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 308,500 votes cast, 111,773 went Democratic and 188,326 went Republican.
How many people live in Arkansas 3rd Congressional District?
Arkansas 3rd Congressional District has a population of 753,203 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 3rd Congressional District?
Median household income in Arkansas 3rd Congressional District is $74,552 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 3rd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arkansas 3rd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
