Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic27.6%330TrumpRepublican71.6%856OtherAll other candidates0.8%9
R+44.0
Lead
526
Total
1,195
vs nation
R+42.5
BidenDemocratic34.4%442TrumpRepublican65.0%835OtherAll other candidates0.5%7
R+30.6
Lead
393
Total
1,284
vs nation
R+35.1
ClintonDemocratic35.8%389TrumpRepublican60.5%658OtherAll other candidates3.8%41
R+24.7
Lead
269
Total
1,088
vs nation
R+26.8
ObamaDemocratic43.4%420RomneyRepublican55.2%534OtherAll other candidates1.3%13
R+11.8
Lead
114
Total
967
vs nation
R+15.6
ObamaDemocratic42.3%394McCainRepublican56.3%524OtherAll other candidates1.4%13
R+14.0
Lead
130
Total
931
vs nation
R+21.2
KerryDemocratic38.7%322BushRepublican59.6%496OtherAll other candidates1.7%14
R+20.9
Lead
174
Total
832
vs nation
R+18.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+44.0MIT Election Lab
Population
2,8032024 5-year
Population density
1,752 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$32,2772024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
14.2%2024 5-year
Black
13.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
72.3%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+44.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 4 audited
2024 turnout
71.3%1,198 participants ÷ 1,680 CVAP
2016→2018 drop-off
+8.2 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
Drop-off vs state
-2.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
65.0%
61.9%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,198
1,680 ± 418
71.3%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
958
1,548 ± 352
61.9%
Audited
E/D
1,284
1,286
99.8%
Derived
—
2018Mid
952
1,465 ± 308
65.0%
Audited
E/D
1,094
1,494 ± 365
73.2%
Audited
E/D
967
1,132
85.4%
Derived
—
931
1,331
69.9%
Derived
—
832
1,530 extrapolated
54.4%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012, 2020) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2020 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Dade City North, FL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
43.4%
420 votes · R+11.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 42.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
71.6%
856 votes · R+44.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 65.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
442votes
34.4% of the vote · R+30.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 420 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
856votes
71.6% of the vote · R+44.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 835 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
−15.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+11.8 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −18.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+42.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.0 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +35.1 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Dade City North · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Pasco County, Florida, the county containing Dade City North — Dade City North’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Dade City North, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Dade City North sits in the Gulf South and peninsula. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 44.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 13.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.0 points.
A population of 2,803, a 14% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $32,277 describe the city.
In 2024, Dade City North, Florida voted Republican by 44.0 points (R+44.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,195 votes cast, 330 went Democratic and 856 went Republican.
How many people live in Dade City North, Florida?
Dade City North, Florida has a population of 2,803 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dade City North, Florida?
Median household income in Dade City North, Florida is $32,277 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Dade City North, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Dade City North, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
