Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWesley ChapelFloridaUnited States
American11.2%7.7%5.3%
German9.7%8.9%12.5%
Irish8.1%8.2%9.4%
English7.5%8.2%9.5%
Italian6.5%5.6%4.8%
Polish2.5%2.1%2.2%
French1.6%1.7%1.6%
Scottish1.3%1.3%1.3%
Puerto Rican9.4%5.6%1.8%
Mexican4.0%3.3%11.3%
Cuban3.6%7.3%0.7%
Colombian2.3%2.1%0.4%
Dominican1.6%1.3%0.7%
Venezuelan0.9%1.6%—
Spaniard0.9%——
Ecuadorian0.6%——
African American†8.3%9.5%9.9%
Jamaican1.0%1.5%0.4%
Haitian0.8%2.3%0.3%
African0.6%0.5%0.5%
West Indian0.6%——
Asian Indian3.0%0.9%1.4%
Filipino1.3%0.5%0.9%
Vietnamese1.3%0.4%0.6%
Chinese0.8%0.5%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Wesley Chapel
Florida
United States
Median age
37.1
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
9.7%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.3%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Wesley Chapel
Florida
United States
Median household income
$107,504
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
6.4%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
47.8%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Wesley Chapel
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
29.8%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
17.4%
22.6%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.5%
2.7%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
2.7%
1.9%
2.0%
Arabic
1.9%
0.4%
0.4%
Religious landscape
Measure
Wesley Chapel
Florida
United States
Catholic
—
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Wesley Chapel, Florida
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−5.8%
2008
+0.3%
2012
−5.7%
2016
−1.9%
2020
+3.0%
2024
−5.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.1%Harris18,743
51.9%Trump21,108
2.0%
R+5.8
R+8.8
R+4.3
40,674
D
50.8%Biden18,153
47.8%Trump17,097
1.4%
D+3.0
D+4.8
R+1.5
35,742
R
46.6%Clinton11,989
48.5%Trump12,476
4.9%
R+1.9
D+3.8
R+4.0
25,725
R
46.5%Obama10,335
52.2%Romney11,602
1.3%
R+5.7
R+6.0
R+9.6
22,237
D
49.7%Obama9,942
49.4%McCain9,878
0.9%
D+0.3
D+6.1
R+7.0
20,002
R
46.6%Kerry8,215
52.3%Bush9,232
1.1%
R+5.8
—
R+3.3
17,645
Wesley Chapel has nearly tripled in population since 2010, drawing younger families and diverse professional migrants from Tampa's metro core — a demographic mix that has made its precinct-level results increasingly competitive in statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.0 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 5.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.8 points.
A population of 76,011, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $107,504 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clermont and Winter Garden.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Wesley Chapel, Florida voted Republican by 5.8 points (R+5.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 40,674 votes cast, 18,743 went Democratic and 21,108 went Republican.
When did Wesley Chapel, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wesley Chapel, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Wesley Chapel, Florida?
Wesley Chapel, Florida has a population of 76,011 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wesley Chapel, Florida?
Median household income in Wesley Chapel, Florida is $107,504 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Wesley Chapel, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Wesley Chapel, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
