Carroll County, Arkansas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 11,538 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Lakes AreaLakes Area | 716 | 817 | 38 | 1,571 | 45.6% | 52.0% | R+6.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Holiday IslandHoliday Island | 684 | 823 | 30 | 1,537 | 44.5% | 53.5% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -Eureka SpringsEureka Springs | 924 | 470 | 35 | 1,429 | 64.7% | 32.9% | D+31.8 |
| Precinct -Kings RiverKings River | 336 | 854 | 27 | 1,217 | 27.6% | 70.2% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -PrairiesPrairies | 240 | 840 | 32 | 1,112 | 21.6% | 75.5% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -South CarrollSouth Carroll | 181 | 898 | 31 | 1,110 | 16.3% | 80.9% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -YocumYocum | 148 | 853 | 13 | 1,014 | 14.6% | 84.1% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -North HickoryNorth Hickory | 148 | 549 | 16 | 713 | 20.8% | 77.0% | R+56.2 |
| Precinct -Berryville WestBerryville West | 171 | 523 | 13 | 707 | 24.2% | 74.0% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -Berryville EastBerryville East | 183 | 451 | 15 | 649 | 28.2% | 69.5% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -South HickorySouth Hickory | 81 | 392 | 6 | 479 | 16.9% | 81.8% | R+64.9 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +11.1% |
| 1896 | +33.8% |
| 1900 | +23.6% |
| 1904 | +3.0% |
| 1908 | +10.0% |
| 1912 | +24.4% |
| 1916 | +18.8% |
| 1920 | +0.2% |
| 1924 | +17.9% |
| 1928 | −6.6% |
| 1932 | +47.3% |
| 1936 | +27.3% |
| 1940 | +19.5% |
| 1944 | +10.9% |
| 1948 | +13.7% |
| 1952 | −29.6% |
| 1956 | −16.6% |
| 1960 | −33.1% |
| 1964 | −2.4% |
| 1968 | −25.6% |
| 1972 | −42.5% |
| 1976 | +14.8% |
| 1980 | −16.8% |
| 1984 | −37.6% |
| 1988 | −26.5% |
| 1992 | +2.6% |
| 1996 | −3.0% |
| 2000 | −20.4% |
| 2004 | −19.3% |
| 2008 | −18.1% |
| 2012 | −23.9% |
| 2016 | −33.2% |
| 2020 | −28.8% |
| 2024 | −31.7% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 31.4%2,835 | 65.0%5,867 | 9,029 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 66.2%7,676 | 11,592 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 16,603 |
| 2020 | 16,958 |
| 2022 | 15,119 |
| 2024 | 16,552 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+214 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,541 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,731 in average income, against $58,792 for residents who stayed — 5% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+39.8 on average — 8.1 points more Republican-leaning than Carroll County, AR itself (R+31.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washington County, AR83R+6.7
- Boone County, AR75R+64.9
- Benton County, AR62R+27.0
- Madison County, AR32R+58.6
- Barry County, MO26R+63.5
- Stone County, MO20R+61.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washington County, AR105
- Boone County, AR80
- Benton County, AR75
- Barry County, MO34
- Madison County, AR32
- Stone County, MO21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −105 |
| 2012 | +136 |
| 2013 | +123 |
| 2014 | −103 |
| 2015 | −21 |
| 2016 | −113 |
| 2017 | +130 |
| 2018 | +204 |
| 2019 | +265 |
| 2021 | +271 |
| 2022 | +211 |
| 2023 | +109 |
| 2024 | +220 |
| 2025 | +214 |
Carroll County anchors Arkansas's Ozark tourism corridor around Eureka Springs while remaining rooted in cattle farming and timber, a mix that has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins across the past four presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 42.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.7 points.
A population of 28,626, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,230 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Garland County and Perry County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Carroll County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.