Carroll County, Arkansas: Sunbelt Conservative county. In 2024, voted R+32%. Democratic peak: D+47 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+32MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
- Population
- 28,6262024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,2302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Worth County, GA · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Carroll CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Carroll County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +11.1% |
| 1896 | +33.8% |
| 1900 | +23.6% |
| 1904 | +3.0% |
| 1908 | +10.0% |
| 1912 | +24.4% |
| 1916 | +18.8% |
| 1920 | +0.2% |
| 1924 | +17.9% |
| 1928 | −6.6% |
| 1932 | +47.3% |
| 1936 | +27.3% |
| 1940 | +19.5% |
| 1944 | +10.9% |
| 1948 | +13.7% |
| 1952 | −29.6% |
| 1956 | −16.6% |
| 1960 | −33.1% |
| 1964 | −2.4% |
| 1968 | −25.6% |
| 1972 | −42.5% |
| 1976 | +14.8% |
| 1980 | −16.8% |
| 1984 | −37.6% |
| 1988 | −26.5% |
| 1992 | +2.6% |
| 1996 | −3.0% |
| 2000 | −20.4% |
| 2004 | −19.3% |
| 2008 | −18.1% |
| 2012 | −23.9% |
| 2016 | −33.2% |
| 2020 | −28.8% |
| 2024 | −31.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,812 | 7,470 | 11,538 | ||
| R | 4,023 | 7,424 | 11,797 | ||
| R | 3,342 | 6,786 | 10,366 | ||
| R | 3,696 | 6,125 | 10,183 | ||
| R | 4,172 | 6,083 | 10,579 | ||
| R | 4,161 | 6,184 | 10,481 | ||
| R | 3,595 | 5,556 | 9,590 | ||
| R | 3,689 | 3,957 | 8,823 | ||
| D | 3,769 | 3,535 | 8,857 | ||
| R | 2,632 | 4,553 | 7,253 | ||
| R | 2,263 | 5,041 | 7,390 | ||
| R | 2,977 | 4,273 | 7,728 | ||
| D | 3,791 | 2,804 | 6,650 | ||
| R | 1,401 | 3,565 | 5,086 | ||
| R | 1,298 | 2,596 | 5,068 | ||
| R | 2,005 | 2,105 | 4,110 | ||
| R | 1,301 | 2,615 | 3,965 | ||
| R | 1,651 | 2,310 | 3,980 | ||
| R | 1,493 | 2,752 | 4,258 | ||
| D | 2,032 | 1,525 | 3,688 | ||
| D | 1,464 | 1,176 | 2,640 | ||
| D | 1,604 | 1,081 | 2,687 | ||
| D | 1,649 | 940 | 2,595 | ||
| D | 2,150 | 758 | 2,941 | ||
| R | 1,540 | 1,757 | 3,312 | ||
| D | 1,421 | 969 | 2,524 | ||
| D | 1,344 | 1,338 | 2,747 | ||
| D | 1,512 | 1,034 | 2,546 | ||
| D | 919 | 464 | 1,863 | ||
| D | 1,295 | 1,051 | 2,432 | ||
| D | 925 | 869 | 1,888 | ||
| D | 1,205 | 735 | 1,990 | ||
| D | 1,790 | 875 | 2,709 | ||
| D | 1,252 | 984 | 2,421 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.5%
English
11.5%
Irish
7.7%
American
6.3%
French
2.5%
Italian
2.0%
Scottish
2.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$54,230
Carroll County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Carroll County$54,230
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Carroll County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.2%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.9%
Working age (18–64)15.8%
Seniors (65+)11.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.8%
speak English only
Spanish10.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carroll County anchors Arkansas's Ozark tourism corridor around Eureka Springs while remaining rooted in cattle farming and timber, a mix that has produced consistent double-digit Republican margins across the past four presidential cycles.
The Republican margin here reached forty-three points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-two points.
A median household income of $54,230, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 28,626 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Worth County and Miller County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carroll County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Carroll County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carroll County, Arkansas voted Republican by 31.7 points (R+32), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 11,538 votes cast, 3,812 went Democratic and 7,470 went Republican.
What is Carroll County, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Carroll County, Arkansas in the "Sunbelt Conservative" typology — Affluent, predominantly white Sunbelt counties — reliably Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Carroll County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Carroll County, Arkansas?
Carroll County, Arkansas has a population of 28,626 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carroll County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Carroll County, Arkansas is $54,230 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Carroll County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The county's typology — "Sunbelt Conservative" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.