Madison County, Arkansas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 7,501 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -War EagleWar Eagle | 305 | 1,380 | 34 | 1,719 | 17.7% | 80.3% | R+62.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PrairiePrairie | 247 | 1,061 | 18 | 1,326 | 18.6% | 80.0% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -LamarLamar | 245 | 949 | 16 | 1,210 | 20.2% | 78.4% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -AlabamAlabam | 203 | 777 | 15 | 995 | 20.4% | 78.1% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -HilburnHilburn | 193 | 673 | 14 | 880 | 21.9% | 76.5% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -Kings RiverKings River | 88 | 451 | 6 | 545 | 16.1% | 82.8% | R+66.6 |
| Precinct -Huntsville Ward 3Huntsville Ward 3 | 82 | 255 | 8 | 345 | 23.8% | 73.9% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -Huntsville Ward 4Huntsville Ward 4 | 60 | 160 | 7 | 227 | 26.4% | 70.5% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -Huntsville Ward 2Huntsville Ward 2 | 45 | 80 | 5 | 130 | 34.6% | 61.5% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -Huntsville Ward 1Huntsville Ward 1 | 23 | 99 | 2 | 124 | 18.5% | 79.8% | R+61.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +8.4% |
| 1896 | +14.4% |
| 1900 | +6.7% |
| 1904 | −3.9% |
| 1908 | −3.3% |
| 1912 | +7.2% |
| 1916 | +4.4% |
| 1920 | −7.8% |
| 1924 | +2.7% |
| 1928 | −23.2% |
| 1932 | +11.9% |
| 1936 | +6.2% |
| 1940 | +2.1% |
| 1944 | −8.5% |
| 1948 | −3.7% |
| 1952 | −15.2% |
| 1956 | −7.2% |
| 1960 | −17.7% |
| 1964 | +15.2% |
| 1968 | −15.2% |
| 1972 | −28.2% |
| 1976 | +7.8% |
| 1980 | −12.8% |
| 1984 | −24.3% |
| 1988 | −18.4% |
| 1992 | +3.4% |
| 1996 | +3.8% |
| 2000 | −23.7% |
| 2004 | −22.7% |
| 2008 | −28.9% |
| 2012 | −32.9% |
| 2016 | −50.2% |
| 2020 | −55.7% |
| 2024 | −58.6% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 19.1%1,102 | 77.7%4,489 | 5,775 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 78.1%5,627 | 7,209 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 10,096 |
| 2020 | 10,274 |
| 2022 | 10,513 |
| 2024 | 11,443 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+318 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,259 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,202 in average income, against $63,188 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.2 on average — 44 points more Democratic-leaning than Madison County, AR itself (R+58.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washington County, AR240R+6.7
- Benton County, AR98R+27.0
- Carroll County, AR32R+31.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washington County, AR196
- Benton County, AR58
- Carroll County, AR32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −13 |
| 2012 | −108 |
| 2013 | +39 |
| 2014 | −6 |
| 2015 | −27 |
| 2016 | +344 |
| 2017 | +155 |
| 2018 | +13 |
| 2019 | +152 |
| 2021 | +411 |
| 2022 | +523 |
| 2023 | +319 |
| 2024 | +139 |
| 2025 | +318 |
Nestled in the Ozark highlands, Madison County delivered a 58-point Republican margin in 2024, reflecting the deep rural realignment that has reshaped small-population counties across the upland South over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 58.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.6 points.
A population of 17,329, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,798 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bledsoe County and Union County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Madison County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.